NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Raptors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c1ece687825a5be15c65896cd0ee0f8cf06e1bc2a87ed87d199270d16c0a2a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Cavaliers, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,190,088
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,337,632
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,190,088 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,739 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed72…b8b0backed Raptors | 46c | 249,605$114,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135,026.57 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Cavaliers | 50c | 217,798$107,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107,932.88 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Raptors | 47c | 201,178$94,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106,434.66 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Cavaliers | 52c | 189,135$98,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98,493.53 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Raptors | 52c | 86,110$44,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,394.01 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…cc31backed Raptors | 51c | 63,700$32,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,373 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d56…7486backed Cavaliers | 50c | 63,700$32,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,010 | 178 | 61.2%109 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Raptors | 51c | 62,381$31,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,793.93 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…9028backed Cavaliers | 55c | 56,000$30,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,760 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Cavaliers | 54c | 50,221$27,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,100.69 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Cavaliers | 55c | 50,000$27,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,500 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Raptors | 52c | 48,252$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,252.12 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Cavaliers | 52c | 40,000$20,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,600 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Raptors | 46c | 40,000$18,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,599.92 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x188c…c62bbacked Cavaliers | 55c | 32,973$18,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,135 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Cavaliers | 54c | 29,998$16,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,199.03 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Raptors | 46c | 29,161$13,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,681.75 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Raptors | 52c | 26,923$14,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,923.08 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Raptors | 70c | 24,312$17,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,233.46 | 78 | 69.2%54 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Cavaliers | 51c | 23,472$12,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,073.51 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Cavaliers | 37c | 23,075$8,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,563.5 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Cavaliers | 34c | 21,655$7,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,327.56 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Raptors | 50c | 21,557$10,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,769.07 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…fa80backed Raptors | 49c | 20,000$9,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,299.98 | 180 | 45%81 W · 99 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Cavaliers | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,799.98 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4a…87d4backed Raptors | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,799.97 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Raptors | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,599.95 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Cavaliers | 51c | 20,000$10,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,296.2 | 219 | 51.1%112 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1252…dec2backed Cavaliers | 46c | 18,500$8,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,430.7 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed Raptors | 45c | 18,000$8,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,979.99 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Cavaliers | 47c | 16,461$7,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,794.86 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked Cavaliers | 52c | 16,132$8,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,408.79 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…dffdbacked Raptors | 46c | 15,300$7,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,261.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x738c…5064backed Raptors | 47c | 15,100$7,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,003 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +110%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Cavaliers | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,199.95 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cavaliers | 54c | 14,240$7,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,651.8 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Raptors | 52c | 14,164$7,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,844.17 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Cavaliers | 48c | 13,981$6,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,748.89 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69b1…5b83backed Cavaliers | 53c | 13,500$7,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,155 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Cavaliers | 54c | 13,392$7,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,231.7 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Raptors | 73c | 13,319$9,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,653.29 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…c1b8backed Cavaliers | 53c | 13,300$7,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,049 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Raptors | 68c | 13,287$8,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,311.66 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Cavaliers | 45c | 13,274$5,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,985.91 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…fb60backed Raptors | 57c | 13,064$7,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,616.34 | 53 | 79.2%42 W · 11 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Cavaliers | 51c | 13,038$6,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,706.6 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 12,742$6,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,372.3 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Raptors | 50c | 11,928$5,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,964.17 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 11,278$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.55 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9105…97f2backed Raptors | 54c | 11,111$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,111.11 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Cavaliers | 54c | 11,019$5,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,950.19 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Raptors | 61c | 10,806$6,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,202.12 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…9498backed Cavaliers | 54c | 10,187$5,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,450.96 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Cavaliers | 1c | 10,038$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.97 | 185 | 18.4%34 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Cavaliers | 47c | 10,018$4,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,753 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5922…3388backed Raptors | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa3…7479backed Raptors | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8083…be16backed Cavaliers | 55c | 9,999$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,499.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6397…cd96backed Cavaliers | 52c | 9,928$5,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,162.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d9…717bbacked Cavaliers | 46c | 9,598$4,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,414.91 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf982…915abacked Cavaliers | 54c | 9,500$5,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,130 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Raptors | 53c | 9,335$4,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,364.6 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Cavaliers | 50c | 9,239$4,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,594.47 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…9a33backed Raptors | 45c | 9,178$4,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,047.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2b…6a00backed Raptors | 45c | 9,172$4,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,044.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 9,133$4,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,741.71 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd690…8b62backed Cavaliers | 55c | 9,132$5,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,022.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8423…c479backed Cavaliers | 55c | 9,101$5,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,005.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Cavaliers | 55c | 9,017$4,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,959.18 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98c4…e889backed Raptors | 47c | 9,000$4,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,770 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 9,000$4,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,320 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…364dbacked Cavaliers | 55c | 9,000$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,950 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f16…0246backed Raptors | 51c | 8,966$4,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,395.82 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x605f…d18dbacked Raptors | 45c | 8,888$4,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,882.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Raptors | 47c | 8,511$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,510.64 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7443…e010backed Raptors | 51c | 8,300$4,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,067 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19fd…5838backed Cavaliers | 49c | 8,067$3,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,949.42 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42cb…8412backed Raptors | 62c | 7,855$4,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,995.03 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f16…7ee1backed Raptors | 47c | 7,400$3,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,922 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Cavaliers | 23c | 7,096$1,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,629.5 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa6…bfb1backed Cavaliers | 54c | 6,900$3,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,726 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Raptors | 52c | 6,500$3,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,094.99 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9289…80a5backed Cavaliers | 54c | 6,363$3,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,435.97 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Raptors | 49c | 6,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,050 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a7…5fb2backed Cavaliers | 53c | 5,867$3,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,109.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95bb…ef08backed Raptors | 47c | 5,851$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,101.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Raptors | 47c | 5,790$2,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,042.38 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Raptors | 52c | 5,771$3,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,770.07 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc7…40fbbacked Cavaliers | 54c | 5,600$3,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,024 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Raptors | 50c | 5,420$2,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,701.07 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb54…3888backed Raptors | 46c | 5,400$2,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,916 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea9…e3c0backed Cavaliers | 51c | 5,301$2,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,717.56 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Raptors | 57c | 5,161$2,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,228.56 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bda…4282backed Cavaliers | 50c | 5,145$2,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,566.32 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers | 30c | 5,040$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.86 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Cavaliers | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef4…32a1backed Cavaliers | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Cavaliers | 55c | 4,935$2,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,697.05 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Cavaliers | 52c | 4,728$2,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,463.72 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers | 53c | 4,600$2,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,459 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Raptorsthis page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-0.5)Raptors won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 231.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 232.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 234.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 235.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 236.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 237.5Under won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.