TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Raptors: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Raptorsof Cavaliers, Raptors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,533
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,371

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,533 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Cavaliers48c2,608$1,260 inLost-$1,260.45,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1377…56aebacked Raptors47c2,320$1,099 inWon+$1,2217447.3%35 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeac5…2003backed Raptors53c2,000$1,060 inWon+$9401942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Cavaliers57c1,750$992 inLost-$991.574,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Cavaliers48c343.39$164 inLost-$163.663,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf642…0c19backed Raptors53c273.97$145 inWon+$128.973542.9%15 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8839…8a3ebacked Cavaliers61c189.35$116 inLost-$116.357433.8%25 W · 49 L-8.5wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-31.7%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Raptors27c185.19$50 inWon+$135.1953134.7%184 W · 347 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed Cavaliers52c140$73 inLost-$72.87341.1%30 W · 43 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e50…a09dbacked Raptors48c104.17$50 inWon+$54.176149.2%30 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f1f…8045backed Cavaliers61c100$61 inLost-$611631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x17e0…017cbacked Cavaliers73c100$73 inLost-$73650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a3c…93d7backed Raptors62c80$50 inWon+$30.440346.2%186 W · 217 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Cavaliers50c60$30 inLost-$3057444.1%253 W · 321 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Raptors18c60$11 inWon+$49.263427.3%173 W · 461 L-19.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Raptors52c56.44$29 inWon+$27.0930454.9%167 W · 137 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cf4…b8e4backed Cavaliers56c53.57$30 inLost-$302642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Raptors53c50$27 inWon+$23.537850.3%190 W · 188 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Raptors46c25.09$12 inWon+$13.562,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Cavaliers48c24.99$12 inLost-$1263555.6%353 W · 282 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed Raptors52c24.04$12 inWon+$11.5414654.8%80 W · 66 L+0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1351…bebcbacked Raptors50c20$10 inWon+$1016552.7%87 W · 78 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.