NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Nets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2578e821f34738770c5a285e3865806a6183cdb3f657143dfe6b16f341df59c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Magic, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,886,183
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,889,181
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,886,183 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 956 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x060e…2384backed Nets | 46c | 219,999$101,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101,199.68 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Magic | 54c | 182,356$98,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83,883.96 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Nets | 46c | 180,969$83,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83,242.19 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb889…a430backed Nets | 47c | 76,000$35,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,720 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Magic | 54c | 73,747$39,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,857.26 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nets | 19c | 53,830$10,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,401.44 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Nets | 30c | 52,696$15,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,947.28 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Magic | 53c | 44,228$23,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,787.24 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Magic | 66c | 35,936$23,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,311.34 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Magic | 53c | 33,046$17,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,405.85 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Nets | 48c | 32,236$15,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,388 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Magic | 64c | 32,156$20,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,657.23 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…cc31backed Magic | 55c | 31,000$17,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,950 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d56…7486backed Nets | 46c | 31,000$14,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,260 | 178 | 61.2%109 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Magic | 54c | 30,790$16,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,161.69 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Nets | 38c | 25,273$9,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,713.92 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Magic | 53c | 23,000$12,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,809.94 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e6…f893backed Nets | 0c | 22,920$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nets | 19c | 20,591$3,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,956.58 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Magic | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,400 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ff…c160backed Nets | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nets | 13c | 18,605$2,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,374.15 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Nets | 0c | 17,888$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.47 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Nets | 8c | 16,645$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.54 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Magic | 53c | 15,958$8,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500.25 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Magic | 53c | 15,000$7,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,049.92 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…0c0cbacked Nets | 1c | 14,407$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.26 | 306 | 19.9%61 W · 245 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked Magic | 54c | 13,140$7,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,044.4 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58d4…08d2backed Magic | 54c | 12,500$6,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,750 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nets | 19c | 11,892$2,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,229.51 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…d831backed Nets | 0c | 11,420$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Magic | 54c | 10,807$5,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,971.22 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Nets | 47c | 10,638$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…3081backed Magic | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,699.94 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Nets | 33c | 9,573$3,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,201.96 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Magic | 54c | 8,815$4,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,054.81 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf35f…64c5backed Magic | 54c | 8,600$4,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,956 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Nets | 36c | 8,160$2,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,922.19 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c1…7487backed Nets | 47c | 8,091$3,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,802.57 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Nets | 2c | 7,721$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.96 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec0…f7aabacked Nets | 47c | 7,338$3,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,417.49 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…90c0backed Magic | 54c | 6,745$3,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,102.75 | 284 | 39.8%113 W · 171 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Nets | 0c | 6,729$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.38 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…f78ebacked Nets | 24c | 6,583$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 133 | 39.1%52 W · 81 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Magic | 66c | 6,467$4,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,191.78 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Magic | 54c | 6,450$3,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,967 | 74 | 68.9%51 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Magic | 54c | 6,435$3,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,960.1 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Magic | 63c | 6,426$4,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.92 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Magic | 55c | 6,350$3,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,835.53 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Nets | 21c | 6,298$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.58 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Nets | 47c | 6,202$2,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,885.08 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Magic | 54c | 6,075$3,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,794.36 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Nets | 39c | 5,656$2,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,224.85 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Magic | 55c | 5,387$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,446.98 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Magic | 54c | 5,370$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,470.37 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Magic | 57c | 5,273$3,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,245.84 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Nets | 47c | 5,000$2,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339.37 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Magic | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.82 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Nets | 47c | 4,972$2,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,337 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddd…39eebacked Nets | 46c | 4,536$2,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,086.73 | 225 | 42.2%95 W · 130 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Nets | 27c | 4,413$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.39 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…3d34backed Nets | 20c | 4,400$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.05 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Nets | 39c | 4,046$1,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,563 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Nets | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,839.99 | 181 | 42%76 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Magic | 66c | 4,000$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.96 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Nets | 25c | 3,999$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.85 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9569…27fdbacked Magic | 57c | 3,952$2,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,693.26 | 139 | 59.7%83 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Nets | 6c | 3,892$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.38 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nets | 37c | 3,717$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.48 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Magic | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.7 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42f7…5b3ebacked Magic | 55c | 3,700$2,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,662.99 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Magic | 54c | 3,648$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678.15 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…d0d0backed Magic | 57c | 3,616$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,565.71 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Magic | 54c | 3,591$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,651.86 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Nets | 43c | 3,500$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.25 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Nets | 12c | 3,414$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.57 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Magic | 54c | 3,152$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.73 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Nets | 27c | 3,021$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.72 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Nets | 28c | 2,927$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.49 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Nets | 45c | 2,800$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Nets | 47c | 2,694$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.26 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Magic | 61c | 2,629$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.37 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Magic | 54c | 2,585$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.23 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x494e…c549backed Nets | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | -12.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Nets | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175 | 386 | 49.7%192 W · 194 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc127…66e9backed Magic | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…48e3backed Magic | 54c | 2,481$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.1 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Nets | 12c | 2,472$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Magic | 53c | 2,281$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.13 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…8250backed Nets | 45c | 2,250$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.5 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Magic | 65c | 2,232$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.54 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…02adbacked Magic | 54c | 2,230$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Magic | 54c | 2,224$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.91 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Magic | 54c | 2,222$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.22 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Magic | 54c | 2,221$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.46 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Nets | 47c | 2,156$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.16 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Magic | 53c | 2,134$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.81 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Magic | 55c | 2,134$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.46 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Magic | 54c | 2,130$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.63 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Magic | 52c | 2,070$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.29 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Netsthis page
- Magic vs. Nets: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Magic vs. Nets: O/U 220.5Under won
- Magic vs. Nets: O/U 221.5Under won
- Magic vs. Nets: O/U 222.5Under won
- Magic vs. Nets: O/U 223.5Under won
- Magic vs. Nets: O/U 224.5Under won
- Magic vs. Nets: O/U 225.5Under won
- Spread: Magic (-1.5)Nets won
- Spread: Magic (-2.5)Nets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.