NBA · resolved market
Spread: Magic (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90aad4b202626aab3113f132822a7e6680fb97ea198244bd7081f8f8d9533d17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Netsof Magic, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $159,850
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $161,454
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,850 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Magic | 49c | 38,794$18,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,989.25 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb889…a430backed Nets | 52c | 28,521$14,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,689.97 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Magic | 48c | 25,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,999.98 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Nets | 52c | 24,518$12,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,771.53 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Nets | 51c | 22,222$11,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,888.77 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Magic | 48c | 18,370$8,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,817.6 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3645…2c9abacked Magic | 49c | 18,367$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Nets | 51c | 12,998$6,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,368.86 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Nets | 52c | 8,205$4,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,938.18 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Magic | 48c | 8,189$3,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,944.95 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Nets | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Nets | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,939.98 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Magic | 49c | 5,306$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Magic | 49c | 4,199$2,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,057.3 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Nets | 51c | 4,082$2,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Nets | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.99 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Magic | 49c | 3,910$1,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,916 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Magic | 48c | 3,777$1,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,813.95 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Nets | 51c | 2,712$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.88 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Magic | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Nets | 52c | 1,572$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.59 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Nets | 51c | 1,196$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.04 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…5c2fbacked Magic | 49c | 1,110$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Magic | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Magic | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Nets | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Magic | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Magic | 51c | 817$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.52 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Nets | 49c | 768.57$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.11 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Nets | 52c | 630.76$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.76 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Magic | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Nets | 53c | 568.58$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.58 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Nets | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Nets | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Nets | 52c | 409.67$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.87 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Magic | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Nets | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…85a1backed Nets | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 195 | 56.9%111 W · 84 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Nets | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 195 | 48.7%95 W · 100 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Magic | 48c | 365.25$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.01 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Magic | 48c | 325.45$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.86 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Magic | 47c | 319.92$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.36 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Magic | 50c | 319.58$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.79 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Nets | 51c | 318.22$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.71 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Nets | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Magic | 48c | 299.98$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.99 | 293 | 46.4%136 W · 157 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Nets | 52c | 290.04$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.04 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8df…6df7backed Nets | 52c | 279.14$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.2 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…6ad7backed Nets | 52c | 260$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.8 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Nets | 51c | 254.9$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.9 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Nets | 53c | 227.87$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.87 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…d7f1backed Nets | 53c | 222.21$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.44 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Nets | 53c | 218.87$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.87 | 206 | 51%105 W · 101 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f43…a080backed Magic | 49c | 205.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Nets | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Nets | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 289 | 29.4%85 W · 204 L | -13.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Magic | 47c | 196.94$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.56 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92de…2be8backed Magic | 49c | 196.41$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Nets | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 51c | 187.02$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.24 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Nets | 50c | 169$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.5 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Nets | 51c | 160$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…314abacked Nets | 51c | 158.12$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.12 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Magic | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f05…3dfcbacked Nets | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…b82abacked Magic | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…089abacked Magic | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Magic | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.57 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Nets | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Nets | 27c | 91.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.52 | 175 | 27.4%48 W · 127 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Nets | 49c | 82.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.43 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Nets | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Nets | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Nets | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Nets | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1421…51d1backed Nets | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Nets | 44c | 77.25$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.11 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Nets | 39c | 75.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.27 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Nets | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Nets | 52c | 70.23$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.03 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Nets | 52c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Nets | 33c | 65.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.15 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Nets | 60c | 65.02$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Magic | 43c | 61.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Nets | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 331 | 47.4%157 W · 174 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Nets | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 317 | 54.6%173 W · 144 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Nets | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 342 | 54.1%185 W · 157 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Nets | 47c | 59.57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf219…76bbbacked Magic | 50c | 58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae4…a127backed Nets | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…bac6backed Nets | 53c | 56.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 383 | 50.4%193 W · 190 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Nets | 51c | 52.12$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Magic | 39c | 50.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x207b…df20backed Nets | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Nets | 51c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 340 | 53.8%183 W · 157 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78f8…3fa1backed Nets | 53c | 47.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Magic | 52c | 44.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ab…c3acbacked Magic | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…c291backed Magic | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -55%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed Magic | 49c | 40.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Magic (-2.5)this page
- Magic vs. NetsMagic won
- Magic vs. Nets: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Magic vs. Nets: O/U 220.5Under won
- Magic vs. Nets: O/U 221.5Under won
- Magic vs. Nets: O/U 222.5Under won
- Magic vs. Nets: O/U 223.5Under won
- Magic vs. Nets: O/U 224.5Under won
- Magic vs. Nets: O/U 225.5Under won
- Spread: Magic (-1.5)Nets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.