MLB · resolved market
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb7ec3b9f8969c2e91bf32d258c0b84762afe89c0bfb12337dc276f5bbda79c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorado Rockiesof Texas Rangers, Colorado Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,304
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,045
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,304 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Colorado Rockies | 69c | 3,604$2,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.35 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Colorado Rockies | 57c | 1,819$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.27 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Texas Rangers | 31c | 1,741$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.58 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Texas Rangers | 32c | 1,526$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.7 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Texas Rangers | 49c | 1,504$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.98 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Colorado Rockies | 60c | 1,423$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.6 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Texas Rangers | 44c | 1,158$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.57 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Texas Rangers | 42c | 805.93$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.49 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Colorado Rockies | 51c | 752.09$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.9 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Colorado Rockies | 67c | 597.18$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.62 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Texas Rangers | 43c | 516.56$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.12 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Colorado Rockies | 56c | 500$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.5 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Texas Rangers | 20c | 481.01$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.78 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Texas Rangers | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…83dabacked Texas Rangers | 43c | 372.09$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb035…d989backed Texas Rangers | 41c | 344.9$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.41 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Colorado Rockies | 55c | 319.98$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.99 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…b4aebacked Texas Rangers | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Texas Rangers | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 293 | 31.7%93 W · 200 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…5ba6backed Texas Rangers | 44c | 229.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…228ebacked Texas Rangers | 45c | 178$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.1 | 193 | 35.8%69 W · 124 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Texas Rangers | 19c | 174.63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.79 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Colorado Rockies | 59c | 147.91$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.64 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Texas Rangers | 43c | 129$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.76 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Texas Rangers | 44c | 126.63$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.55 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Colorado Rockies | 57c | 120$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Colorado Rockies | 56c | 119.18$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.44 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Colorado Rockies | 57c | 116.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.3 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked Texas Rangers | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 478 | 49%234 W · 244 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Colorado Rockies | 56c | 114$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6d…804bbacked Texas Rangers | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Colorado Rockies | 55c | 104.26$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Texas Rangers | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Colorado Rockies | 71c | 83.48$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.21 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Texas Rangers | 31c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Colorado Rockies | 51c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 70.7$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 198 | 55.1%109 W · 89 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Texas Rangers | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Colorado Rockies | 53c | 59.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Texas Rangers | 45c | 56.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Texas Rangers | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Colorado Rockies | 52c | 46.31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…be90backed Colorado Rockies | 58c | 39.69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Colorado Rockies | 51c | 38.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Texas Rangers | 41c | 34.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Texas Rangers | 43c | 34.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Colorado Rockies | 69c | 33.16$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Texas Rangers | 42c | 32.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Texas Rangers | 43c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 556 | 43.9%244 W · 312 L | -38.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Texas Rangers | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Colorado Rockies | 74c | 26.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 24.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Colorado Rockies | 79c | 20.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Texas Rangers | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Colorado Rockies | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-4.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Texas Rangers vs. Colorado RockiesTexas Rangers won
- Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 7.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 8.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Colorado RockiesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.