TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,764
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,045

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,764 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9a4c…1f30backed Under52c11,000$5,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,2908943.8%39 W · 50 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over48c9,528$4,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,571.6410,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under52c9,516$4,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,574.1712,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Over46c5,297$2,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,436.5441149.1%202 W · 209 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Over48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44077951.1%398 W · 381 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over47c2,582$1,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.2111,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under54c2,304$1,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.934,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over49c2,000$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9705,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Under52c1,752$906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.6686653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under54c1,740$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.41,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over46c1,472$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.456,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over44c1,292$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.153,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over49c1,005$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.4573748.4%357 W · 380 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over46c798.43$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.2829547.1%139 W · 156 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c57…40febacked Over48c635$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.821550.2%108 W · 107 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over50c627$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.258,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Under52c499.99$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24082741.1%340 W · 487 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Over47c486$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.4241051.7%212 W · 198 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under53c428.8$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.61,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over46c400.09$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.0425249.6%125 W · 127 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad88…3c1ebacked Over47c319.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.448354.7%264 W · 219 L+20.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd876…d279backed Over42c285$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Over48c247.93$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.0199744.1%440 W · 557 L-38.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over48c237.37$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.941,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc064…6fa8backed Under55c177.84$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.0318151.9%94 W · 87 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x05e0…e2cbbacked Over48c166.67$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8011244.6%50 W · 62 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under52c156.91$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.892,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee5a…9f70backed Over47c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.58035%28 W · 52 L-10.5wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-26.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over47c143$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.214,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over48c139.5$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.962,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over49c132.51$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.798,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under52c126.15$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.143,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under52c120$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.61,84343.6%804 W · 1,039 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Over49c119.99$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.791,75350.8%890 W · 863 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…aa3cbacked Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014946.3%69 W · 80 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed Over58c104$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.321,77758.4%1,037 W · 740 L+91.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4193…4853backed Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4784651.5%436 W · 410 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.661948.6%301 W · 318 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under57c95$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.653,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Under56c92.36$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9444648.7%217 W · 229 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1884…b7a5backed Over57c87.71$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9957758.6%338 W · 239 L+1.8wins0.00per pick58cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under53c87.09$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.931,26951.1%648 W · 621 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under55c81.74$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.632,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3ff…ec82backed Over47c74.47$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3521554.9%118 W · 97 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under61c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.747743%205 W · 272 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under54c59.99$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.351555.7%287 W · 228 L+19.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over61c59$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.995,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6912…2aabbacked Over48c52.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252835.7%10 W · 18 L-3.8wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-23.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x07c0…5dd2backed Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518458.2%107 W · 77 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over49c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2527248.5%132 W · 140 L-1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x239d…daebbacked Over47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.530350.8%154 W · 149 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under57c47.68$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.664,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf713…fdebbacked Under53c45.65$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.453040%12 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed Under56c44.29$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6646946.3%217 W · 252 L-25.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc185…7020backed Under43c43.36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.723860.5%23 W · 15 L+5.0wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+41%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x590a…c459backed Over47c42.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.811451.8%59 W · 55 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Over47c42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7417645.5%80 W · 96 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under53c41.94$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7172247.6%344 W · 378 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2062554.2%339 W · 286 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ee8…7406backed Under52c39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.725743.9%25 W · 32 L-6.4wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-27.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Under54c38.13$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3626854.1%145 W · 123 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbc9…d80bbacked Over48c38.12$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.33554.3%19 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Under42c37.44$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6423140.3%93 W · 138 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Over54c36.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.792,22355.4%1,231 W · 992 L+73.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc37e…9e64backed Under54c32.59$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8329553.2%157 W · 138 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under39c30.51$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.611,08356.3%610 W · 473 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x329e…2eafbacked Over50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Over48c29.23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0367453%357 W · 317 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under77c29$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.674,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked Over50c28.75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3813152.7%69 W · 62 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Over47c26.81$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.659749.9%298 W · 299 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b4d…dd64backed Under54c25.65$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.84346.5%20 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0514…def7backed Over54c22.22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125844.8%26 W · 32 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x05b7…c24abacked Over50c22.21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1128043.2%121 W · 159 L-23.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xea9b…2be5backed Over49c20.4$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.063655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc451…958cbacked Under59c20.34$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.345100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+51.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under61c20.13$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8546952.5%246 W · 223 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Under54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.227351.3%140 W · 133 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Under54c18.75$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.623056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under80c18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.62,54545.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.