MLB · resolved market
Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9ea023639518762dba983a6a039ecacc8eff8201bc4667032c36a005b2109cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,871
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,223
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,871 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 53c | 44,718$23,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,700.52 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 47c | 42,596$20,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,576.11 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 60c | 5,331$3,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,172.98 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 39c | 5,031$1,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,072.1 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 49c | 3,414$1,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,670.29 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 47c | 3,302$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,766.2 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Over | 51c | 2,000$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.46 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 54c | 1,806$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.25 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 53c | 1,400$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 50c | 1,400$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.12 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 54c | 1,322$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.92 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 38c | 1,046$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.22 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 61c | 1,007$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.69 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 43c | 962$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.5 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Under | 47c | 852.13$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.13 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6861…baa9backed Under | 69c | 643.52$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 40c | 517$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.76 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 42c | 511.39$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.27 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 36c | 502.68$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.22 | 194 | 42.3%82 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 77c | 391$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 53c | 389.86$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.83 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 316.53$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.93 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Under | 55c | 278.58$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.96 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 18c | 232.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c5…3d6fbacked Under | 72c | 220.49$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.74 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61dd…bb24backed Over | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 52c | 131.54$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.14 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 55c | 125.1$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.72 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 54c | 123.43$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.78 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 304 | 52%158 W · 146 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 44c | 114$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.84 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Over | 53c | 98.63$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.27 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 50c | 96.13$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.23 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 47c | 93.63$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.62 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 35c | 83.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Over | 49c | 83$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.67 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 54c | 75.95$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.23 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 47c | 73$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.69 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 65c | 72.88$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.03 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 51c | 66.06$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8609…a968backed Under | 77c | 64.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 44c | 52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 39c | 51.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.33 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 66c | 45.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 44c | 43.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 325 | 50.5%164 W · 161 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 56c | 37.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 51c | 37.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…d4fbbacked Over | 59c | 34.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 209 | 62.7%131 W · 78 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 71c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Over | 45c | 32.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 49c | 30.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…cefbbacked Over | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 509 | 62.9%320 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 42c | 29.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 56c | 23.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc185…7020backed Over | 51c | 23.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +41%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 55c | 23.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 704 | 50.1%353 W · 351 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5this page
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-4.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Texas Rangers vs. Colorado RockiesTexas Rangers won
- Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 7.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 8.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Colorado RockiesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.