MLB · resolved market
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb426cf930f4bc1b772884fea443b19c7fbdf4d0a1d3beeec79e08796ddf94974
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas Rangersof Colorado Rockies, Texas Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,137
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,757
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,137 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Colorado Rockies | 30c | 5,748$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728.12 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Texas Rangers | 71c | 3,560$2,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.53 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Colorado Rockies | 38c | 2,124$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.51 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Texas Rangers | 73c | 1,211$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.74 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Texas Rangers | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Texas Rangers | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Colorado Rockies | 32c | 874.84$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.65 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Texas Rangers | 65c | 827$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.87 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Colorado Rockies | 21c | 583.09$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.05 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Texas Rangers | 62c | 524$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.77 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Texas Rangers | 63c | 450.18$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.28 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd876…d279backed Colorado Rockies | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…be4fbacked Texas Rangers | 63c | 404$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Texas Rangers | 75c | 402.73$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.96 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Texas Rangers | 59c | 399.51$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.44 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Colorado Rockies | 37c | 388.39$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.27 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked Texas Rangers | 62c | 258.39$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.39 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12a2…c60dbacked Colorado Rockies | 40c | 245$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Texas Rangers | 68c | 201.29$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.41 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…42dfbacked Colorado Rockies | 43c | 152.19$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.44 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Colorado Rockies | 34c | 129.44$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0354…2913backed Colorado Rockies | 34c | 120$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Texas Rangers | 70c | 112.98$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.33 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Colorado Rockies | 32c | 112.93$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.79 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Texas Rangers | 67c | 109$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.97 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b6…8ad0backed Texas Rangers | 65c | 104.92$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Colorado Rockies | 29c | 103.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Texas Rangers | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Texas Rangers | 69c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 272 | 48.5%132 W · 140 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Colorado Rockies | 31c | 88.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Texas Rangers | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Texas Rangers | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 304 | 52%158 W · 146 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Texas Rangers | 80c | 61.57$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 194 | 42.3%82 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Colorado Rockies | 30c | 57.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 325 | 50.5%164 W · 161 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed Texas Rangers | 68c | 56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Texas Rangers | 68c | 56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Colorado Rockies | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Texas Rangers | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Colorado Rockies | 31c | 46.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 580 | 54.5%316 W · 264 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…d825backed Colorado Rockies | 29c | 40.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Colorado Rockies | 32c | 39.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Colorado Rockies | 32c | 36.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Texas Rangers | 68c | 35.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Colorado Rockies | 30c | 34.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Texas Rangers | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Texas Rangers | 79c | 27.22$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 477 | 43%205 W · 272 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Texas Rangers | 69c | 18.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-4.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Texas Rangers vs. Colorado RockiesTexas Rangers won
- Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 7.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 8.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Colorado RockiesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.