NHL · resolved market
Sabres vs. Canadiens
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1c9225c95382f0b62d0a6f31573c340b056608fa9355c36e57bcdc91fb54eac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sabresof Sabres, Canadiens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $677,851
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $715,218
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $677,851 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 477 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Sabres | 47c | 303,037$142,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160,609.6 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Canadiens | 53c | 230,000$121,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121,900 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb859…e244backed Canadiens | 53c | 63,192$33,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,185.5 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Sabres | 46c | 48,491$22,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,039.4 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86d5…6575backed Canadiens | 53c | 44,179$23,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,415 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Sabres | 48c | 30,000$14,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,600 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Sabres | 47c | 21,687$10,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,493.91 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens | 54c | 20,888$11,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,269.71 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Canadiens | 53c | 20,257$10,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,829 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Canadiens | 54c | 20,000$10,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,780 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Canadiens | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,600 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Sabres | 78c | 15,143$11,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,345.04 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Sabres | 47c | 13,327$6,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,063.16 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Canadiens | 54c | 12,811$6,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,853.68 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5836…4d03backed Sabres | 47c | 10,647$4,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,668.75 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Sabres | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Sabres | 76c | 8,484$6,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,033.3 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Canadiens | 53c | 8,146$4,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,317.74 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Sabres | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,160 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Sabres | 45c | 6,498$2,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,585.05 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4608…d049backed Canadiens | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Canadiens | 55c | 6,000$3,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,280 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Canadiens | 53c | 5,660$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Canadiens | 53c | 5,123$2,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,715.19 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Canadiens | 54c | 5,000$2,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,674.98 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Canadiens | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,749.95 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Canadiens | 53c | 4,912$2,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,603.34 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…1b44backed Canadiens | 53c | 4,574$2,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,424 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Canadiens | 54c | 4,541$2,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,435.89 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Sabres | 47c | 4,360$2,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,310.69 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8758…01e0backed Canadiens | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -5.7wins | -0.23per pick | 47cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Sabres | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,119.96 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebbb…4214backed Canadiens | 30c | 3,341$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Canadiens | 18c | 3,253$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.13 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Sabres | 45c | 3,000$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.06 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Sabres | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Sabres | 46c | 2,708$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462.26 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Sabres | 68c | 2,587$1,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.07 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Sabres | 68c | 2,581$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.44 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Canadiens | 23c | 2,462$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.88 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Canadiens | 53c | 2,454$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.81 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…30d5backed Canadiens | 22c | 2,419$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe33c…2bd1backed Canadiens | 35c | 2,297$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07aa…deb1backed Canadiens | 54c | 2,182$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.18 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Canadiens | 23c | 2,151$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.18 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46f4…5bc0backed Sabres | 47c | 2,129$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.41 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Sabres | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Sabres | 47c | 2,100$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Sabres | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29ae…4d2cbacked Canadiens | 39c | 1,896$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.09 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Canadiens | 1c | 1,887$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Sabres | 48c | 1,864$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.58 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Canadiens | 22c | 1,771$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.07 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Canadiens | 30c | 1,730$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.96 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Canadiens | 53c | 1,672$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.06 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Sabres | 46c | 1,640$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.6 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Canadiens | 23c | 1,608$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.77 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x293f…3e52backed Sabres | 48c | 1,563$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.5 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Canadiens | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.99 | 363 | 49%178 W · 185 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3b…3f07backed Canadiens | 15c | 1,384$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.66 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -42%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Canadiens | 23c | 1,374$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.35 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Sabres | 47c | 1,357$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.21 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Canadiens | 53c | 1,350$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.72 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Canadiens | 10c | 1,250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Canadiens | 2c | 1,211$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200c…58eabacked Canadiens | 53c | 1,161$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.28 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Sabres | 47c | 1,111$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.83 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Canadiens | 2c | 1,100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Sabres | 45c | 1,082$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.1 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Canadiens | 32c | 1,073$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.21 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Canadiens | 21c | 1,026$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.01 | 227 | 28.2%64 W · 163 L | -17.6wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe779…335ebacked Canadiens | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed Canadiens | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Sabres | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Canadiens | 21c | 999.95$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…8b56backed Sabres | 44c | 999.94$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.97 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Canadiens | 53c | 962.26$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Canadiens | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x765c…0779backed Canadiens | 53c | 900.01$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.5 | 400 | 49.3%197 W · 203 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Canadiens | 51c | 882.6$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.24 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed Canadiens | 54c | 854.56$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.46 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc0…9ed1backed Canadiens | 55c | 839.02$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.46 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Canadiens | 53c | 830.19$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Sabres | 44c | 830$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.8 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Canadiens | 23c | 808.22$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.14 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Canadiens | 54c | 806.87$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.62 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d8…480bbacked Sabres | 47c | 798.32$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.11 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…be90backed Sabres | 45c | 784.44$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.44 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +5.2wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Canadiens | 48c | 773$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.75 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cee…0bd3backed Sabres | 48c | 755$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Sabres | 47c | 750$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.5 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Sabres | 70c | 714.37$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.37 | 44 | 77.3%34 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Canadiens | 17c | 700.94$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.75 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Sabres | 46c | 690.77$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.1 | 352 | 45.2%159 W · 193 L | -19.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Sabres | 48c | 687.5$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.5 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Canadiens | 54c | 672.22$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Canadiens | 53c | 669.19$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.96 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Canadiens | 54c | 637.04$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Sabres | 77c | 619.44$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.24 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Canadiens | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sabres vs. Canadiensthis page
- Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)Sabres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.