NHL · resolved market
Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfee14483bcdc3873f85ffa4e16e80e4ce16d907025cb72e85430047d0c8094fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,324
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,195
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,324 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 52c | 30,396$15,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,802.36 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Under | 48c | 30,108$14,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,656 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Over | 52c | 21,000$10,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,912.17 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 48c | 13,454$6,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,995.87 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8a…e842backed Under | 50c | 9,778$4,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,889.02 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,160 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 50c | 7,152$3,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,565.75 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…2682backed Under | 51c | 3,925$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,924.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Under | 48c | 3,743$1,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,946.41 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 52c | 3,132$1,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,628.62 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc929…36c4backed Under | 51c | 3,067$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Under | 49c | 2,948$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,503.7 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 50c | 2,002$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.13 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 50c | 2,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 49c | 1,999$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.42 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 48c | 1,792$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.84 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 1,262$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.37 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 48c | 875$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Over | 52c | 846.85$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.36 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa70b…7a8abacked Over | 52c | 834.62$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Under | 49c | 813.04$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.65 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Over | 51c | 809.99$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.1 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 52c | 753.81$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.98 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae2f…fd04backed Under | 51c | 735.29$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.29 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Under | 49c | 613$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.63 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 48c | 499.99$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.99 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Over | 50c | 459.26$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.63 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over | 50c | 459.26$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.63 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 48c | 444$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.88 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Over | 50c | 398$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 52c | 326.92$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…807dbacked Over | 52c | 324.23$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Over | 52c | 289.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed1…efcbbacked Over | 71c | 283.25$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.03 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Under | 50c | 269$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.34 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Over | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f49…7458backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.9wins | -0.29per pick | 52cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 480 | 46.9%225 W · 255 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 49c | 131.96$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.67 | 262 | 43.5%114 W · 148 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 38c | 113.08$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.6 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 49c | 105$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e5…b098backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 210 | 60%126 W · 84 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…df45backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…6a69backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 231 | 58%134 W · 97 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f31…e308backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.5wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x85f5…285bbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Under | 48c | 89.43$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Over | 50c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 50c | 72.35$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.36 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 56c | 68.89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.55 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…f170backed Under | 44c | 62.63$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 35c | 59.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…d932backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…9a86backed Over | 50c | 50.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Under | 41c | 48.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e91…3e2abacked Under | 49c | 44.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 50c | 44.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd6…16abbacked Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 308 | 59.4%183 W · 125 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f7…2633backed Under | 51c | 38.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed Under | 51c | 38.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x951b…291abacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc95f…357fbacked Over | 51c | 37.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Under | 51c | 34.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab8…b5a6backed Over | 51c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…e5d1backed Over | 51c | 29.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Over | 74c | 27.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeba…d2d8backed Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 50c | 23.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Under | 51c | 20.01$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6460…84efbacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5this page
- Sabres vs. CanadiensSabres won
- Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)Sabres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.