NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Raptors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb2ee5a6a7080d70bfa96931cd4210f0e170c5b9bbb96fb32dabbfb499545f8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Magic, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,575,775
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,642,904
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,575,775 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,261 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Magic | 53c | 544,735$288,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288,709.44 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Raptors | 47c | 448,205$210,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237,548.89 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Magic | 53c | 295,657$156,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156,699.88 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Raptors | 48c | 187,048$89,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97,264.82 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Raptors | 48c | 145,083$70,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,053.01 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Raptors | 47c | 129,999$61,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,899.46 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Magic | 52c | 73,213$38,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,029.26 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Raptors | 47c | 66,287$31,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,819.42 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x060e…2384backed Raptors | 48c | 62,376$29,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,435.75 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6c…6305backed Magic | 52c | 55,498$28,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,837.73 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Magic | 51c | 51,099$26,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,060.25 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Magic | 51c | 49,247$25,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,116.21 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Raptors | 47c | 43,797$20,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,998.03 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…cc31backed Raptors | 49c | 40,000$19,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,400 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d56…7486backed Magic | 52c | 40,000$20,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,800 | 178 | 61.2%109 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Raptors | 49c | 36,284$17,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,504.94 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Raptors | 47c | 34,537$16,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,424.57 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Magic | 52c | 29,516$15,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,348.25 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Raptors | 20c | 27,205$5,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,773.66 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x959a…7b64backed Raptors | 14c | 23,673$3,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,393.09 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +42%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Raptors | 48c | 23,016$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,015.76 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Magic | 52c | 22,081$11,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,453.67 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Magic | 52c | 21,960$11,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,419.42 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6576…6cc5backed Magic | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,400 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…67efbacked Magic | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,400 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Magic | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,400 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…cca9backed Raptors | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,400 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…0caabacked Raptors | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,399.99 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Raptors | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,399.98 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Magic | 52c | 19,051$9,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,876.59 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…dc8fbacked Magic | 52c | 19,000$9,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,880 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…7e6ebacked Raptors | 48c | 19,000$9,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,879.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde6d…0926backed Magic | 66c | 18,549$12,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,302.58 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…e11cbacked Magic | 52c | 18,000$9,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,360 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x920a…e4f2backed Magic | 52c | 18,000$9,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,360 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x828c…726fbacked Raptors | 49c | 18,000$8,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,180 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Raptors | 46c | 16,130$7,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,647.05 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…c2c7backed Raptors | 47c | 15,000$7,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,950 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Raptors | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,799.96 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Magic | 52c | 14,689$7,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,638.29 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Magic | 61c | 11,582$7,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,055.41 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Magic | 51c | 11,110$5,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,665.98 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Magic | 52c | 10,508$5,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,465.96 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Raptors | 31c | 10,116$3,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,934.3 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Magic | 46c | 10,109$4,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,606.84 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Raptors | 36c | 10,000$3,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,371.72 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Magic | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8323…ba89backed Magic | 52c | 9,615$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Magic | 53c | 9,103$4,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,824.38 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8b…77d4backed Raptors | 48c | 8,799$4,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,575.35 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35bd…1ecfbacked Magic | 51c | 8,700$4,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,436.88 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Raptors | 48c | 8,451$4,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,418.49 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Magic | 52c | 8,423$4,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,379.96 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Raptors | 49c | 8,163$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,163.27 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b3…cb3abacked Raptors | 57c | 8,120$4,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,451.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Raptors | 19c | 7,711$1,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,238.3 | 342 | 27.2%93 W · 249 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Magic | 52c | 6,731$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Magic | 51c | 6,210$3,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,167.08 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…48f3backed Magic | 52c | 6,135$3,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,190 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Magic | 46c | 5,973$2,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,748.04 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Raptors | 47c | 5,775$2,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060.75 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Magic | 62c | 5,551$3,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,430.74 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Magic | 52c | 4,846$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,519.92 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa312…c8a0backed Raptors | 48c | 4,600$2,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,391.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Magic | 52c | 4,242$2,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205.84 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Magic | 52c | 4,200$2,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,184 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a976backed Raptors | 19c | 4,136$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,335.54 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -12.2wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac2…ca2ebacked Raptors | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b43…d0bbbacked Raptors | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.96 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.35per pick | 47cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc764…3e79backed Magic | 51c | 3,700$1,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,887 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Magic | 51c | 3,456$1,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,771.35 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Magic | 36c | 3,446$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.57 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Raptors | 47c | 3,393$1,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,783.73 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Magic | 49c | 3,372$1,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,658.96 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Raptors | 48c | 3,200$1,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,674.16 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Raptors | 38c | 3,196$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,991.5 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…fc0dbacked Magic | 52c | 3,100$1,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,612 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Raptors | 38c | 3,052$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,904.51 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Magic | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Raptors | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Raptors | 47c | 2,944$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.87 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66cd…0d77backed Magic | 51c | 2,900$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Raptors | 47c | 2,564$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.7 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Raptors | 47c | 2,539$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.57 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x697d…985dbacked Raptors | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1f…6623backed Magic | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161e…6ef0backed Raptors | 44c | 2,463$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.12 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0e…61d9backed Magic | 52c | 2,400$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Magic | 2c | 2,400$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 85 | 12.9%11 W · 74 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Magic | 50c | 2,400$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.47 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Magic | 52c | 2,380$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.6 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed Magic | 52c | 2,360$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.2 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Raptors | 45c | 2,273$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.51 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Raptors | 18c | 2,250$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,835.85 | 426 | 40.4%172 W · 254 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x816b…d69dbacked Magic | 65c | 2,235$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.79 | 247 | 52.6%130 W · 117 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1692…831fbacked Magic | 72c | 2,153$1,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,544.25 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x964f…ca58backed Raptors | 61c | 2,145$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.98 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…ee5abacked Raptors | 48c | 2,105$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.71 | 187 | 64.7%121 W · 66 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Raptors | 23c | 2,093$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,614.33 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Raptors | 47c | 2,087$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.11 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Raptorsthis page
- Magic vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Magic vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Magic vs. Raptors: O/U 219.5Under won
- Magic vs. Raptors: O/U 220.5Under won
- Magic vs. Raptors: O/U 221.5Under won
- Magic vs. Raptors: O/U 222.5Under won
- Magic vs. Raptors: O/U 223.5Under won
- Magic vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5Under won
- Spread: Magic (-1.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Magic (-2.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.