NBA · resolved market
Spread: Magic (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7ac2ae5feffd8dc34d6c402c669ba9b922f0ae8b426a5f7e32e727cbce61e83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Magic, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $653,072
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $654,345
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $653,072 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Magic | 52c | 598,677$310,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310,000 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Raptors | 48c | 263,204$126,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136,866.11 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Raptors | 48c | 144,444$69,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,110.88 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Raptors | 49c | 55,555$27,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,110.83 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Raptors | 49c | 40,632$19,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,715.94 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Raptors | 49c | 39,438$19,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,239.89 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Raptors | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,800 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Raptors | 49c | 12,322$5,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,340.17 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Raptors | 48c | 10,050$4,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,226 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raptors | 48c | 9,614$4,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,984.38 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Raptors | 50c | 5,177$2,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,588.51 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Raptors | 48c | 4,495$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,335.17 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Magic | 51c | 4,304$2,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,181.85 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Raptors | 48c | 3,400$1,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,762 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Magic | 50c | 3,333$1,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.5 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Raptors | 49c | 3,324$1,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,695.22 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Raptors | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Raptors | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Raptors | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Magic | 51c | 1,867$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Raptors | 48c | 1,458$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.16 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Raptors | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Raptors | 49c | 1,119$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.69 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…0375backed Raptors | 51c | 1,045$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6909…36b5backed Magic | 51c | 413.08$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.84 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Magic | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Raptors | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Raptors | 50c | 263.43$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.29 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Magic | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Raptors | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 217 | 53%115 W · 102 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Magic | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Magic | 49c | 137.57$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.41 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Magic | 50c | 133$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3d…3f06backed Raptors | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.84 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Raptors | 29c | 104$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.54 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…4083backed Raptors | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 173 | 41%71 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…e2c1backed Raptors | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e57…21cbbacked Magic | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Raptors | 51c | 98.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.19 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…a4fdbacked Raptors | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Magic | 50c | 97.3$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa852…d55dbacked Raptors | 45c | 92.9$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.29 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Raptors | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf82a…939abacked Raptors | 50c | 85.12$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.56 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Raptors | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…39fdbacked Raptors | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…14d9backed Raptors | 51c | 78.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.65 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Magic | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Raptors | 50c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Raptors | 49c | 71.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.46 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdae5…ed7ebacked Raptors | 51c | 69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Magic | 50c | 64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Raptors | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Raptors | 51c | 60.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d6…36cbbacked Raptors | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | -19.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Magic | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Magic | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7802…d5b4backed Magic | 49c | 59.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 107 | 58.9%63 W · 44 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x976f…7b6dbacked Raptors | 50c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…f75cbacked Raptors | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec4…b9febacked Raptors | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…1b11backed Raptors | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…57f1backed Magic | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733e…c558backed Raptors | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4acf…4220backed Magic | 50c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21a8…d674backed Magic | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Raptors | 48c | 30.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Magic | 45c | 29.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 620 | 47.3%293 W · 327 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c17…0458backed Magic | 51c | 29.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 171 | 53.2%91 W · 80 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Magic | 52c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Magic | 50c | 28.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 204 | 56.4%115 W · 89 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…7fd0backed Magic | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Raptors | 48c | 26.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Magic | 50c | 26.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…8deabacked Magic | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Magic | 50c | 25.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Raptors | 51c | 25.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Magic | 50c | 24.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x756d…04a9backed Raptors | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Raptors | 44c | 23.77$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Magic | 51c | 21.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 302 | 44%133 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Raptors | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…5c1bbacked Raptors | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…7f18backed Magic | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f7…1cddbacked Raptors | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…c0efbacked Magic | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Magic (-1.5)this page
- Magic vs. RaptorsRaptors won
- Magic vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Magic vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Magic vs. Raptors: O/U 219.5Under won
- Magic vs. Raptors: O/U 220.5Under won
- Magic vs. Raptors: O/U 221.5Under won
- Magic vs. Raptors: O/U 222.5Under won
- Magic vs. Raptors: O/U 223.5Under won
- Magic vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5Under won
- Spread: Magic (-2.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.