TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6576…6cc5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
38
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NFL, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 53 out of 100; worst NHL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST2450%12 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans: O/U 241.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,380Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+117.4%+$1,620
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$6,890Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$6,890
Nets vs. Wizards: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$7,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$7,500
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$8,160Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$8,840
Pistons vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$2,300
Celtics vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$2,800
76ers vs. Grizzliesbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,650Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+88.7%+$2,349.98
Magic vs. Raptorsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10,400
Bucks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$2,050
Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16,668Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$16,668.3
Mavericks vs. Kings: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13,070Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$13,070
Spread: Raptors (-9.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$6,160Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+78.6%+$4,840
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16,203Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+85.2%+$13,802.3
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$9,515Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+60.4%+$5,746.9
Spread: Heat (-3.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$8,600Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+132.6%+$11,400
Spread: Hornets (-6.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$4,950Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+122.2%+$6,049.99
Pistons vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$7,853Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$7,853.18
Spread: Celtics (-2.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,880Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$1,880
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11,550Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+29.9%+$3,450
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$24,805Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$24,805
Spread: Lakers (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13,500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+85.2%+$11,500
Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11,200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+78.6%+$8,800
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+81.8%+$18,000
Spread: Heat (-1.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10,206Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10,206.25
All 24 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jaguars vs. Colts: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$9,200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+150%+$13,800
Jaguars vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$1,500
Spread: Eagles (-6.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$367Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+85.2%+$312.8
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,700Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+112.8%+$5,300
Chargers vs. Chiefs: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$6,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$6,800
Raiders vs. Eaglesbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$650
All 6 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-66.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$4,505Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$4,505
Utah vs. Bruinsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$5,200
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$1,600
Predators vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14,800Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+35.1%+$5,200
All 4 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$2,900
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$4,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$4,800
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+122.2%+$550
All 3 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Cloud9 vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3)backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25,200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+38.9%+$9,800
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.