NBA · resolved market

Spread: Heat (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4655fcd14f833ea338fa2017f2b567c30f66ddd61fcd6fb2de69f79040a6e6b

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Magicof Heat, Magic
Resolved: Dec 9, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $215,055
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $216,381

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $215,055 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Magic	51c	79,834$40,676 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39,158.02	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd43c…04e8backed Heat	50c	65,000$32,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32,500	115	35.7%41 W · 74 L	-12.9wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb351…5fbfbacked Magic	49c	30,041$14,669 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,372.76	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	-2.3wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6576…6cc5backed Heat	51c	20,000$10,206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,206.25	24	50%12 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f79…fefbbacked Magic	49c	20,000$9,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,200	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Heat	49c	18,334$9,013 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,013.16	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Heat	47c	14,152$6,651 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,651.3	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Magic	49c	12,381$6,028 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,353.47	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb84…08a9backed Magic	53c	7,547$4,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,547.17	51	39.2%20 W · 31 L	-9.3wins	-0.18per pick	57cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Heat	52c	5,115$2,660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,660	403	50.1%202 W · 201 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ac5…e61cbacked Heat	47c	4,485$2,108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,108	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Heat	51c	4,465$2,292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,291.5	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Heat	51c	3,938$2,014 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,014.18	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Heat	51c	3,670$1,872 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,871.58	596	46.1%275 W · 321 L	-16.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Heat	51c	3,167$1,604 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,603.94	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Magic	49c	3,047$1,504 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,543.5	367	41.4%152 W · 215 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Heat	51c	2,993$1,530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,530.29	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfa25…05e8backed Heat	44c	2,300$1,012 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,012	63	52.4%33 W · 30 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98a9…676ebacked Magic	51c	2,100$1,071 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,029	22	50%11 W · 11 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67f6…00f6backed Heat	49c	2,100$1,029 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,029	24	62.5%15 W · 9 L	+3.0wins	+0.13per pick	50cpaid	+26.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Heat	48c	2,083$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d04…9435backed Magic	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$980	26	65.4%17 W · 9 L	+3.9wins	+0.15per pick	51cpaid	+29.3%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x21ce…6f34backed Magic	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	137	48.9%67 W · 70 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5650…ce21backed Heat	49c	2,000$980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$980	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb6b…943abacked Heat	48c	1,731$831 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$830.88	154	61.7%95 W · 59 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0432…1660backed Heat	46c	1,572$723 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$723.25	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfce…b388backed Heat	49c	1,398$685 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$685	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Heat	46c	1,379$634 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$634.34	627	44.5%279 W · 348 L	-12.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd65d…a9e6backed Magic	48c	1,122$538 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$583.29	73	47.9%35 W · 38 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f8e…b232backed Heat	45c	1,111$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.95	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Magic	50c	1,000$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	248	47.6%118 W · 130 L	-6.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Heat	45c	1,000$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	294	58.5%172 W · 122 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Magic	53c	1,000$530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$470	256	42.6%109 W · 147 L	-9.9wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Heat	51c	849$433 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$433.17	500	47.2%236 W · 264 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d18…4972backed Heat	47c	655.53$311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310.99	163	39.3%64 W · 99 L	-10.2wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Heat	48c	627$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.96	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775e…6541backed Heat	45c	564.82$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.17	46	50%23 W · 23 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Magic	51c	552.91$282 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270.93	517	53.8%278 W · 239 L	+11.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Heat	51c	551.54$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.29	950	49.4%469 W · 481 L	+10.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Magic	53c	481.11$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$226.12	356	51.1%182 W · 174 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Heat	48c	416.67$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1,259	48.7%613 W · 646 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Heat	51c	400$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203	446	54.3%242 W · 204 L	+21.5wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8aea…ec91backed Heat	52c	400$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Magic	53c	325.78$171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.3	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Heat	47c	300$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141	373	57.4%214 W · 159 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Heat	51c	295$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.2	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46bd…37e8backed Heat	48c	262.5$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126	168	37.5%63 W · 105 L	-20.6wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-25%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Heat	49c	252.88$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	293	46.4%136 W · 157 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Heat	51c	251.74$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.14	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf5f7…f247backed Magic	53c	241.51$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.51	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.47per pick	53cpaid	+88.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Magic	53c	226.42$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.42	660	46.8%309 W · 351 L	-16.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e46…0742backed Heat	48c	220$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.6	239	48.5%116 W · 123 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5961…56dbbacked Heat	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	378	48.9%185 W · 193 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a3c…93d7backed Magic	53c	200$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94	403	46.2%186 W · 217 L	+9.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Heat	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	156	49.4%77 W · 79 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d56…0ba5backed Heat	47c	190$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.3	96	47.9%46 W · 50 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bd4…ea9abacked Magic	54c	185.83$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.48	11	90.9%10 W · 1 L	+3.6wins	+0.33per pick	58cpaid	+57.7%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5c44…739abacked Magic	50c	158.42$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.21	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7202…d285backed Heat	51c	155.31$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.21	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-20%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Magic	49c	142.86$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.86	818	45.7%374 W · 444 L	+9.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58b7…103cbacked Magic	54c	136.14$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.6	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x265b…74dfbacked Heat	45c	133.33$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	53	45.3%24 W · 29 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78e5…de63backed Magic	53c	132$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.04	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9270…7c9ebacked Heat	51c	126.53$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.53	114	45.6%52 W · 62 L	-5.6wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x59eb…fa33backed Heat	46c	108.7$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	99	41.4%41 W · 58 L	-7.4wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Heat	47c	106.38$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	603	46.4%280 W · 323 L	-12.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Heat	51c	100$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	955	48.5%463 W · 492 L	-3.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Heat	47c	100$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	612	53.1%325 W · 287 L	-20.0wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa521…4599backed Magic	56c	95$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.8	75	57.3%43 W · 32 L	+6.7wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1365…97dfbacked Magic	53c	94.34$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.34	162	53.1%86 W · 76 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Magic	53c	84.85$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.88	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Heat	48c	81.25$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	535	39.6%212 W · 323 L	-11.9wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Magic	53c	80$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.6	624	50%312 W · 312 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01a7…8400backed Magic	50c	79.22$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.22	8	50%4 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc0a5…4024backed Magic	51c	78.43$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.43	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-2.0wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda84…ad33backed Heat	51c	78.43$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a31…152cbacked Magic	52c	76.92$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.92	484	51.2%248 W · 236 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa351…17c3backed Heat	48c	73$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.04	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.7wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x12af…6124backed Heat	45c	70.9$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.91	65	56.9%37 W · 28 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01d8…d0f6backed Magic	53c	70$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.9	11	81.8%9 W · 2 L	+2.6wins	+0.23per pick	58cpaid	+45.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0338…4f11backed Heat	50c	69.99$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.7	72	48.6%35 W · 37 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x971c…f72cbacked Heat	47c	69.99$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.6	152	53.3%81 W · 71 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x58f3…dcdebacked Heat	48c	68$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.64	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a59…124dbacked Magic	52c	63.38$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.42	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb966…cac6backed Heat	48c	62.5$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	253	51%129 W · 124 L	-6.5wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5256…24a5backed Heat	51c	61.22$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.22	52	46.2%24 W · 28 L	-3.7wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Magic	53c	56.6$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.6	1,389	54.9%762 W · 627 L	+16.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cbc…6e47backed Heat	45c	53.33$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e9…f67fbacked Heat	51c	52.94$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89e4…99eebacked Magic	50c	52.52$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.26	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-2.2wins	-0.27per pick	52cpaid	-50%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d58…8accbacked Heat	48c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	358	51.7%185 W · 173 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Heat	47c	49.97$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.49	801	46.4%372 W · 429 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd22f…d0eebacked Magic	52c	48.08$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.08	408	53.7%219 W · 189 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7483…96a6backed Heat	44c	48$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.12	47	46.8%22 W · 25 L	-2.6wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e75…e81dbacked Magic	51c	47$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.03	51	52.9%27 W · 24 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Magic	53c	45$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.15	1,109	41.8%464 W · 645 L	-20.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0efe…df51backed Heat	45c	44.44$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	38	52.6%20 W · 18 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Heat	51c	43.12$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.15	1,758	48.7%856 W · 902 L	+28.3wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37af…f90bbacked Heat	52c	42.83$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.27	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef6d…e751backed Heat	47c	42.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-2.3wins	-0.33per pick	61cpaid	-63.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Heat (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event