NBA · resolved market

Heat vs. Magic: O/U 234.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e3d6e7f2e3ef5c6957d93b44883a707574ca3228a8077b960f552803bfa6cf5

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Dec 9, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $77,185
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $79,752

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,185 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xead0…f3babacked Under	46c	8,921$4,104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,817.38	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d25…132bbacked Over	52c	7,906$4,111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,111	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under	47c	6,293$2,958 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,335.34	1,212	48.3%586 W · 626 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked Over	52c	6,000$3,118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,118	57	50.9%29 W · 28 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Over	53c	5,893$3,124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,123.55	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Over	51c	5,356$2,732 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,731.75	63	52.4%33 W · 30 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x265c…7843backed Over	52c	5,192$2,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,700	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.25per pick	50cpaid	+54%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under	48c	4,000$1,920 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,079.76	362	48.9%177 W · 185 L	-6.6wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x535b…25a9backed Under	51c	3,949$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,948.87	125	55.2%69 W · 56 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked Over	54c	3,704$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000.38	117	50.4%59 W · 58 L	+3.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over	49c	3,004$1,479 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,478.98	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over	52c	2,299$1,207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,206.69	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa75d…1246backed Over	49c	2,100$1,029 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,029	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-2.0wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8786…982dbacked Under	51c	2,100$1,071 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,029	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+1.7wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+17%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3e8…29f1backed Over	49c	2,100$1,029 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,029	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-3.5wins	-0.23per pick	50cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6371…d8febacked Under	51c	2,100$1,071 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,029	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-2.2wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba43…388cbacked Over	49c	2,100$1,029 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,029	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-3.3wins	-0.22per pick	49cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x92db…4fabbacked Under	51c	2,100$1,071 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,029	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-1.8wins	-0.10per pick	52cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Over	48c	2,002$961 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$960.88	367	41.4%152 W · 215 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2e…2ad2backed Under	49c	2,000$980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,020	28	60.7%17 W · 11 L	+3.1wins	+0.11per pick	50cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a61…92f4backed Over	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,020	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-1.9wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x17b9…430dbacked Under	49c	1,504$737 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$767.01	130	40%52 W · 78 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Under	52c	1,289$670 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$618.87	403	50.1%202 W · 201 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over	52c	1,201$625 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$624.82	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0341…a679backed Under	52c	1,130$587 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$542.31	130	41.5%54 W · 76 L	-8.8wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under	48c	1,124$540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$584.48	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	48c	1,111$538 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$572.82	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	52c	904$473 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$431.2	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under	48c	750$360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$390	1,332	51.2%682 W · 650 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcef…a339backed Under	52c	710.67$370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$341.12	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under	48c	610$293 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$317.2	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Over	52c	441$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.32	511	46.6%238 W · 273 L	-13.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over	49c	400$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196	843	42.9%362 W · 481 L	-39.1wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9519…3b2ebacked Under	53c	377.36$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.36	178	56.2%100 W · 78 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Over	52c	340.38$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177	623	47.5%296 W · 327 L	-17.3wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under	51c	305$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.45	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3334…a65dbacked Under	47c	278.72$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.72	55	40%22 W · 33 L	-5.4wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under	47c	234.04$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.04	660	46.8%309 W · 351 L	-16.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf531…b062backed Under	48c	229.99$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.59	548	38%208 W · 340 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebb1…e7afbacked Under	49c	225$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.75	368	54.1%199 W · 169 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1e46…0742backed Under	49c	220$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.2	239	48.5%116 W · 123 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under	47c	212.77$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.77	509	54.8%279 W · 230 L	+14.8wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e88…7c99backed Under	48c	208.33$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.33	55	52.7%29 W · 26 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5961…56dbbacked Under	49c	204.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.08	378	48.9%185 W · 193 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc63b…f88ebacked Over	30c	200$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x15a3…718ebacked Under	51c	180$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.2	113	51.3%58 W · 55 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7cff…6471backed Under	50c	140$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70	144	45.8%66 W · 78 L	-7.0wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8105…955abacked Under	53c	136.02$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.93	49	55.1%27 W · 22 L	+5.1wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7555…ce17backed Under	49c	122.17$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.17	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1f4…4763backed Over	53c	107$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.71	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	56cpaid	-16%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa521…4599backed Under	47c	106$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.18	75	57.3%43 W · 32 L	+6.7wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd619…fcf3backed Under	49c	104.08$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.08	124	54%67 W · 57 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Under	50c	100.98$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.98	477	38.2%182 W · 295 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf93f…9033backed Under	49c	100$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under	51c	100$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9242…60babacked Over	52c	100$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	45	60%27 W · 18 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36ce…daddbacked Under	49c	100$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	61	54.1%33 W · 28 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x76d4…3ad4backed Over	47c	100$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-2.6wins	-0.32per pick	57cpaid	-67.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4556…2b35backed Under	51c	100$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49	129	52.7%68 W · 61 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6611…17e7backed Under	51c	100$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49	90	48.9%44 W · 46 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb82d…5d1ebacked Under	48c	97$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.44	94	46.8%44 W · 50 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Over	52c	96.15$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	385	45.7%176 W · 209 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x881f…dfe9backed Over	52c	96.15$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-6.0wins	-0.24per pick	44cpaid	-65.7%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xc49c…6dcabacked Under	48c	95$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.4	79	51.9%41 W · 38 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Under	48c	83.33$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.33	81	46.9%38 W · 43 L	-3.9wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Under	49c	81.63$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.63	522	42.7%223 W · 299 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Under	53c	81.3$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.6	526	43%226 W · 300 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a20…af22backed Under	49c	80$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.8	89	43.8%39 W · 50 L	-5.2wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x762b…7e4fbacked Under	48c	77.08$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.08	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.52per pick	48cpaid	+108.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1228…c4fabacked Over	52c	60$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.2	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-2.4wins	-0.24per pick	44cpaid	-62%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Over	51c	58.82$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	917	46.9%430 W · 487 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under	48c	53.2$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.66	1,475	51.3%756 W · 719 L	+35.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Under	48c	52.08$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.08	118	48.3%57 W · 61 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over	51c	51.02$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.02	1,451	49.7%721 W · 730 L	+18.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1440…8cf8backed Under	49c	51.02$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.02	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda84…ad33backed Under	52c	46.15$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.15	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa81b…dd67backed Under	49c	40.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.82	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01a7…8400backed Over	49c	40.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	50%4 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x78b2…dd6dbacked Under	49c	40.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.82	33	57.6%19 W · 14 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbdc7…31c0backed Under	50c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	87	46%40 W · 47 L	-5.7wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda6e…e417backed Over	53c	39$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.67	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc76e…caa5backed Over	52c	38.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	115	45.2%52 W · 63 L	+4.7wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d3b…bd9fbacked Over	52c	38$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.76	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-4.1wins	-0.27per pick	47cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x279b…7d84backed Over	52c	38$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.76	25	52%13 W · 12 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c36…5fd6backed Over	53c	37.36$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a4e…e3a4backed Over	53c	37$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.61	38	57.9%22 W · 16 L	+2.4wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58b7…103cbacked Over	51c	36.99$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60dc…9a3ebacked Over	52c	36$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.72	24	70.8%17 W · 7 L	+4.3wins	+0.18per pick	53cpaid	+34.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb375…59d6backed Over	51c	33.04$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.69	86	52.3%45 W · 41 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb09…1bd1backed Over	51c	30.17$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.39	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.26per pick	43cpaid	-73.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x36c9…3f9fbacked Over	53c	30$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.9	29	69%20 W · 9 L	+5.0wins	+0.17per pick	52cpaid	+31%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x02ec…5412backed Over	40c	25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	273	59%161 W · 112 L	+8.5wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfacf…e97abacked Over	52c	23$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.96	37	51.4%19 W · 18 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6162…e856backed Over	52c	22$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.44	35	62.9%22 W · 13 L	+3.4wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Under	50c	21.9$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.95	950	49.4%469 W · 481 L	+10.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over	52c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc14…1dd2backed Over	52c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Heat vs. Magic: O/U 234.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event