NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Magic: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4044ea08e1dcea6ffa6746a7dd8b3435cad7fb14ad1398c5edd45c0b4d90b13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $169,473
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $171,405
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,473 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Over | 49c | 100,375$49,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,179.97 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 51c | 94,351$48,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,294.73 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Under | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,803.92 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Under | 50c | 4,718$2,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,359 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under | 50c | 4,516$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,266 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…7253backed Over | 49c | 4,500$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,204.98 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Under | 51c | 3,955$2,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,947.17 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +6.4wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x535b…25a9backed Over | 51c | 3,931$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 125 | 55.2%69 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Under | 50c | 2,430$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215 | 130 | 63.8%83 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 50c | 2,206$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.5 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 1,768$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.67 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 1,353$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.72 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Under | 51c | 1,302$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.98 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 220 | 53.6%118 W · 102 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Under | 50c | 644.85$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.43 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 49c | 612$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d25…132bbacked Over | 49c | 610.2$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Under | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…a250backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 344 | 47.4%163 W · 181 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…1bd1backed Over | 49c | 559.44$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 50c | 518.96$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.48 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b4…1014backed Over | 49c | 457.14$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked Over | 63c | 429.98$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9519…3b2ebacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5f…2348backed Over | 50c | 390$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 52c | 375$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de3…b690backed Under | 51c | 367.41$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 49c | 335$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.8 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd4…ebc4backed Over | 50c | 312$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.12 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -7.4wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b11…06bcbacked Under | 49c | 300$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Over | 49c | 299.92$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.96 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Under | 42c | 260$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c36…5fd6backed Over | 50c | 244.42$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…4f43backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 228 | 50.9%116 W · 112 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…f88ebacked Under | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Under | 49c | 197$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.47 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10a8…8629backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 49c | 189.62$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.81 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ac…1494backed Over | 49c | 163.12$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.93 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 51c | 144.51$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…d48cbacked Over | 50c | 127.15$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…9bcbbacked Under | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…9601backed Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 49c | 119$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.69 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x474b…c5b1backed Under | 51c | 115.8$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.74 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e3…cf81backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 189 | 55%104 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc483…8ac8backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d56…0ba5backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…3ad4backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70df…bca8backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ed…b35abacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +8.1wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0765…a6f6backed Over | 50c | 82.93$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0039…046ebacked Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed Under | 51c | 76.34$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.54 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd7…5403backed Over | 49c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…c2edbacked Under | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1228…c4fabacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -62%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3424…d731backed Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc947…a8bebacked Under | 51c | 57.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc32e…203dbacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f1…6349backed Under | 51c | 47.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 173 | 50.9%88 W · 85 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c2…5c3bbacked Over | 50c | 46.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…8ae8backed Under | 51c | 41.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6edb…6089backed Under | 51c | 41.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 197 | 56.3%111 W · 86 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c6…5210backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1612…9dedbacked Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…8107backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b8…a4a5backed Over | 50c | 39.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 202 | 41.1%83 W · 119 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde4a…e7d1backed Over | 50c | 38.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddff…b4b1backed Over | 50c | 35.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa64…eb55backed Over | 50c | 35.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a5…fb44backed Under | 52c | 35.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 125 | 61.6%77 W · 48 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88dc…f050backed Over | 50c | 33.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cca…9200backed Over | 51c | 33.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f0…3c8ebacked Over | 51c | 33.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b87…dec4backed Over | 50c | 32.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…755abacked Over | 50c | 32.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a99…5b5dbacked Over | 50c | 28.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 849 | 57.6%489 W · 360 L | -52.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5093…dee4backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dd…490bbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heat vs. Magic: O/U 235.5this page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-0.5)Heat won
- 1H Spread: Magic (-1.5)Heat won
- Heat vs. MagicMagic won
- Heat vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineHeat won
- Heat vs. Magic: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Heat vs. Magic: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Heat vs. Magic: 1H O/U 122.5Under won
- Heat vs. Magic: O/U 233.5Under won
- Heat vs. Magic: O/U 234.5Under won
- Heat vs. Magic: O/U 236.5Under won
- Heat vs. Magic: O/U 237.5Under won
- Heat vs. Magic: O/U 238.5Under won
- Heat vs. Magic: O/U 239.5Under won
- Heat vs. Magic: O/U 240.5Under won
- Heat vs. Magic: O/U 241.5Under won
- Spread: Heat (-1.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-1.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-2.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-3.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-5.5)Magic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.