TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe7c6…5210

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
272
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Tennis, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 56 out of 100; worst CS2 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST10652.8%56 W · 50 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 106 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Devils vs. Jetsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Panthers vs. Senatorsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+112.8%+$28.19
Blues vs. Utahbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Canucks vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$25.57
Utah vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Wild vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Blackhawks vs. Capitalsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+100%+$20
Rangers vs. Panthersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+127.3%+$25.45
Red Wings vs. Penguinsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Maple Leafs vs. Red Wingsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Blackhawks vs. Starsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+135.3%+$54.13
Rangers vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+35.1%+$18.62
Predators vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Sabres vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Stars vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+316.7%+$34.83
Devils vs. Islandersbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)backed Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Kings vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Ducks vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$47
Blackhawks vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Flyers vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Canucks vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Senators vs. Jets: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Panthers vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Ducks vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+81.8%+$16.36
Showing 25 of 106 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST8851.1%45 W · 43 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 88 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pelicans vs. Magicbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Knicks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+85.2%+$22.15
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+72.4%+$28.97
Jazz vs. Warriorsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14.92
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Hornets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Nuggets vs. Cavaliersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$38.31
Nets vs. Wizardsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Clippers (-14.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Celtics vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15
76ers vs. Mavericksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+26%+$21.29
Pistons vs. Clippersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Pacers vs. Heatbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Nuggets vs. Magicbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+122.2%+$24.44
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+100%+$140.1
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$52.83
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$82
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Rockets vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+222.6%+$60.1
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Wizards vs. Hornetsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Showing 25 of 88 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST3438.2%13 W · 21 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-19.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Shadowkek vs Team magixx (BO3)backed Team magixx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Team Shadowkek vs Team CS2NEWS (BO3)backed Team Shadowkek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Team Nemesis (BO3)backed Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+79.5%+$15.91
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs Nexus (BO3)backed Nexus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3)backed CYBERSHOKE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+525%+$78.75
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+28.2%+$16.92
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+47.1%+$9.95
Counter-Strike: G2 vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+127.3%+$50.91
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality (BO1)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO1)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Team Falcons (BO1)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: paiN vs 3DMAX (BO1)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+100%+$20
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid (BO1)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+41.9%+$21.35
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs G2 (BO1)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+45.2%+$22.6
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: NIP vs 3DMAX (BO3)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis (BO3)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs M80 (BO3)backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST2050%10 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fulham FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+284.6%+$51.23
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$43
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$19.8
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+75.4%+$19.61
Will Newcastle win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+51.5%+$20.61
Will Liverpool win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Tottenham win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+143.9%+$57.56
Manchester City vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+525%+$52.5
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+63.9%+$19.18
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+244.8%+$41.62
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$16.77
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+132.6%+$19.95
All 20 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST1361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+24.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Next Gen ATP Finals, Group A: Learner Tien vs Rafael Jodarbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$45.26
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$60.2
Sinner vs. Shelton: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$21.7
Alcaraz vs. Musetti: Match O/U 23.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+75.4%+$25.8
Fritz vs. Minaur: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+81.7%+$32.67
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Taylor Fritz vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+244.8%+$36.72
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Ben Shelton vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+127.3%+$25.45
Shelton vs. Auger-Aliassime: Match O/U 23.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+88.7%+$35.47
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex de Minaurbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+85.2%+$17.04
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Jannik Sinner vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritzbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+46.2%+$31.22
Hellenic Championship: Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Hellenic Championship: Sebastian Korda vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+68.3%+$13.67
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid+22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+156.4%+$31.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.