NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Cavaliers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9da83dfeb240a42a3a2be2219f56f29f38455f2326ac1372138129780042f63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Nuggets, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,273,601
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,293,824
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,273,601 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 698 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Nuggets | 15c | 709,903$106,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106,142.13 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6c…6305backed Nuggets | 14c | 275,591$38,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,784.62 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Nuggets | 14c | 238,215$33,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,630.09 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cavaliers | 69c | 93,330$64,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,824.69 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked Nuggets | 16c | 78,181$12,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,500 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Nuggets | 16c | 76,747$12,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,345.22 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Nuggets | 15c | 72,722$11,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,270.96 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Cavaliers | 72c | 69,561$50,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,481.13 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Nuggets | 15c | 62,652$9,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,338 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Cavaliers | 79c | 53,602$42,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,164.68 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Nuggets | 15c | 53,190$7,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,758.52 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Nuggets | 11c | 47,999$5,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,495.38 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nuggets | 35c | 46,065$15,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,914.69 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Cavaliers | 76c | 40,000$30,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,608.95 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Nuggets | 15c | 39,683$6,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,008.43 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Nuggets | 29c | 39,301$11,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,418.18 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Nuggets | 14c | 34,161$4,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,782.54 | 641 | 39%250 W · 391 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Nuggets | 15c | 33,400$5,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,010 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…cca9backed Nuggets | 14c | 30,010$4,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,201.37 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae24…07c2backed Nuggets | 12c | 30,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64c3…1fefbacked Nuggets | 36c | 29,486$10,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,742.7 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Cavaliers | 61c | 22,600$13,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,839.98 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Nuggets | 15c | 22,509$3,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,445.26 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…c2a3backed Nuggets | 14c | 22,007$3,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,080.98 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Nuggets | 13c | 20,502$2,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,665.24 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Nuggets | 37c | 19,516$7,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,173.97 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Cavaliers | 77c | 19,251$14,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,390.23 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Nuggets | 30c | 17,539$5,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,254.16 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Cavaliers | 61c | 17,006$10,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,568.99 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +14.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Nuggets | 14c | 14,610$2,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,116.46 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3b…a84abacked Cavaliers | 75c | 14,235$10,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,572.48 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…73bcbacked Nuggets | 15c | 13,277$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Nuggets | 15c | 11,871$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.79 | 163 | 35.6%58 W · 105 L | -12.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Nuggets | 15c | 10,500$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Nuggets | 21c | 10,469$2,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,211.82 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Nuggets | 14c | 8,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Nuggets | 18c | 8,000$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.77 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Nuggets | 19c | 7,996$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.26 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nuggets | 20c | 7,909$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580.47 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Cavaliers | 57c | 7,271$4,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,095.96 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Nuggets | 39c | 7,130$2,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,754.19 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cavaliers | 72c | 7,057$5,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,975.21 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…08d8backed Nuggets | 53c | 6,933$3,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,667.41 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Nuggets | 15c | 6,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Nuggets | 15c | 6,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x266b…8da2backed Nuggets | 15c | 6,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Nuggets | 14c | 6,569$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.64 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Cavaliers | 75c | 6,378$4,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,573.33 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a3…0848backed Nuggets | 48c | 6,194$2,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,973 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Nuggets | 45c | 6,158$2,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,761.26 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Cavaliers | 75c | 5,817$4,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.12 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11c1…7fe5backed Nuggets | 47c | 5,667$2,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,689.92 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Nuggets | 44c | 5,385$2,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,358.72 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…c3a9backed Nuggets | 40c | 5,249$2,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,094.53 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Nuggets | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x220e…58ccbacked Nuggets | 1c | 4,682$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.79 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 20cpaid | -90.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Nuggets | 14c | 4,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cavaliers | 72c | 4,453$3,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.38 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x219d…db61backed Nuggets | 59c | 4,418$2,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,601.96 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…21ebbacked Cavaliers | 66c | 4,265$2,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.04 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…749ebacked Nuggets | 10c | 4,023$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.3 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842e…d9f5backed Nuggets | 15c | 4,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Nuggets | 14c | 4,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3513…3579backed Nuggets | 15c | 4,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.99 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Nuggets | 35c | 3,957$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,383.14 | 469 | 40.3%189 W · 280 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba6f…0442backed Nuggets | 14c | 3,714$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 142 | 64.8%92 W · 50 L | +10.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Nuggets | 23c | 3,711$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.49 | 342 | 27.2%93 W · 249 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers | 76c | 3,643$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.22 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Nuggets | 14c | 3,542$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed Nuggets | 44c | 3,400$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.07 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c3…a470backed Nuggets | 15c | 3,391$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.89 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Nuggets | 15c | 3,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 354 | 38.1%135 W · 219 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Nuggets | 34c | 3,086$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.42 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…e7e9backed Nuggets | 25c | 3,067$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.97 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Nuggets | 13c | 3,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.99 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f16…0246backed Nuggets | 34c | 2,963$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.6 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Nuggets | 22c | 2,682$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.28 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…e73fbacked Nuggets | 18c | 2,679$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.2 | 125 | 31.2%39 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00db…80dabacked Nuggets | 65c | 2,617$1,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,689.02 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…bfddbacked Nuggets | 17c | 2,599$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.47 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…8a09backed Nuggets | 12c | 2,558$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.79 | 219 | 23.7%52 W · 167 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bac…8769backed Nuggets | 15c | 2,520$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Nuggets | 14c | 2,500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc127…66e9backed Nuggets | 15c | 2,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…8d15backed Nuggets | 17c | 2,500$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Nuggets | 2c | 2,469$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.27 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Nuggets | 21c | 2,453$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.25 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x462a…8b5cbacked Nuggets | 20c | 2,415$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.04 | 156 | 39.7%62 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa31d…df8abacked Nuggets | 17c | 2,391$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Nuggets | 17c | 2,355$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Cavaliers | 78c | 2,265$1,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.77 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…48e3backed Nuggets | 46c | 2,197$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Nuggets | 13c | 2,019$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Nuggets | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Nuggets | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Nuggets | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 161 | 30.4%49 W · 112 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…9893backed Cavaliers | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Nuggets | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…f773backed Nuggets | 19c | 1,959$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.53 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +57%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe91…7b3dbacked Nuggets | 22c | 1,850$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuggets vs. Cavaliersthis page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)Nuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Nuggets vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 236.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 238.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 240.5Under won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.