NBA · resolved market

Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf4dd1efe2c65f7a7d7e5774cd28292ee08278cf0a701c5b3601f3916dc07908

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Nuggetsof Cavaliers, Nuggets
Resolved: Jan 2, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,055,403
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,112,258

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,055,403 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 298 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Nuggets	50c	417,867$208,424 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$209,442.76	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d3b…c46bbacked Cavaliers	50c	351,618$176,763 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176,763.24	77	45.5%35 W · 42 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Cavaliers	52c	293,925$152,896 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152,895.77	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Nuggets	49c	176,443$86,457 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89,985.82	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Nuggets	48c	120,072$57,434 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62,638.06	1,045	49%512 W · 533 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf42…d698backed Cavaliers	49c	62,300$30,527 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,527	170	31.8%54 W · 116 L	-24.9wins	-0.15per pick	46cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Cavaliers	51c	56,091$28,487 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,486.6	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18d1…dbcbbacked Nuggets	50c	50,482$25,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,482.38	96	41.7%40 W · 56 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Cavaliers	51c	30,000$15,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,300	404	46.8%189 W · 215 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Nuggets	50c	29,168$14,586 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,582.09	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Cavaliers	49c	21,286$10,430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,430	485	46.4%225 W · 260 L	-14.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Nuggets	47c	20,130$9,562 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,568.4	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets	48c	17,505$8,460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,044.71	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Cavaliers	49c	16,633$8,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,150	403	50.1%202 W · 201 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed Nuggets	50c	16,000$8,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,000	40	37.5%15 W · 25 L	-4.5wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Cavaliers	50c	13,200$6,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,600	426	48.1%205 W · 221 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f57…5ef4backed Cavaliers	51c	12,000$6,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,120	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.6wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Nuggets	50c	12,000$6,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,000	175	54.9%96 W · 79 L	+8.8wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Nuggets	48c	10,436$5,005 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,431.32	1,139	48.3%550 W · 589 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Cavaliers	51c	9,650$4,922 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,921.5	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cavaliers	50c	8,950$4,475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,475.13	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0ae…41afbacked Cavaliers	49c	8,163$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-2.0wins	-0.20per pick	50cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Cavaliers	51c	7,164$3,639 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,638.86	890	50.4%449 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3d7d…ec26backed Cavaliers	52c	6,550$3,411 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,411.44	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+1.7wins	+0.09per pick	54cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Cavaliers	50c	5,726$2,863 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,863.16	363	51.2%186 W · 177 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xceb7…391ebacked Cavaliers	51c	5,716$2,915 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,915	46	37%17 W · 29 L	-2.6wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed Nuggets	49c	5,000$2,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,550	37	59.5%22 W · 15 L	+5.1wins	+0.14per pick	46cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Nuggets	49c	5,000$2,460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,539.99	795	49.7%395 W · 400 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Nuggets	49c	4,425$2,168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,256.86	1,332	51.2%682 W · 650 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Nuggets	48c	4,405$2,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,305.49	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Nuggets	49c	3,659$1,781 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,877.48	87	42.5%37 W · 50 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdff3…70e4backed Cavaliers	49c	3,000$1,470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,470	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.20per pick	57cpaid	-45.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Nuggets	51c	2,966$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,465.99	400	41.5%166 W · 234 L	-5.9wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Nuggets	49c	2,945$1,454 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,490.53	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa45d…b413backed Cavaliers	51c	2,941$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	116	53.4%62 W · 54 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa99a…388ebacked Cavaliers	50c	2,820$1,396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,396	8	50%4 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Cavaliers	49c	2,546$1,248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,247.54	277	35%97 W · 180 L	-30.7wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Cavaliers	51c	2,545$1,298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,297.95	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Cavaliers	50c	2,055$1,025 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,024.85	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Cavaliers	49c	2,041$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	164	42.1%69 W · 95 L	-7.6wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Cavaliers	49c	2,020$990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$989.8	583	47%274 W · 309 L	-12.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Nuggets	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	58	31%18 W · 40 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Nuggets	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	484	48.8%236 W · 248 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Nuggets	49c	2,000$980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,020	587	40%235 W · 352 L	+24.3wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Nuggets	49c	2,000$980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,020	433	48.5%210 W · 223 L	+11.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Nuggets	49c	2,000$980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,020	456	47.1%215 W · 241 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed Nuggets	48c	2,000$960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,040	132	60.6%80 W · 52 L	+14.0wins	+0.11per pick	50cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb8df…6df7backed Nuggets	50c	1,828$914 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$913.96	77	45.5%35 W · 42 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Nuggets	50c	1,712$856 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$855.83	46	39.1%18 W · 28 L	-5.7wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Nuggets	48c	1,689$819 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$870.18	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets	50c	1,589$787 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$802.23	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Cavaliers	50c	1,500$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	489	57.5%281 W · 208 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Nuggets	50c	1,500$747 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$752.81	506	53.2%269 W · 237 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2c7…2e93backed Cavaliers	49c	1,429$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	211	52.6%111 W · 100 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d18…4972backed Cavaliers	48c	1,404$674 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$673.94	163	39.3%64 W · 99 L	-10.2wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7927…34d2backed Cavaliers	51c	1,252$639 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$638.73	41	58.5%24 W · 17 L	+3.0wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Cavaliers	51c	1,200$612 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$612	491	42.6%209 W · 282 L	+12.1wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Nuggets	48c	1,179$566 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$613.28	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ede…2de3backed Nuggets	50c	1,166$583 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$582.99	45	48.9%22 W · 23 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Cavaliers	50c	1,111$556 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$555.5	435	43.4%189 W · 246 L	-16.0wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Nuggets	49c	1,000$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$510	736	49.9%367 W · 369 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Nuggets	49c	1,000$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$510	516	51%263 W · 253 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Nuggets	50c	1,000$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	509	54.8%279 W · 230 L	+14.8wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30cb…079cbacked Nuggets	50c	1,000$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-2.7wins	-0.21per pick	52cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Nuggets	49c	993$487 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$506.43	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Cavaliers	49c	950$466 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$465.5	499	38.9%194 W · 305 L	-23.4wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Nuggets	48c	899.99$429 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$471	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7ad…6d7ebacked Cavaliers	16c	879.74$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.12per pick	22cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a2a…2f37backed Nuggets	50c	842.56$421 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$421.28	33	60.6%20 W · 13 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	63cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x825a…9f6fbacked Cavaliers	51c	790$403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$402.9	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb8a…6494backed Nuggets	50c	790$395 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$395	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Cavaliers	49c	766.33$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375.5	238	50%119 W · 119 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Cavaliers	49c	700$343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$343	1,197	47.5%569 W · 628 L	-32.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x891d…dd26backed Cavaliers	50c	700$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	83	51.8%43 W · 40 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d4b…a250backed Cavaliers	51c	700$357 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$357	344	47.4%163 W · 181 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Nuggets	50c	650$325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$325	591	44.5%263 W · 328 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Nuggets	50c	640$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$320	238	45%107 W · 131 L	-8.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Nuggets	49c	613$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$312.63	406	48%195 W · 211 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Nuggets	50c	600$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	910	50.9%463 W · 447 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Nuggets	50c	600$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	304	52.6%160 W · 144 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Cavaliers	51c	588.24$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	1,259	48.7%613 W · 646 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x26a5…2731backed Cavaliers	49c	572.82$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.68	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.9wins	-0.13per pick	53cpaid	-25%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe21a…88edbacked Nuggets	50c	571.68$286 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$285.84	25	56%14 W · 11 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Nuggets	50c	500$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	184	40.8%75 W · 109 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Nuggets	48c	500$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260	569	45.3%258 W · 311 L	-8.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7104…afefbacked Nuggets	50c	500$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	30	73.3%22 W · 8 L	+6.4wins	+0.21per pick	52cpaid	+47.7%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Cavaliers	50c	453.92$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.91	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Cavaliers	49c	447.52$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.28	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…dca3backed Nuggets	49c	408.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.16	150	52.7%79 W · 71 L	+5.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fa1…2be3backed Nuggets	50c	403.84$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$201.92	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.27per pick	40cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b46…121dbacked Cavaliers	50c	400.16$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	315	51.7%163 W · 152 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa097…fba7backed Nuggets	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8eb1…0812backed Nuggets	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Nuggets	48c	400$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208	218	58.7%128 W · 90 L	+17.1wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3888…0755backed Nuggets	50c	394.04$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198.04	250	58.4%146 W · 104 L	+10.5wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee21…3721backed Nuggets	50c	386.46$193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$193.23	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Nuggets	50c	385.13$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$191.33	624	50%312 W · 312 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f6a…04ebbacked Nuggets	53c	377.92$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.92	354	47.7%169 W · 185 L	-10.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Cavaliers	53c	377.45$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	271	61.3%166 W · 105 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ff0…91fcbacked Nuggets	50c	373.1$188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.2	41	53.7%22 W · 19 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)this page
1H Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)Nuggets won
Nuggets vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
Nuggets vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
Nuggets vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5Under won
Nuggets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 236.5Under won
Nuggets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 237.5Under won
Nuggets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 238.5Under won
Nuggets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5Under won
Nuggets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 240.5Under won
Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Nuggets won
Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)Nuggets won
Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5)Nuggets won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event