NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 236.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad4ccfaecb3a6f46add0dc12c960bce43d94c18e55de4ee9132bb523268a79cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,415
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,173
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,415 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0352…3292backed Over | 53c | 25,593$13,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,662.25 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Under | 50c | 9,938$4,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,949.73 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf95…3114backed Over | 58c | 9,800$5,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,684 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb06d…7c03backed Under | 42c | 9,800$4,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,684 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 8,102$3,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,285.14 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 46c | 4,200$1,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,268 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc95…c60fbacked Over | 50c | 2,728$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 2,027$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.58 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Under | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +14.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Over | 50c | 1,990$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…5c2fbacked Over | 55c | 1,889$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Over | 50c | 1,850$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 59c | 1,756$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.22 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 41c | 1,697$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 58c | 1,688$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.85 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69e1…6851backed Over | 49c | 1,600$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.99 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Over | 51c | 1,515$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.47 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd499…c6b7backed Over | 62c | 1,250$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.19 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…00f6backed Under | 38c | 1,169$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.78 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b0…5af4backed Under | 46c | 1,114$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.56 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f0…fae5backed Over | 50c | 1,114$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 48c | 1,100$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 1c | 1,030$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x206b…2370backed Under | 51c | 970$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.3 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Over | 54c | 832.99$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.82 | 243 | 30.9%75 W · 168 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 46c | 708$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.32 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Under | 45c | 669$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.95 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf373…dc57backed Under | 51c | 630$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.7 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf42…d698backed Under | 40c | 605.41$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.86 | 170 | 31.8%54 W · 116 L | -24.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Under | 51c | 585.84$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.46 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 46c | 570$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.8 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 52c | 536$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.5 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Over | 60c | 533$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.8 | 435 | 43.4%189 W · 246 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 42c | 444$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.52 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Over | 50c | 438$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 62c | 401.84$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 42c | 381.9$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.88 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 47c | 372$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.16 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 363.09$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.06 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa95a…cc43backed Under | 45c | 222.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.88 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Over | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 55cpaid | +55%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 43c | 175.64$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.79 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x042a…7f4cbacked Under | 51c | 166.67$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.67 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 56c | 165.96$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.66 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 47c | 148.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.94 | 334 | 42.8%143 W · 191 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed Over | 50c | 148$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 153 | 48.4%74 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 55c | 131.78$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.3 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Under | 33c | 118.16$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.16 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 36c | 117.44$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.16 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bb…d0d6backed Under | 48c | 115.41$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.01 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 48c | 110$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.1 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Over | 59c | 102.12$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Under | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3516…ea50backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe230…989cbacked Under | 30c | 95.65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 46c | 87.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.61 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 47c | 87.09$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.89 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x130c…782cbacked Under | 23c | 87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 144 | 20.1%29 W · 115 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 49c | 84$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 43c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 61c | 75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 41c | 67.56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.72 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 61c | 65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Over | 50c | 55.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1e…7834backed Under | 62c | 55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 51c | 54.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Under | 47c | 53.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 304 | 52.6%160 W · 144 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Under | 51c | 47.27$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 39c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Under | 63c | 38.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Under | 41c | 36.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 342 | 46.8%160 W · 182 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 43c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9222…e9fdbacked Over | 57c | 34.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x232c…12d7backed Under | 45c | 34.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Under | 37c | 32.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 234 | 38.9%91 W · 143 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2d…40b1backed Under | 42c | 30.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 323 | 30.7%99 W · 224 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72cf…09bbbacked Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Under | 49c | 28.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 302 | 44%133 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…d831backed Over | 41c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 49c | 23.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Under | 46c | 21.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 204 | 56.4%115 W · 89 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 49c | 20.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuggets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 236.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)Nuggets won
- Nuggets vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Nuggets vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Nuggets vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 238.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 240.5Under won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.