Premier League · resolved market
Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdcd3e51b8a2d3cd81fe07e4b9eebb984b052d2019168c4ddf8491183948edc65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,710
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,048
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,710 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked Yes | 22c | 19,154$4,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,250 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 78c | 14,096$10,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,137.29 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 5,552$4,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.76 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 21c | 5,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 20c | 3,463$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.04 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed Yes | 19c | 2,133$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.32 | 239 | 20.9%50 W · 189 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 78c | 1,961$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.32 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 24c | 1,250$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.88 | 117 | 27.4%32 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x376d…9b48backed Yes | 19c | 999.91$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 14c | 885.51$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.77 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 78c | 718$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.96 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 79c | 695.92$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.14 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97b5…42f9backed Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked No | 80c | 486.11$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.22 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e66…53dfbacked Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcde1…dfc0backed No | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5344…c194backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 19c | 362.13$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked Yes | 19c | 350$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 233 | 25.8%60 W · 173 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf8…4487backed Yes | 20c | 331.58$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 78c | 263.64$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…f1bbbacked Yes | 22c | 263.64$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe328…f4a3backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Yes | 21c | 168.65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Yes | 20c | 161$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.59 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12f7…ff1fbacked Yes | 18c | 159.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x927b…3735backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076e…a6a4backed Yes | 15c | 127.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 19c | 110.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 192 | 44.3%85 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 80c | 107.65$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…c106backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 235 | 31.1%73 W · 162 L | -14.3wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…09ddbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…958dbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57f2…d036backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Yes | 21c | 99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0db7…5c06backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 176 | 35.8%63 W · 113 L | -12.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6489…71ebbacked Yes | 20c | 93.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c6…5210backed Yes | 22c | 90$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 77c | 82.01$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 20c | 73.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 135 | 43.7%59 W · 76 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Yes | 21c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38f8…95c0backed Yes | 22c | 65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a26…39e5backed No | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Yes | 20c | 63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed No | 80c | 61$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Yes | 23c | 60.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -7.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Yes | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 297 | 35.4%105 W · 192 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8eb…ff2abacked Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 20c | 54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 228 | 34.2%78 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x967d…ef6abacked No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 79c | 49.7$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed No | 79c | 47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked No | 79c | 41.25$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed No | 80c | 32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -6.9wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed No | 79c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x749b…48d8backed No | 80c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 56cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked No | 79c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…b793backed No | 80c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b80…8e56backed No | 80c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 80c | 25.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…4997backed No | 80c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 80c | 22.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 259 | 49.4%128 W · 131 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a0…4469backed No | 80c | 21.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2c…0ab7backed No | 80c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 79c | 17.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9af9…89bcbacked No | 79c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4f…73a6backed No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…e53dbacked No | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e16…41f8backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-17?this page
- Will Newcastle United FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.