TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$82,497
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$98,267

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,497 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No52c15,091$7,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,806.246,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Yes42c7,760$3,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,500.86435.9%23 W · 41 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No30c4,281$1,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,284.044,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No54c4,114$2,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,202.292,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed No55c3,626$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0009749.5%48 W · 49 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No44c2,749$1,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,201.6735941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0caf…abfebacked Yes55c2,181$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.113250%16 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes57c2,065$1,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.031,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Yes60c1,980$1,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79217428.2%49 W · 125 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Yes57c1,754$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.3919652%102 W · 94 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9776…fc56backed Yes46c1,670$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.158040%32 W · 48 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes56c1,381$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.612448.4%60 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No40c1,317$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.8942048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes61c1,235$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.781,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked No46c1,126$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.7734628.6%99 W · 247 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes57c1,017$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.2422534.2%77 W · 148 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa0…fbbdbacked No2c999.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2080%0 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xebb4…1374backed No40c950.68$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.274052.5%21 W · 19 L+7.1wins+0.18per pick35cpaid+50.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No54c945.36$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.1440150.1%201 W · 200 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes50c831.25$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.6314342.7%61 W · 82 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a4e…3309backed Yes49c813$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4133644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No43c712.37$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.3260728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed Yes45c638.96$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.68842%37 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes50c602.93$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.935050%25 W · 25 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes52c600$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28836462.9%229 W · 135 L+32.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+33.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3e0d…9a70backed Yes59c509.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5344…c194backed Yes48c500.19$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.462653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+20.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9792…9212backed Yes48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2601442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked No40c499.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.994748.9%23 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked No44c460$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.411446.5%53 W · 61 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked No46c434$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.649949.5%49 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes56c430$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.227752%144 W · 133 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x85df…9124backed No11c400$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44250%0 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa99f…9c1ebacked No10c400$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38543.7%2 W · 52 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-75.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes57c388.84$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.218740.6%76 W · 111 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3623…b50dbacked Yes57c333.33$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.332445.8%11 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-20.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No48c327.34$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.6957744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed No45c299.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13514945%67 W · 82 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b46…188ebacked Yes57c295.67$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.143647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a93…32a0backed Yes38c275$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.757635.5%27 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0a…09a6backed Yes57c260.32$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.945151%26 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes59c254.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.245448.1%26 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes49c253.06$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.065141.2%21 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Yes42c228$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.3923926.4%63 W · 176 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2db…31cabacked Yes45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.223336.4%12 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+15.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No42c205.8$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.4431944.5%142 W · 177 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed No44c204.7$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.076142.6%26 W · 35 L-7.2wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe328…f4a3backed Yes49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.082740.7%11 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick28cpaid+56.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.687443.2%32 W · 42 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a75…e444backed Yes55c180$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.33951.3%20 W · 19 L+6.1wins+0.16per pick36cpaid+100.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4416160.9%98 W · 63 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4fe…7365backed Yes57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.44771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+23.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a9c…ff1dbacked Yes57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.442941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2064…0ab1backed Yes57c175$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.253548.6%17 W · 18 L-4.4wins-0.13per pick61cpaid-19.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9264…bca3backed Yes57c174.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.6211143.2%48 W · 63 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes60c170.8$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.3351542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes55c164.45$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.831053.2%165 W · 145 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd663…05ecbacked Yes53c161.2$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.2450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdedc…8bcabacked Yes58c161.05$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.641942.1%8 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x823d…3d44backed Yes22c138.89$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.894434.1%15 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe724…1938backed Yes59c135.59$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.5911044.5%49 W · 61 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked No56c133.93$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7519259.4%114 W · 78 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed No45c133.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6024844.4%110 W · 138 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1802…d00fbacked No44c130$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.34per pick45cpaid-67.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc133…81ebbacked Yes59c127.12$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.123040%12 W · 18 L-5.5wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-36%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4c90…272cbacked No45c124.78$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.152429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-29%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca96…a629backed Yes41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.951050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5665…21dabacked Yes57c121.05$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.051070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01ec…585abacked No45c117.78$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537843.6%34 W · 44 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bbb…1594backed Yes55c116$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.22657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x581b…0290backed No45c110$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.53450%17 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0a5…4024backed Yes56c107.14$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.14837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Yes47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.388237.8%31 W · 51 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3819244.3%85 W · 107 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f57…8bcbbacked Yes67c104$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.323759.5%22 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes58c103.32$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3235328.6%101 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1376…8289backed Yes49c102.96$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.511957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+43.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb85e…e18dbacked Yes49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.046036.7%22 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd42b…dac8backed Yes49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514250%21 W · 21 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-2.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe70a…6a5cbacked Yes55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451675%12 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+48.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf2ff…121cbacked Yes56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445657.1%32 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad58…3773backed Yes48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525743.9%25 W · 32 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e65…9691backed Yes55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked No34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3423325.8%60 W · 173 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5374156.8%421 W · 320 L+46.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed No45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459846.9%46 W · 52 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Yes56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4413656.6%77 W · 59 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7511227.7%31 W · 81 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57f2…d036backed Yes44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565743.9%25 W · 32 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Yes58c99.95$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9818052.2%94 W · 86 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes61c98.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3819654.6%107 W · 89 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3647…6250backed Yes46c98.21$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.213339.4%13 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf5cc…0540backed No44c89.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.591258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a51…bde9backed Yes56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.291540%6 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2916346.6%76 W · 87 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa469…4985backed No45c88.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010647.2%50 W · 56 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No52c86.28$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8942043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Yes58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.219958.6%58 W · 41 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb84d…8b3abacked Yes59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.754454.5%24 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.