Will Newcastle United FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe90cb78d75c7666e8967ca5178b57ece4eec0a1d173b403144e45a6e91438acf

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 17, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $16,960
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $17,201

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,960 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No	70c	2,530$1,763 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$767.17	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed No	39c	2,500$965 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,535	138	41.3%57 W · 81 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No	68c	2,257$1,533 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$724.1	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85df…9124backed Yes	8c	1,068$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.34	25	0%0 W · 25 L	-1.8wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes	23c	1,000$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.1	607	28%170 W · 437 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa0…fbbdbacked Yes	2c	999.63$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.99	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x58e4…73f9backed Yes	33c	834.06$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275.24	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa99f…9c1ebacked Yes	9c	800$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	54	3.7%2 W · 52 L	-2.9wins	-0.05per pick	9cpaid	-75.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes	38c	789.47$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	123	45.5%56 W · 67 L	-10.3wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes	52c	769.52$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	221	25.8%57 W · 164 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes	3c	600$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	224	58.9%132 W · 92 L	+12.6wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f86…2874backed Yes	33c	430.3$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-2.8wins	-0.15per pick	46cpaid	-40.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes	30c	413.87$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.98	1,224	40%490 W · 734 L	-24.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes	72c	400$286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286	73	53.4%39 W · 34 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9776…fc56backed No	68c	396.54$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.74	80	40%32 W · 48 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No	63c	332.68$208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.49	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Yes	24c	300$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	149	45%67 W · 82 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes	25c	265$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.3	1,212	41.7%505 W · 707 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x57f2…d036backed Yes	24c	208.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	57	43.9%25 W · 32 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes	61c	201.64$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123	196	54.6%107 W · 89 L	-10.3wins	-0.05per pick	60cpaid	-10%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes	23c	148.91$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.25	907	51.3%465 W · 442 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e4f…243cbacked Yes	23c	141$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.43	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked No	56c	133.93$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.93	192	59.4%114 W · 78 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No	72c	125.81$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.93	401	50.1%201 W · 200 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfac5…9782backed No	76c	124.91$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.98	26	65.4%17 W · 9 L	+2.9wins	+0.11per pick	54cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1488…0672backed Yes	24c	103$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.72	39	53.8%21 W · 18 L	+2.3wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cf8…4487backed Yes	39c	102.56$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes	32c	100$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	440	36.8%162 W · 278 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7256…30c9backed No	77c	93.74$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.28	45	51.1%23 W · 22 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bb2…3a3fbacked Yes	40c	90$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.9wins	-0.27per pick	55cpaid	-43%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x363a…b79ebacked No	77c	89$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.47	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9b5…c106backed Yes	25c	83.8$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.95	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes	24c	83$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.92	356	61.2%218 W · 138 L	+14.0wins	+0.04per pick	57cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2587…a117backed No	76c	79$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.96	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-2.0wins	-0.22per pick	56cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x823d…3d44backed Yes	58c	69.12$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	44	34.1%15 W · 29 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…e39bbacked No	77c	64.94$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.94	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	73cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f7a…6563backed Yes	23c	60$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.8	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x28a2…91a4backed Yes	24c	60$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	56	50%28 W · 28 L	+2.7wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0db7…5c06backed Yes	24c	56.08$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.46	176	35.8%63 W · 113 L	-12.8wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed No	66c	49.42$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.8	192	44.3%85 W · 107 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x90eb…68dfbacked Yes	41c	48.78$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	25	36%9 W · 16 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfa9…7097backed No	76c	48$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.52	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x486e…62c7backed No	32c	46.88$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.88	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.4wins	+0.17per pick	45cpaid	+44.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xacac…bd06backed No	77c	43$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.89	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	62cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No	76c	41.67$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	359	41.5%149 W · 210 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0da9…9d56backed Yes	25c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	38	50%19 W · 19 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e71…8913backed No	77c	38$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.74	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	-2.7wins	-0.13per pick	65cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x315c…593bbacked Yes	32c	37.5$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa46…1559backed No	76c	36$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.64	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-5.1wins	-0.16per pick	58cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x99d7…4d25backed Yes	50c	32.05$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.1	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes	36c	30.52$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.99	515	42.5%219 W · 296 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce01…5c2abacked No	77c	30$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.9	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.09per pick	57cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bc9…801ebacked No	77c	30$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.9	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed No	38c	28.99$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.99	217	47.9%104 W · 113 L	-8.8wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-10%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fef…a3d3backed No	76c	28$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.72	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc297…f471backed Yes	50c	28$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.15per pick	65cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa870…2cd1backed No	75c	26.66$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.66	271	73.8%200 W · 71 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	76cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed No	77c	24.67$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.56	121	59.5%72 W · 49 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x373a…668abacked No	77c	21$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.83	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+1.4wins	+0.11per pick	58cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No	75c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	520	60.4%314 W · 206 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab0…8383backed No	77c	18$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.14	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	63cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ec8…e6c4backed Yes	68c	15$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.25	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.21per pick	61cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb780…e7a2backed No	77c	13$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.99	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	62cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Newcastle United FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?this page
Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-17?No won
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-17?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Newcastle United FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event