TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-11-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$205,286
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$241,510

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $205,286 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed No40c59,999$23,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,899.7931947.6%152 W · 167 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes73c40,636$29,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,984.816,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed Yes41c22,150$9,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,141.511029.1%32 W · 78 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed No57c10,427$5,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,943.1821853.2%116 W · 102 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No57c8,483$4,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,821.0735758%207 W · 150 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes43c7,270$3,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,142.5920039.5%79 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes41c3,564$1,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,102.7118758.8%110 W · 77 L+12.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes43c3,555$1,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,026.3532037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes41c3,456$1,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,039.0437054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No57c2,634$1,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,508.8531655.1%174 W · 142 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No59c2,617$1,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,532.0429253.4%156 W · 136 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked No10c2,500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25016737.7%63 W · 104 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No59c2,000$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,18032158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No61c1,997$1,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,217.9956453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes59c1,991$1,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.9625329.2%74 W · 179 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No20c1,908$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.4241344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a0a4backed Yes42c1,826$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.324456.8%25 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed No16c1,563$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2509111%10 W · 81 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-46%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8de5…e957backed Yes43c1,525$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.942259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+27.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes77c1,388$1,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.21,16157.4%666 W · 495 L+40.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Yes42c1,191$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.754637%17 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15df…9465backed Yes43c1,163$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.79837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9376…c075backed Yes44c1,131$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.14050%20 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6859…3308backed Yes45c1,111$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.11560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+63.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ae5…f51dbacked Yes43c1,023$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.265154.9%28 W · 23 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+21.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1208…1feabacked No57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5705160.8%31 W · 20 L+6.0wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+25.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6673…8a4cbacked No57c999.95$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.975230.8%16 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes42c999.62$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.7825836%93 W · 165 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea7a…446bbacked Yes43c941.74$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.791442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No58c941.35$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.891,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes43c930.23$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.238736.8%32 W · 55 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes43c887$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.5958445.9%268 W · 316 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7aba…7442backed Yes41c852.09$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.0912545.6%57 W · 68 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x23ee…15cbbacked Yes40c763.39$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.392853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+25.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No57c759.09$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.6890751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes55c750.42$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.221,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4021…956abacked Yes41c731.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.715742.1%24 W · 33 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Yes41c731.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.688137%30 W · 51 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf707…e8cebacked Yes42c710.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.962540%10 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70af…26fdbacked Yes43c697.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.674729.8%14 W · 33 L-7.8wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-40.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No3c600$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2228736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes41c600$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35440953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe931…138bbacked Yes43c552.85$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.852638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-31.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes43c534$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.381,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe49b…2943backed Yes41c500.05$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.032250%11 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29b0…3f3cbacked No57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2852040%8 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-35.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb125…69ebbacked No25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1255523.6%13 W · 42 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked No60c483.68$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.2115049.3%74 W · 76 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b4d…c4bebacked Yes42c476.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.191546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x216a…9380backed Yes43c465.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.122352.2%12 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c5e…615cbacked Yes43c465.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.12425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-41.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No56c450.24$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.8525545.5%116 W · 139 L-18.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.4415757.3%90 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked Yes41c439.8$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.486450%32 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e6…1abcbacked Yes43c400$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+47.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c13…ee33backed Yes29c350$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.51080%8 W · 2 L+3.8wins+0.38per pick42cpaid+98.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x27df…e67cbacked Yes43c348.84$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.841973.7%14 W · 5 L+4.1wins+0.22per pick52cpaid+42.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes41c344.09$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.461,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a93…32a0backed Yes32c330$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.47635.5%27 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes43c315$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.5527235.7%97 W · 175 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaa8…645bbacked Yes32c300$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2041631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+55.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No58c300$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1741,17950%590 W · 589 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes41c300$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17721656.9%123 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x522f…46aabacked Yes42c298.61$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+137%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Yes40c283.65$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.198045%36 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes43c250$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.54129.3%12 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick29cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes41c245$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.5526247.7%125 W · 137 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Yes42c239.3$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.799450%47 W · 47 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1346…8502backed Yes42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.15234.6%18 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b91…ae77backed No68c235.84$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa225…b903backed Yes79c235.44$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.441735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-31.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a2d…6db9backed Yes43c232.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5815543.9%68 W · 87 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Yes43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.565641.1%23 W · 33 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5642240.3%170 W · 252 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15ba…f30dbacked Yes43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5615245.4%69 W · 83 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9921…dcb7backed Yes44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.27520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-54.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4aa1…f2a0backed Yes44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.274650%23 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No43c224.83$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.64,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed No11c224$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.649733%32 W · 65 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Yes46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3923926.4%63 W · 176 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed No55c216.67$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.175240.4%21 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb81…9134backed Yes43c206.77$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.862100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0114…22a6backed No58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ab6…ee04backed Yes43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1141100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4041…6f52backed Yes42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11615037.3%56 W · 94 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Yes42c198.5$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.510545.7%48 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed No57c186.73$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.1213543.7%59 W · 76 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ee0…0112backed Yes43c186$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+133.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc65…5611backed No58c185$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x212b…35edbacked No58c185$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fa…0940backed Yes43c184.4$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.112100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+167.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9549…c2a2backed Yes43c184$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe49a…f498backed Yes45c180.36$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.21233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf75…7623backed No33c164.69$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.693141.9%13 W · 18 L-4.5wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-37.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8993…222dbacked Yes32c156.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.259139.6%36 W · 55 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ef4…4e4ebacked No63c156$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.954168.3%28 W · 13 L+8.2wins+0.20per pick48cpaid+73.7%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xbd3d…742fbacked Yes45c150.04$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.7118929.1%55 W · 134 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked No57c149.99$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.53040%12 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52b6…b02ebacked No59c135.59$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9006…385abacked No58c132.76$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775459.3%32 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.