Premier League · resolved market
Will Leeds United win on 2025-11-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55d03e0ea78038800bea3744b2fc248a0a4e728a2bb3af026fa3cfa35f9bbdad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,490
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,780
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,490 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 0c | 5,657$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 203 | 7.4%15 W · 188 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 11c | 4,176$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.49 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 29c | 3,050$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.5 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 72c | 2,745$1,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 16c | 1,128$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.5 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…3ee3backed No | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b11…a0f9backed Yes | 30c | 800$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked No | 73c | 773.96$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.3 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 28c | 762.33$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.19 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 72c | 747$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.56 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 27c | 616.44$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.44 | 189 | 58.7%111 W · 78 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf075…6e4abacked Yes | 29c | 516.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…491dbacked Yes | 21c | 487$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked No | 73c | 479.45$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.45 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 26c | 471$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.07 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed No | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…457fbacked No | 70c | 350$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 27c | 345.48$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.68 | 262 | 29.8%78 W · 184 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4c…c1ddbacked Yes | 29c | 326.9$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ee…ae8cbacked Yes | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5744…9d5dbacked Yes | 30c | 293.33$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes | 27c | 274.9$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.22 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 76c | 269$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.74 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 73c | 250$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 255 | 45.5%116 W · 139 L | -18.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 74c | 209.46$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.46 | 294 | 58.2%171 W · 123 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 27c | 178$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.06 | 135 | 43.7%59 W · 76 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f21…fa6dbacked Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 79c | 161.9$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…1c38backed No | 72c | 140$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ba…f30dbacked No | 74c | 135.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.66 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 27c | 107.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +28%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff9…bdc5backed Yes | 29c | 104.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 26c | 97.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…367fbacked Yes | 29c | 86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0f…a1acbacked Yes | 28c | 79.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Yes | 23c | 78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +8.2wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 28c | 71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82c2…2bb3backed Yes | 28c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4607…7811backed Yes | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +81%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…f9a1backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89cb…574cbacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f1…74febacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…1b07backed Yes | 29c | 65.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 74c | 63.51$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes | 28c | 60.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 116 | 40.5%47 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2163…7ec2backed No | 70c | 50.26$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe172…274ebacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d55…1e94backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 119 | 23.5%28 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b7d4backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5119…a581backed Yes | 30c | 43.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…d2cbbacked No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5263…52ccbacked Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 33cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdfb…b890backed Yes | 29c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Yes | 36c | 31.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae91…0f69backed No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…c215backed No | 79c | 14.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leeds United win on 2025-11-09?this page
- Will Nottingham Forest vs. Leeds United end in a draw?No won
- Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-11-09?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.