TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5744…9d5d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 52 out of 100; worst Premier League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT2133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-34.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.03
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.22
Spread: Knicks (-14.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.56
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$18.06
Pacers vs. Warriorsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$44
Warriors vs. Nuggetsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$38
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$88
Knicks vs. Bullsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$88
Hawks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$88
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$93.69
Spread: Warriors (-2.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
Grizzlies vs. Sunsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+102.5%+$192.74
Lakers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+77.3%+$77.26
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
Rockets vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$76.46
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+106%+$193.91
Knicks vs. Bucksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$85
All 21 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.83
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$88
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$88
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$88.21
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$89.62
Will Crystal Palace vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$44
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$43
Spread: Manchester City (-0.5)backed Liverpool · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$88
Will Brentford vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$88
Will Crystal Palace vs. Brighton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+257.1%+$237.86
Will Leeds United win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$88
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+376.2%+$230.87
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$88
Will West Ham vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$88.81
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$139.21
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$88
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-19.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.33
France vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$29.28
England vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$39.13
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.25
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.66
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.29
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.9
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.48
Mexico vs. England: England O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.33
Spread: Canada (-2.5)backed Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$45.76
Spread: Canada (-1.5)backed Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$35.08
Will Scotland win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$87.23
All 12 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+39.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona vs. Elche CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$51.97
Will Getafe win on 2025-10-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$107.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF Montréal win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lazio win on 2025-10-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$105.31
Will Cagliari win on 2025-10-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 174.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$15.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will IF Elfsborg win on 2026-08-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.45
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.