TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will West Ham vs. Newcastle end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$114,417
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$109,383

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,417 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xca5a…7e43backed Yes27c55,434$14,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,849.891040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No73c46,685$34,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,627.776,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d5e…7004backed Yes24c6,666$1,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,593.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-52.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed No74c6,399$4,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,657.799450%47 W · 47 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4c8…fed1backed No77c5,977$4,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,374.711070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa573…87c5backed No79c3,554$2,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.541353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+46.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes17c3,435$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58013834.1%47 W · 91 L-11.9wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No74c3,247$2,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.9635758%207 W · 150 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes22c3,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66019729.4%58 W · 139 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes22c2,339$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.6256453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No76c2,302$1,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.6251542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Yes19c1,576$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004746.8%22 W · 25 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked No78c1,387$1,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.099263%58 W · 34 L+9.7wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+28%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No78c1,367$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.2529253.4%156 W · 136 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes26c1,238$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.1122125.8%57 W · 164 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0432…1660backed Yes30c1,104$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.151353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe930…b44dbacked Yes26c1,037$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.394528.9%13 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Yes22c1,021$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.0431655.1%174 W · 142 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes21c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21090751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes21c900$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1895240.4%21 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x285c…5955backed Yes31c848.03$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c4f…61ccbacked Yes19c545.18$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.58933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+102.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes18c494.29$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9627024.8%67 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5744…9d5dbacked Yes19c460.5$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.811618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No79c426.33$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.914,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa4dd…3c12backed Yes24c423.8$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab03…9725backed Yes23c363.3$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.56425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f7…ac14backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Yes21c327.27$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707326%19 W · 54 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid+8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe92c…d27ebacked Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008743.7%38 W · 49 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-25%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0e0c…b90abacked Yes21c319.17$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.022231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-37.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No76c302.15$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.2757744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc648…259cbacked Yes22c300$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8480…293ebacked Yes22c300$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662850%14 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa52e…e2c4backed Yes22c300$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e0d…285dbacked No79c275.7$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.91060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8351…adbcbacked Yes30c250$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes24c250$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6027235.7%97 W · 175 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ef4…4e4ebacked No79c248$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.054168.3%28 W · 13 L+8.2wins+0.20per pick48cpaid+73.7%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xe7fa…ad31backed Yes29c225.53$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.3450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-25.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6451…025fbacked Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506230.6%19 W · 43 L-0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46f5…30bcbacked Yes24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503540%14 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01d7…5fd2backed Yes15c206.67$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314360.5%26 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No77c200.66$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1827141.7%113 W · 158 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed No69c181.13$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.156149.2%30 W · 31 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0521…cc4abacked Yes23c173.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406150.8%31 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506435.9%23 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes22c150$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3333124.2%80 W · 251 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2791…2791backed No77c149.99$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.51457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes17c148.24$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.21,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes23c140$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.236462.9%229 W · 135 L+32.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+33.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes24c130.16$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.232222.4%72 W · 250 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2d9…0695backed No78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.211163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No78c120$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.41,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed No77c117.39$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2713543.7%59 W · 76 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b15…a031backed Yes30c115.29$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351040%4 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-36.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c5c…05d0backed Yes18c111.59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked Yes18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015949.7%79 W · 80 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe8a…cfadbacked No79c109.52$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.121850%9 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cb2…996cbacked Yes23c108.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x857b…8eeebacked Yes23c108.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257429.7%22 W · 52 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No73c105.33$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7625545.5%116 W · 139 L-18.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes23c105$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6728246.1%130 W · 152 L-12.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5061…1b03backed No68c92$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.442850%14 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed No70c90$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.624062.5%150 W · 90 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0448…5a75backed Yes27c88.89$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244951%25 W · 24 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf18c…0350backed Yes31c87.1$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273735.1%13 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2042240.3%170 W · 252 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30f8…b824backed Yes23c86.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-42.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x38c7…e934backed Yes29c86.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed Yes31c80.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258834.1%30 W · 58 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9a54…f7f9backed Yes31c80.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252540%10 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a0f…a1acbacked Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205022%11 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x569f…f8a4backed Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55ef…2516backed Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick23cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b23…fe31backed Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick66cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e6…696bbacked Yes23c65.35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.034643.5%20 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde7d…499ebacked Yes31c65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.155038%19 W · 31 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No76c62.9$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.891,16157.4%666 W · 495 L+40.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2319…4029backed Yes33c60.76$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-72.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x784b…aa7bbacked Yes24c60$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.42425%6 W · 18 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-45.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7d24…a93fbacked No67c55.76$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.422764.8%147 W · 80 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick62cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbabd…f4d2backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109643.8%42 W · 54 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf99d…f867backed No70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.96643.9%29 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked Yes22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116450%32 W · 32 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x799f…a9ebbacked Yes23c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.53141.9%13 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9bc…80f7backed Yes27c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e2c…e2fdbacked Yes32c46.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x861c…e87abacked Yes31c44.32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.74425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-65.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20a5…43b6backed Yes32c40.19$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.86250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf526…0146backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103534.3%12 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc41…7973backed Yes30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-38%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d28…ad63backed Yes30c39.06$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.72450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-31.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5e5…0659backed No79c34.73$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.44887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick70cpaid+26.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ffd…a637backed No77c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.93033.3%10 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-43.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x44ed…f83abacked No78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.641163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc47e…8ae4backed No78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.641968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No76c24.5$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.881,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.928736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No77c19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.3752060.4%314 W · 206 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.