TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$686,068
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$806,018

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $686,068 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 414 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83b9…6124backed Yes61c151,250$92,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92,553.5620039.5%79 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No42c110,745$46,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63,758.56,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No38c71,297$27,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,203.8820140.8%82 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca5a…7e43backed Yes60c64,166$38,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,499.561040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes49c50,000$24,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,499.8431947.6%152 W · 167 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes59c32,817$19,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,36218948.7%92 W · 97 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No44c31,420$13,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,668.3935758%207 W · 150 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No40c30,000$12,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,899.9624846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf209…97e1backed Yes61c25,726$15,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,6937028.6%20 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No40c20,559$8,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,335.1630851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No40c19,702$7,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,82121154.5%115 W · 96 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a0a4backed Yes61c16,662$10,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,150.634456.8%25 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes38c16,137$6,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,205.9227235.7%97 W · 175 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No40c14,412$5,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,706.4810849.1%53 W · 55 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No56c12,265$6,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,351.0729253.4%156 W · 136 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No41c11,544$4,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,810.8215949.1%78 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No38c10,038$3,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,242.0179639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No40c10,002$4,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,001.210335%36 W · 67 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad4…3c1abacked Yes60c10,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,000812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick35cpaid-34.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No40c10,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,999.9814450.7%73 W · 71 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc919…a162backed No41c9,720$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,720.23366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+57.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x976c…907cbacked Yes48c8,380$3,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,997.76425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-64.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb195…6f85backed Yes60c8,333$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-58.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed No56c8,239$4,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,652.579450%47 W · 47 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43a3…e3a5backed No40c8,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,799.96450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No39c7,895$3,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,851.6431655.1%174 W · 142 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No66c7,040$4,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,394.317745.8%81 W · 96 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9376…c075backed Yes60c6,898$4,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,138.684050%20 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes60c6,613$3,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,973.541,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c8…fed1backed No40c5,977$2,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,586.21070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7456…5148backed Yes5c5,167$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2492227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-43.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8b71…8044backed Yes60c5,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed No63c3,721$2,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,376.5928070%196 W · 84 L+49.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+54.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed No77c3,661$2,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.926149.2%30 W · 31 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed No29c3,355$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,373.2445936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No40c3,013$1,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,807.917256.9%41 W · 31 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes61c3,000$1,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,83032158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd95…e042backed Yes47c2,939$1,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,382.161464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+23%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No40c2,900$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,74037054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No40c2,555$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,532.711,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Yes60c2,500$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5004746.8%22 W · 25 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes76c2,400$1,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,83613834.1%47 W · 91 L-11.9wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa429…792bbacked Yes62c2,176$1,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3493948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No39c2,050$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,250.568026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeadc…e41dbacked Yes60c1,998$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1991250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aef…22d9backed Yes59c1,880$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.28348.2%40 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked No79c1,728$1,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.884161%25 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Yes61c1,700$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0378552.9%45 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes72c1,684$1,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,216.9341344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb89e…7a29backed Yes62c1,610$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48d…5182backed No78c1,600$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3521060%6 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd077…b875backed No39c1,500$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+48.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3a9…6324backed Yes61c1,500$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+39.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No63c1,497$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.9969772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x23ee…15cbbacked Yes60c1,400$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8402853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+25.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed No38c1,316$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.924637%17 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No34c1,312$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868.881,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No38c1,271$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.3890751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Yes72c1,139$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.1517544%77 W · 98 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No49c1,136$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.14,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes2c1,122$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.351305.4%7 W · 123 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-38.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd594…98c4backed Yes9c1,100$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.99333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick12cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes33c1,075$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3507443.2%32 W · 42 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No39c887.97$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.2221548.8%105 W · 110 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f7…ac14backed Yes23c869.57$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe8a…cfadbacked No57c864.77$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.471850%9 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No38c835.23$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.8246651.9%242 W · 224 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Yes24c833.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No42c833.29$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.2156453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x594c…d256backed Yes62c806.79$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-53.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No40c800$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48030149.5%149 W · 152 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked No40c750$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.514342.7%61 W · 82 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Yes60c749.99$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.994953.1%26 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf23b…4957backed Yes63c730.79$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.41346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick62cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb38d…30dcbacked Yes59c675.36$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f41…f6debacked Yes23c665.38$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-53.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No39c657.28$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.741,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Yes14c642.86$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907326%19 W · 54 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid+8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No38c626$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.1216863.1%106 W · 62 L+13.3wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+21.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Yes60c625$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3753953.8%21 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed No40c606.99$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.211162.2%69 W · 42 L+10.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes41c600$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24632822.3%73 W · 255 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52de…03b8backed Yes62c589.61$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-57.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde7d…499ebacked No52c585.31$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.185038%19 W · 31 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb967…65edbacked Yes44c570.67$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0521…cc4abacked Yes21c561.29$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1206150.8%31 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes19c550$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.527024.8%67 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked No39c507.89$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.829263%58 W · 34 L+9.7wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+28%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed No78c500.55$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.1221353.1%113 W · 100 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked No40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3008736.8%32 W · 55 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30044939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dd2…b035backed Yes3c499.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175614.3%8 W · 48 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-28.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4702…457fbacked Yes61c499.5$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.525848.3%28 W · 30 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked No40c466.42$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.853046.7%14 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+4.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes61c463$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.4336845.7%168 W · 200 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1feb…bdc1backed No38c448.38$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.992218.2%4 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed Yes77c432.9$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.293076.7%23 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4e…e5b7backed No21c426.69$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+124.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Yes60c416.67$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25012639.7%50 W · 76 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.