TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will IF Elfsborg win on 2026-08-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$139,370
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$139,354

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,370 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0a39…b0b9backed Yes57c95,368$54,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,863.082839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc43…96d3backed Yes56c12,651$7,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,566.441050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No43c11,470$4,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,948.462,06848.1%995 W · 1,073 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3ed…9f79backed No40c9,681$3,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8882944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No42c9,342$3,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,951.82,01235.5%714 W · 1,298 L-27.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No43c8,366$3,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,581.657,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No34c7,547$2,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,559.382,00136.5%730 W · 1,271 L-25.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No42c6,857$2,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,849.0287745.2%396 W · 481 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0570…465ebacked No47c6,752$3,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,173.411844.4%8 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No44c5,275$2,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,321.0716953.8%91 W · 78 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed No40c5,002$2,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.89450%47 W · 47 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed No42c5,000$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,079.991145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No42c4,000$1,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6701163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No44c2,743$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,220.451,71148.3%827 W · 884 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No41c2,345$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.0639852.5%209 W · 189 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No44c2,298$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,016.4585250.4%429 W · 423 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No44c2,245$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.4877350.2%388 W · 385 L+2.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No41c2,214$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.691,43437.7%540 W · 894 L-3.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x162c…6c47backed No42c2,144$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.583852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No43c1,655$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.2317650%88 W · 88 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No45c1,486$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.581,46748%704 W · 763 L+3.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a22…5c62backed No44c1,286$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.1830%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed No42c1,093$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.327554.9%151 W · 124 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes50c1,041$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.641060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed No40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003154.8%17 W · 14 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+20.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No45c1,000$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4451,11351%568 W · 545 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked No41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4105044%22 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b6a…5a3fbacked Yes53c878.95$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No41c878.65$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.257231.9%23 W · 49 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x278b…2251backed No48c852.58$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No37c785.81$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.462,64035.7%942 W · 1,698 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No46c778.02$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.271,10747.7%528 W · 579 L+1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No43c775.19$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.3318344.3%81 W · 102 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes52c720.11$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.9546044.3%204 W · 256 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No43c620.15$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.6618343.7%80 W · 103 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No44c563.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.1319146.6%89 W · 102 L-11.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No43c524.99$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.062,54352.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L+18.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Yes60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2007342.5%31 W · 42 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked No44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2205560%33 W · 22 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked No43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007358.9%43 W · 30 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes57c404.07$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.7512337.4%46 W · 77 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa212…9161backed No44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1763046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x833c…ac24backed No45c326.1$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.215761.4%35 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes60c325$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1305848.3%28 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No42c292.89$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.6818743.9%82 W · 105 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd404…b4ebbacked No40c244.4$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.761040%4 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+40.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9714…5152backed No44c236.6$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.11172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed No44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+40.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x54d0…8e20backed No40c220$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x434a…91cbbacked No42c212.95$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.69955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6865…6033backed No42c212.4$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda6f…1e46backed No43c201.92$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876669.7%46 W · 20 L+10.8wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+28.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed No46c195$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.8537049.5%183 W · 187 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed No42c194.83$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.574055%22 W · 18 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x35f9…12a6backed No41c188$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.921546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed No50c161.36$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.683852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4f1…4d6ebacked No41c160$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.511040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-30.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Yes51c158.69$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.811464.3%9 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.23per pick41cpaid+57.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaf76…dfcbbacked Yes53c140.5$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.031442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked No46c133.2$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.273056.7%17 W · 13 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+35.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb66a…b156backed No24c128.02$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.121225%3 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-41.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3101…e57fbacked No49c119.95$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.788254.9%45 W · 37 L+7.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked No42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504757.4%27 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes61c119.03$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6673440.1%294 W · 440 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed No44c112.5$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.378050%40 W · 40 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6af…b5efbacked Yes55c109.09$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.091154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed No42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421637.5%6 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-42.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb904…3ef8backed No40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ede…23e5backed No43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+25%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed No40c99.17$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7311537.4%43 W · 72 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed No41c97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.555728.1%16 W · 41 L-7.4wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-52.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7014…41eebacked Yes53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.343056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+20.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed No41c88.43$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.265048%24 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No43c84$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.454650.4%275 W · 271 L+15.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43ed…6232backed No41c82.63$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.864134.1%14 W · 27 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-25.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x07ea…f3a4backed Yes61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.97580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+38.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No43c78.13$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8335163.5%223 W · 128 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5744…9d5dbacked No42c74.88$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes67c73.11$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2423743.9%104 W · 133 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed No44c67.5$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.438746%40 W · 47 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3247…9488backed Yes60c66.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.671844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes57c63.16$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.169555.8%53 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b32…3566backed No23c63$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.24977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick59cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes60c60.93$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.391,14353.2%608 W · 535 L+44.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes74c56.9$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.79875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+31.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked No42c56$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5221151.7%109 W · 102 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf27…f35fbacked No43c55.84$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7be6…5ab8backed Yes56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.571225%3 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-30.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed No27c50.96$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9719729.9%59 W · 138 L-21.8wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-45.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x00ba…b677backed No40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-35.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa50…27d6backed Yes50c48$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241070%7 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+61.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7c22…7b22backed No44c47.06$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.66771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf18…af99backed No43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb8e…3dc3backed No43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a6a…56bdbacked No42c46$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.41637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No45c43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5528446.1%131 W · 153 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed No48c42.19$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4620550.7%104 W · 101 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes50c41.1$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.551,15960.7%703 W · 456 L+68.5wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x69df…fe16backed Yes52c40.75$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.75560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0738…7e6ebacked No48c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.