Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will IF Elfsborg vs. Vasteraas SK end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87efcf3a63e7feb2b63f1b8a50b14e83217a6ba64055f94b14b19b6b92e7ab54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,367
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,414
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,367 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 23c | 10,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.97 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 79c | 3,885$3,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.39 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 77c | 1,948$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.04 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 77c | 1,759$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.22 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 77c | 1,581$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.58 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 1,195$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.52 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…8abcbacked Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 77c | 378.83$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.13 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc09b…1478backed Yes | 15c | 293.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 23c | 292.89$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.36 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 77c | 242$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.66 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 77c | 242$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.66 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 77c | 220$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3341…d7e4backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 25cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4163backed No | 76c | 165.21$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 24c | 107$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 109 | 36.7%40 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 77c | 95$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 23c | 84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 75c | 83$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed No | 77c | 82.19$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 76 | 71.1%54 W · 22 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3247…9488backed Yes | 23c | 67.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…2957backed Yes | 27c | 66.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…eccfbacked Yes | 23c | 47.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a58…327dbacked Yes | 24c | 45.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed No | 77c | 45.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked No | 78c | 44.87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Yes | 25c | 43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 77c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 244 | 66%161 W · 83 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6240…54c0backed No | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 75c | 18.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 75c | 18.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x434a…91cbbacked No | 77c | 17.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 73c | 16.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +40%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 77c | 15.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 99 | 68.7%68 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…6a4dbacked No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 77c | 14.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.37 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will IF Elfsborg vs. Vasteraas SK end in a draw?this page
- Will IF Elfsborg win on 2026-08-14?Yes won
- Will Vasteraas SK win on 2026-08-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.