Premier League · resolved market
Will Brentford vs. Newcastle end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa19aa44a429fafd7d7d2fb8c58bb03da3ce8abcc2b8f1b6b6a001956155c233
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,403
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,439
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,403 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 53c | 3,285$1,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,558.71 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 51c | 2,596$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.96 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 72c | 1,624$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.17 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 29c | 1,379$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 71c | 1,370$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.29 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b11…a0f9backed Yes | 29c | 741.38$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 34c | 525.72$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.98 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 72c | 512$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.36 | 147 | 54.4%80 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1142…a9bfbacked No | 74c | 499.98$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +352.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 28c | 499.98$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…1323backed Yes | 26c | 480.75$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 54c | 444.98$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 29c | 307$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.03 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5744…9d5dbacked Yes | 29c | 303.45$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…55b5backed Yes | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d9…0695backed No | 69c | 288.45$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.45 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 291 | 58.4%170 W · 121 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Yes | 12c | 201.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 126 | 23%29 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 73c | 186.94$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.58 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Yes | 12c | 168.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…adf1backed Yes | 29c | 155.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa43…3215backed Yes | 26c | 150.7$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +44%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…3e38backed Yes | 31c | 147.09$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +7.1wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 27c | 144$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 135 | 43.7%59 W · 76 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 65c | 115.16$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95a5…4f7cbacked No | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcff2…81bcbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb251…6f5bbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 207 | 50.2%104 W · 103 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked No | 71c | 96.01$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 92.04$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 72c | 77.78$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 79 | 72.2%57 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 24c | 76.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…0088backed Yes | 16c | 75.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 26c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 322 | 22.4%72 W · 250 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x651a…a2ccbacked Yes | 27c | 74.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf340…9369backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -66%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…ca64backed Yes | 27c | 59.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee09…1199backed Yes | 29c | 55.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 71c | 43.71$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +28%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 48c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 46c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x688e…1508backed Yes | 50c | 25.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed No | 71c | 25.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 49c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 203 | 7.4%15 W · 188 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e5…0659backed No | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 70cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5be5…8d0cbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf64b…7b63backed No | 73c | 19.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 18.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 227 | 64.8%147 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brentford vs. Newcastle end in a draw?this page
- Will Brentford win on 2025-11-09?Yes won
- Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.