TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$213,933
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$235,431

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $213,933 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed No49c60,000$29,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,599.8931947.6%152 W · 167 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed No53c38,800$20,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,343.9811029.1%32 W · 78 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yes49c23,253$11,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,292.5428355.5%157 W · 126 L+17.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No61c17,350$10,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,803.0610849.1%53 W · 55 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Yes38c16,483$6,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,263.5521853.2%116 W · 102 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5224…0de8backed Yes65c10,000$6,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,50010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes56c9,841$5,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,524.676,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Yes56c9,609$5,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,400.719450%47 W · 47 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No60c8,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2007256.9%41 W · 31 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No60c7,000$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,80035652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes58c6,796$3,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,949.5967042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes39c6,707$2,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,616.0420039.5%79 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yes39c5,128$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002548%12 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No60c4,986$2,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,001.6731655.1%174 W · 142 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes39c4,154$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,620.061,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes39c4,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56032037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No39c3,804$1,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,312.24,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b90…30b6backed Yes56c3,381$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90011343.4%49 W · 64 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a0a4backed Yes39c2,113$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.444456.8%25 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80032158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80046651.9%242 W · 224 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes39c2,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78019729.4%58 W · 139 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No60c1,500$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.9990751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes30c1,478$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44518433.7%62 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes35c1,450$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.55352.8%28 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes57c1,405$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.231,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed Yes63c1,043$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6577759.7%46 W · 31 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-3.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ff9…bdc5backed Yes40c1,015$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.61729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-39.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39041437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1208…1feabacked No61c999.98$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.995160.8%31 W · 20 L+6.0wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+25.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed No61c999.94$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.984637%17 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cea…2d58backed Yes63c882.54$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5561090%9 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.29per pick61cpaid+57.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x75fc…ee34backed No62c806.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.45475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes40c721$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.427235.7%97 W · 175 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes39c600$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23440953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes58c531.58$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.821,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked No62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19021656.9%123 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No61c450$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.51,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ef4…4e4ebacked No39c433$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.884168.3%28 W · 13 L+8.2wins+0.20per pick48cpaid+73.7%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked Yes39c422.6$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.816450%32 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x765b…9a2fbacked No39c410.26$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.261323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-49.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed No60c403.49$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.413327.1%36 W · 97 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x058d…bbabbacked Yes38c402.05$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+72.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8309…62b1backed Yes39c386$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+38.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x27df…e67cbacked Yes39c384.62$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501973.7%14 W · 5 L+4.1wins+0.22per pick52cpaid+42.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No60c375$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15026247.7%125 W · 137 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61e1…adf1backed Yes40c375$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb870…1323backed Yes62c365.08$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4702…457fbacked No61c350$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.55848.3%28 W · 30 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No61c342$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3815764.3%101 W · 56 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No60c318.81$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.6635758%207 W · 150 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8abd…9671backed Yes39c308$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No60c264$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.683459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf133…928dbacked Yes39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007451.4%38 W · 36 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x15ba…f30dbacked Yes39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015245.4%69 W · 83 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe931…138bbacked Yes39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-31.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7aba…7442backed Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012545.6%57 W · 68 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a2d…6db9backed Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015543.9%68 W · 87 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcece…8c50backed Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes13c247$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9941344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked No61c245.9$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.912639.7%50 W · 76 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No52c241.01$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.7236954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x02f0…57b6backed Yes39c237.49$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.621118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick39cpaid-59.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x05bb…8ef9backed No43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.563948.7%19 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb125…69ebbacked No30c230.49$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.345523.6%13 W · 42 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No61c229.27$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.2729458.2%171 W · 123 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked Yes59c222.05$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.011936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No51c211$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.2925545.5%116 W · 139 L-18.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9ea…cb0abacked Yes58c202.12$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.23540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick68cpaid-43.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes63c200$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12627752%144 W · 133 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67dd…6fcebacked Yes61c164.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Yes39c160$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.64953.1%26 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bdf…83a0backed Yes20c160$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Yes63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76da…30a2backed Yes63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013842%58 W · 80 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked Yes39c150$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.53040%12 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed No60c148.35$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.347963.3%50 W · 29 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed No61c139.43$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5513543.7%59 W · 76 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked No60c130.77$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529263%58 W · 34 L+9.7wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+28%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes39c130$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.732736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9f56…f93cbacked Yes39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa041…04d2backed Yes39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503935.9%14 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1166…a8e1backed Yes39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509736.1%35 W · 62 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb23a…a1a1backed Yes23c128.06$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.92475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+22.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9921…dcb7backed Yes40c126.51$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-54.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes40c125.03$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.511,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f21…fa6dbacked Yes40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d0d…a408backed Yes40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503348.5%16 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf64…92bdbacked Yes40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507949.4%39 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe29a…2d31backed Yes40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad87…f9a1backed Yes24c123.48$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x857b…8eeebacked Yes40c105$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427429.7%22 W · 52 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a0…f967backed Yes22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad85…ed5bbacked Yes40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-56.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa4f…8921backed Yes31c98.26$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303834.2%13 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf0b…7cccbacked Yes40c97.5$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x131c…5270backed Yes39c93.08$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-35.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No60c92.53$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.0115461%94 W · 60 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1346…8502backed No38c91.79$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.795234.6%18 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2d0…a4d3backed Yes62c89.08$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.441457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.