TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd9ea…cb0a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
74
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Serie A, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 56 out of 100; worst Cricket at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST2544%11 W · 14 L-3.9wins-0.16per pick60cpaid-30.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Cricket — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: Australia vs Sri Lanka (Game 1)backed Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$11.14
T20 World Cup: Italy vs Nepal (Game 1)backed Nepal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$135.09
T20 World Cup: England vs West Indies (Game 1)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$37
T20 World Cup: Afghanistan vs South Africa (Game 1)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+35.1%+$14.07
International T20 Series: India vs New Zealand (Game 4)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+49.3%+$23.09
T20 World Cup: Namibia vs Netherlands (Game 1)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+33.3%+$14.88
T20 World Cup: India vs USA (Game 1)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+42.9%+$4.8
WPL: Royal Challengers Bengaluru Women vs Delhi Capitals Womenbacked Delhi Capitals Women · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$27.45
U19 World Cup: India Under-19s vs Afghanistan Under-19sbacked Afghanistan Under-19s · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$49.33
International T20 Series: Canada vs Italy (Game 1)backed Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15
U19 World Cup: India Under-19s vs Pakistan Under-19sbacked India Under-19s · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$37.83
International ODI: India vs New Zealand (Game 3)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$51.15
Big Bash League: Brisbane Heat vs Melbourne Stars (Game 1)backed Melbourne Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$126
SA20: Joburg Super Kings vs Durban's Super Giants (Game 1)backed Durban's Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$49
India T20 Series: India vs South Africa (Game 1)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10.78
Pakistan Tri-Series: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka (Game 5)backed Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+88.7%+$37.6
Will South Africa win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+56.3%+$22.77
New Zealand ODI Series: New Zealand vs West Indies (Game 2)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+48.8%+$32.8
Pakistan ODI Series: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka (Game 3)backed Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will South Africa win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+66.7%+$36
Pakistan ODI Series: Pakistan vs South Africa (Game 3)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Australia T20 Series: Australia vs India (Oct 31)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Pakistan T20 Series: Pakistan vs South Africa (Oct 28)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$15.45
Australia ODI Series: Australia vs India (Oct 24)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
ICC WWC: India vs. South Africabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.41
All 25 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick59cpaid+47.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick68cpaid-43.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+59%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jaguars vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Chiefs vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+44.9%+$8.99
Vikings vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$16.41
49ers vs. Giantsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5.97
All 4 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-33.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+107.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Getafe win on 2025-10-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$15.89
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$14.31
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+90.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+52.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+53.8%+$16.15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-35.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Hawksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Bulls vs. Knicksbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona State vs. Iowa Statebacked Iowa State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.49
Duke vs. Clemsonbacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.