Cricket · resolved market
Pakistan ODI Series: Pakistan vs South Africa (Game 3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae41b90de3bb551df17445fda480e1d2ece434fb5563c835bff89d909371049c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pakistanof Pakistan, South Africa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,422
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,507
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,422 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb9ed…617ebacked South Africa | 5c | 3,571$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.29 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed South Africa | 21c | 1,948$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.55 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…db91backed South Africa | 2c | 1,941$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…41b5backed Pakistan | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed South Africa | 20c | 805.21$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.08 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked South Africa | 10c | 800$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed South Africa | 36c | 782.81$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.81 | 91 | 28.6%26 W · 65 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c68…f2a8backed South Africa | 3c | 666.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ea…e0fbbacked South Africa | 3c | 660.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5242…5a2cbacked South Africa | 13c | 591.41$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e0…3878backed Pakistan | 51c | 488.65$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.65 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pakistan | 61c | 481.83$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.84 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dff…e1bdbacked Pakistan | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Pakistan | 59c | 416.23$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.82 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eab…e02dbacked South Africa | 39c | 384.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked South Africa | 3c | 355$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed South Africa | 40c | 278.27$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.9 | 159 | 40.9%65 W · 94 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3eb…376cbacked Pakistan | 78c | 253.54$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.6 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfb…2398backed South Africa | 36c | 250$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x063d…e00fbacked South Africa | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef68…d668backed South Africa | 17c | 222.31$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.16 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed South Africa | 37c | 164.28$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.09 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Pakistan | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Pakistan | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6116…1e62backed Pakistan | 67c | 154.29$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.19 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4a…9d39backed South Africa | 19c | 143.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd7e…1d5abacked South Africa | 42c | 120.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd392…b7bcbacked Pakistan | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53f9…e920backed Pakistan | 58c | 60.34$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed Pakistan | 55c | 57.01$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…b01ebacked South Africa | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.21per pick | 39cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…f36fbacked South Africa | 31c | 54.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e74…d044backed South Africa | 39c | 49.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…3773backed South Africa | 45c | 44.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77d1…6d42backed South Africa | 38c | 44.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8678…b755backed Pakistan | 59c | 42.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 155 | 61.9%96 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…cb0abacked South Africa | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2457…54acbacked South Africa | 41c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x275e…c25bbacked Pakistan | 67c | 30.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x642b…6b61backed Pakistan | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…9897backed Pakistan | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c1…367abacked South Africa | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -27%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed South Africa | 46c | 22.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b8…b4bdbacked Pakistan | 62c | 20.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Pakistan | 56c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc061…a297backed Pakistan | 58c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.