TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe5e1…9897

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
155
Categories scored
33
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Middle East, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 55 out of 100; worst UFC at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST2676.9%20 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick71cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bucks vs. Wizardsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bucks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+33.3%+$6.67
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+26.6%+$10.63
Bucks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+33.3%+$6.67
Knicks vs. Mavericksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+35.1%+$14.05
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+33.3%+$13.33
Grizzlies vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+35.1%+$14.05
Pelicans vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+29.9%+$11.95
Lakers vs. Hornetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+31.6%+$7.89
Warriors vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Warriors vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+25.8%+$10.32
Hornets vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+66.7%+$13.33
76ers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+25%+$5
Pacers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Hawks vs. Netsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
Suns vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+25%+$5
Pistons vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
Raptors vs. Wizardsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
Bulls vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST1553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bears vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Saints vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Falcons vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+29.9%+$11.95
49ers vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Rams vs. Ravensbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
Scorigami in NFL Week 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Broncos vs. Saintsbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2024, EDT+77.7%+$155.42
Bills vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$86
Bengals vs. Giantsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2024, EDT+56.3%+$112.5
Jaguars vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT+95.9%+$96.88
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$63
Saints vs. Chiefsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$38
Dolphins vs. Patriotsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2024, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
Buccaneers vs. Eaglesbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT+108.3%+$82.33
All 15 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST1485.7%12 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick74cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Central Michigan vs. Kent State Golden Flashesbacked Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+33.3%+$20
Michigan vs. Northwesternbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+25%+$10
West Virginia vs. Arizona Statebacked Arizona State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+25%+$15
Notre Dame vs. Pittsburghbacked Notre Dame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+25%+$10
Northern Illinois vs. UMassbacked Northern Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+25%+$10
Oregon vs. Iowabacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+44.9%+$8.99
Louisiana Tech vs. Delaware Blue Hensbacked Louisiana Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Missouri State vs. Libertybacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
BYU vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+28.2%+$5.64
SMU Mustangs vs. Boston Collegebacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+25%+$7.5
Temple vs. Armybacked Army · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+40.8%+$12.25
Jacksonville State vs. Sam Houston Bearkatsbacked Jacksonville State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
East Carolina vs. Tulanebacked Tulane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
Missouri State vs. Middle Tennesseebacked Missouri State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
All 14 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Rabby launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+36.3%+$36.33
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+59.2%+$59.24
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+63.9%+$38.36
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$93.7
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+108.3%+$21.67
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+53.8%+$18.47
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+25%+$5
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+42.9%+$25.71
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+170.3%+$85.14
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 11 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST1050%5 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+31.6%+$31.58
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$25.57
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Trump approval Up or Down this week?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick70cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+43.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+58.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+44.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. South Florida Bullsbacked South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+31.6%+$6.32
Siena Saints vs. St. Bonaventure Bonniesbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+25%+$5
Georgetown Hoyas vs. Maryland Terrapinsbacked Maryland Terrapins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 3 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick73cpaid-52.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hellenic Championship: Marcos Giron vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Pan Pacific Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 16, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Braves vs. Nationalsbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Will the Arizona Diamondbacks make the Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$35
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$38.5
Allen vs. de Ridderbacked de Ridder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AEK Lárnakas win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+127.8%+$25.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs MIBR Female (BO5)backed Shopify Rebellion Gold · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+66.7%+$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 3750000 and 4000000?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+57%+$11.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 29, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Pipsqueak+4backed Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CR Flamengo win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in October 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+40.8%+$4.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pakistan ODI Series: Pakistan vs South Africa (Game 3)backed Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+35.1%+$7.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2backed Usyk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$101.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.