NHL · resolved market
Bruins vs. Capitals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67eb68668ea3ad9f1df9262e263383b67095b221b7762b515ed5b7f4049cd9ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Capitalsof Bruins, Capitals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,575
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,668
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,575 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bruins | 45c | 11,088$4,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,990.95 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x618c…9ba7backed Capitals | 58c | 9,998$5,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,199.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fae…7d62backed Bruins | 42c | 9,998$4,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,199.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a7…882bbacked Capitals | 58c | 9,997$5,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,198.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c4b…ed07backed Bruins | 42c | 9,997$4,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,198.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Bruins | 23c | 5,058$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.09 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Bruins | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.96 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…e69dbacked Capitals | 60c | 1,493$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Bruins | 1c | 1,100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 103 | 1%1 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d9…780cbacked Capitals | 59c | 1,017$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Capitals | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x589e…c63ebacked Capitals | 59c | 946.66$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.66 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6586…c69cbacked Bruins | 44c | 921.45$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Bruins | 41c | 625.4$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.04 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfac3…2930backed Bruins | 42c | 570.18$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.48 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc61e…f76ebacked Capitals | 58c | 570.18$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf892…9769backed Capitals | 57c | 482.74$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +180%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb7…1f0abacked Bruins | 41c | 481.96$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Capitals | 57c | 469.98$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.09 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Bruins | 41c | 407.92$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.59 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Capitals | 60c | 361.67$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.67 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Capitals | 58c | 357.72$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.24 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Capitals | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…e43bbacked Capitals | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -6.6wins | -0.14per pick | 66cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Capitals | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Capitals | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd545…2032backed Bruins | 41c | 334.74$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee5…8638backed Capitals | 59c | 334.74$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Capitals | 59c | 306.14$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.14 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Capitals | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Capitals | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Capitals | 58c | 294.05$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.5 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Bruins | 43c | 255.81$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 181 | 36.5%66 W · 115 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Bruins | 35c | 252.44$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.64 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc57d…d9a4backed Bruins | 42c | 198.85$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.52 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dbb…470ebacked Capitals | 58c | 198.85$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Bruins | 42c | 188$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.96 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Bruins | 41c | 185.61$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.1 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x360c…38f8backed Bruins | 42c | 180.68$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.89 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a72…3c27backed Capitals | 58c | 180.68$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.89 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56fd…7ae6backed Bruins | 42c | 170$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Capitals | 42c | 161.63$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.63 | 203 | 45.3%92 W · 111 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x666b…60b9backed Capitals | 58c | 158.62$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14fc…0dc6backed Capitals | 59c | 155.56$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.78 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa809…2b3fbacked Bruins | 42c | 153.71$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.56 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…8210backed Capitals | 58c | 153.71$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.56 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8d…4adbbacked Bruins | 43c | 148.35$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.79 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4202…9611backed Capitals | 62c | 145.17$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.17 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfae…00e4backed Capitals | 59c | 134.07$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Bruins | 42c | 133.88$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.23 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c5…d103backed Capitals | 59c | 132.09$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…a22dbacked Bruins | 41c | 132.09$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2524…1261backed Capitals | 77c | 130.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.52 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…3facbacked Bruins | 43c | 128.57$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -57%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x828d…e57fbacked Bruins | 43c | 116.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a3…7838backed Bruins | 43c | 115.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c1…55e4backed Capitals | 58c | 109.34$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5af7…71c4backed Bruins | 42c | 109.34$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Capitals | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 96 | 65.6%63 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd3…4647backed Bruins | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…624cbacked Capitals | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 340 | 32.4%110 W · 230 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…e52cbacked Bruins | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…0187backed Capitals | 57c | 99.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Bruins | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 486 | 54.1%263 W · 223 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x845d…0b47backed Capitals | 60c | 97.17$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Capitals | 58c | 97.07$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.77 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Bruins | 42c | 94.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.88 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Bruins | 17c | 92.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Bruins | 23c | 86.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66c5…21aabacked Bruins | 43c | 76.23$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.62 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2951…8f9fbacked Capitals | 59c | 70.34$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.84 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 54cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a25…a235backed Capitals | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ec…1af7backed Capitals | 59c | 67.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…9897backed Capitals | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…647dbacked Capitals | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Bruins | 60c | 66.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -12.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe7…faecbacked Bruins | 42c | 64.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Capitals | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860b…a80fbacked Capitals | 58c | 62.29$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.16 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…81e2backed Bruins | 43c | 60.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Bruins | 45c | 60.39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Capitals | 58c | 53.27$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x082b…5e67backed Capitals | 59c | 50.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e40…4047backed Capitals | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46b1…ccb7backed Capitals | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…018abacked Capitals | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Bruins | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3c…d90ebacked Capitals | 59c | 48.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3315…29dfbacked Bruins | 43c | 48.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…c0cdbacked Capitals | 49c | 47.24$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc293…7621backed Bruins | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0835…c0abbacked Bruins | 43c | 46.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21fa…42b9backed Bruins | 42c | 45.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf532…ab13backed Capitals | 58c | 45.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ba…343abacked Capitals | 57c | 43.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd040…38a5backed Capitals | 59c | 43.25$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Bruins | 43c | 43.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0603…374cbacked Capitals | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04fd…3930backed Capitals | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4205…46a7backed Bruins | 62c | 41.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.