MLB · resolved market
Braves vs. Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31876615c38b73fdfc12f77e7ba76503b732d8d7e2b72f7fd545f243c23bd234
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bravesof Braves, Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $191,906
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $196,828
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $191,906 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed Nationals | 13c | 22,735$2,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,987.83 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Braves | 60c | 20,605$12,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,241.8 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Nationals | 10c | 12,229$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.28 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Nationals | 40c | 12,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Braves | 63c | 9,934$6,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,717.46 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Braves | 58c | 9,370$5,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,953.2 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…8687backed Braves | 61c | 7,383$4,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,904.87 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Braves | 57c | 6,287$3,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,704.21 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nationals | 24c | 4,213$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.04 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…5e12backed Braves | 20c | 4,107$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,285.82 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +170.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nationals | 32c | 3,761$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.97 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nationals | 26c | 3,622$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.41 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…c177backed Braves | 58c | 3,227$1,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.26 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Nationals | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Nationals | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Nationals | 37c | 1,908$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.85 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3139…1219backed Nationals | 41c | 1,878$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Nationals | 41c | 1,600$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.97 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Nationals | 45c | 1,552$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.23 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9598…1fd2backed Braves | 59c | 1,509$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.69 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8086…22b7backed Nationals | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Nationals | 41c | 1,301$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.27 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Nationals | 47c | 1,258$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.2 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Nationals | 27c | 1,210$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.38 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Nationals | 40c | 1,207$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.3 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Braves | 54c | 1,143$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.15 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed Braves | 46c | 1,077$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.24 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd144…4159backed Nationals | 16c | 1,071$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.49 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…180abacked Nationals | 7c | 1,010$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.7 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -27%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Nationals | 5c | 1,008$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Nationals | 63c | 1,004$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.32 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Nationals | 46c | 1,000$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.81 | 123 | 14.6%18 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Nationals | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Nationals | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7d…7e36backed Braves | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Nationals | 42c | 970$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.4 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ff…39debacked Braves | 59c | 966$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Braves | 58c | 960$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.2 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9682…25f1backed Braves | 59c | 912$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Nationals | 40c | 899.99$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.01 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Nationals | 40c | 749.96$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.98 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Braves | 52c | 733.88$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.58 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…ec5dbacked Nationals | 38c | 699.95$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.98 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Braves | 59c | 699.87$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.51 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Braves | 60c | 686$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.6 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Braves | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Nationals | 13c | 627.7$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.46 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7580…cb71backed Braves | 72c | 623.75$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.4 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Braves | 57c | 600$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…a89cbacked Nationals | 20c | 571.66$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.3 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Braves | 57c | 561$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.23 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6497…e879backed Braves | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd33b…4e00backed Nationals | 46c | 434.79$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Braves | 58c | 423.85$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.07 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Nationals | 45c | 418.6$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.02 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Braves | 47c | 407.96$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.65 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Nationals | 42c | 392.44$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.43 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…fc7bbacked Nationals | 6c | 374.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 102 | 2.9%3 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa44b…cf54backed Braves | 66c | 363.69$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb260…a44ebacked Nationals | 57c | 356.83$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.86 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Braves | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ae…b4bebacked Braves | 79c | 347.28$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0667…42e1backed Braves | 65c | 330.19$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Braves | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Braves | 57c | 272.47$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.16 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Braves | 59c | 254.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.37 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29db…ae12backed Nationals | 40c | 240$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Braves | 66c | 218.78$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Braves | 60c | 216.67$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.67 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d81…bf65backed Braves | 65c | 205.26$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.26 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…316ebacked Nationals | 9c | 199.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Braves | 58c | 180.95$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Nationals | 42c | 178.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Nationals | 45c | 177.78$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Nationals | 40c | 172.65$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.99 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Braves | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Nationals | 40c | 162$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Nationals | 41c | 162$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.42 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4078…22ddbacked Braves | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…7becbacked Braves | 58c | 157$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.94 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x205c…f554backed Braves | 65c | 153.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.68 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Braves | 59c | 150$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec4…f4a4backed Braves | 75c | 148$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19a6…1e49backed Braves | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc271…aa77backed Braves | 57c | 140.35$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9241…f41cbacked Braves | 71c | 140.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Braves | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0491…2d20backed Nationals | 34c | 124.93$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…816ebacked Braves | 43c | 122.86$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.03 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5695…f8edbacked Braves | 60c | 120$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1726…3986backed Nationals | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd876…767ebacked Braves | 61c | 118.06$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.53 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33b9…ed3abacked Nationals | 16c | 115.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…79e6backed Braves | 63c | 111.29$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.29 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Braves | 62c | 106.35$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.35 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Nationals | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Braves | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Braves | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…4ef7backed Braves | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Nationals | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.