College Football · resolved market
Northern Illinois vs. UMass
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36a601abdf106450f7f03a6db0456938f08ab0dcfd41e2eb153786ae71d14092
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Northern Illinoisof Northern Illinois, UMass
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $604,786
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $603,300
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $604,786 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Northern Illinois | 78c | 330,577$259,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,295.73 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed UMass | 22c | 89,475$19,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,969.2 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed UMass | 21c | 86,518$17,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,990.66 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed UMass | 21c | 50,000$10,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,500 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked UMass | 22c | 35,080$7,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,693.98 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Northern Illinois | 80c | 31,537$25,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,322.81 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed UMass | 21c | 31,110$6,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,533.1 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed UMass | 22c | 25,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed UMass | 21c | 22,057$4,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,631.89 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2232…f6fabacked Northern Illinois | 78c | 15,000$11,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked UMass | 22c | 14,578$3,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,207.16 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked UMass | 22c | 12,480$2,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,745.6 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Northern Illinois | 77c | 12,000$9,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Northern Illinois | 78c | 11,874$9,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,647.35 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed UMass | 20c | 10,033$2,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,006.23 | 127 | 18.9%24 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked UMass | 10c | 10,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 19cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed UMass | 22c | 9,633$2,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,119.26 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Northern Illinois | 80c | 9,374$7,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880.81 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked UMass | 22c | 7,588$1,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,669.41 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9146…5f30backed UMass | 22c | 7,000$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed UMass | 22c | 6,544$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.32 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked UMass | 1c | 6,386$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.66 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Northern Illinois | 79c | 6,372$5,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.13 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked UMass | 5c | 6,142$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.94 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed UMass | 0c | 5,860$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 49 | 0%0 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Northern Illinois | 79c | 5,325$4,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.3 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed UMass | 22c | 5,205$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.83 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x400f…e712backed UMass | 20c | 5,053$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed UMass | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked UMass | 0c | 4,799$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6d…1ba1backed UMass | 23c | 4,427$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0da…1f3cbacked UMass | 1c | 4,260$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed UMass | 22c | 3,500$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed UMass | 22c | 3,196$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fb…b8e1backed UMass | 22c | 3,182$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…e721backed Northern Illinois | 79c | 3,000$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked UMass | 21c | 2,941$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.61 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked UMass | 20c | 2,449$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.52 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed UMass | 21c | 2,381$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Northern Illinois | 78c | 2,229$1,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.02 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked UMass | 21c | 2,016$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.44 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…a807backed UMass | 1c | 2,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed UMass | 22c | 1,800$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.85 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…2c46backed UMass | 20c | 1,511$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x618d…aadcbacked Northern Illinois | 79c | 1,511$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.26 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9b…1fb3backed UMass | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd063…e5b5backed UMass | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed UMass | 20c | 1,400$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked UMass | 22c | 1,309$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.99 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked UMass | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 134 | 17.2%23 W · 111 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed UMass | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Northern Illinois | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Northern Illinois | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dad…805abacked UMass | 21c | 999.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Northern Illinois | 80c | 996$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.54 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed UMass | 20c | 918.38$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.68 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf73c…3b19backed Northern Illinois | 77c | 841.06$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.44 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed UMass | 22c | 823$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.06 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UMass | 21c | 811.11$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.14 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb29…358ebacked Northern Illinois | 79c | 802.53$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.53 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 71cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00b5…b3cabacked Northern Illinois | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 36 | 80.6%29 W · 7 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…aed9backed UMass | 22c | 546.14$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Northern Illinois | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1161…ed62backed UMass | 21c | 480$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed UMass | 21c | 470.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…d3b5backed UMass | 22c | 455$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36e4…afe8backed UMass | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked UMass | 22c | 425.29$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.45 | 268 | 46.3%124 W · 144 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904c…1902backed Northern Illinois | 78c | 400$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ce…dc3cbacked UMass | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8343…5be0backed UMass | 22c | 395.14$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 18cpaid | +148.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4c…a3a1backed UMass | 22c | 318.18$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked UMass | 22c | 290$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2022…04b8backed Northern Illinois | 79c | 278.14$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.41 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -4.3wins | -0.20per pick | 68cpaid | -35%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked UMass | 11c | 238.56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Northern Illinois | 78c | 209.57$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.11 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd58b…48e8backed UMass | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed UMass | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Northern Illinois | 78c | 189.82$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.67 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x891c…82c3backed Northern Illinois | 80c | 175$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e42…3559backed UMass | 22c | 170$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2258…29dfbacked UMass | 19c | 160$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21e2…bd6dbacked UMass | 24c | 158.96$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe22…07ddbacked Northern Illinois | 80c | 155$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed UMass | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5110…7928backed Northern Illinois | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcead…258abacked Northern Illinois | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3be5…4d42backed Northern Illinois | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb1…fdb2backed Northern Illinois | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c02…5317backed Northern Illinois | 77c | 150$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked UMass | 21c | 149.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.41 | 184 | 16.8%31 W · 153 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Northern Illinois | 77c | 139.65$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…09ddbacked Northern Illinois | 80c | 130$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc638…41d4backed Northern Illinois | 80c | 130$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Northern Illinois | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…eddbbacked Northern Illinois | 79c | 126.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5db0…a3b6backed Northern Illinois | 79c | 126.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b3…c2c0backed Northern Illinois | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…cde0backed Northern Illinois | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62af…d6f4backed Northern Illinois | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Northern Illinois vs. UMassthis page
- Northern Illinois vs. UMass: O/U 43.5Over won
- O/U 42.5Over won
- Spread: Northern Illinois (-10.5)Northern Illinois won
- Spread: Northern Illinois (-11.5)Northern Illinois won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.