College Football · resolved market
O/U 42.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1be9a91a342fee65ef3e95a5b6df8c0af1db1107178e0bc980bcefb1f4dba88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,068
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,020
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,068 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 50c | 25,883$12,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,933.44 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Under | 50c | 22,357$11,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,178.28 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Over | 50c | 19,708$9,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,854 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Under | 50c | 13,623$6,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,811.42 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…f152backed Under | 50c | 11,500$5,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,750 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Under | 50c | 10,143$5,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,071.27 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 49c | 9,405$4,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,796.73 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 51c | 5,500$2,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,805 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Under | 51c | 3,500$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 1,643$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.79 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Under | 51c | 990$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.9 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Over | 49c | 962.95$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.11 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Under | 49c | 818$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.82 | 224 | 37.5%84 W · 140 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Over | 50c | 648$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 190 | 43.2%82 W · 108 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 53c | 575$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.81 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…1ed3backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.7wins | +0.27per pick | 49cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 49c | 436$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.42 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 50c | 394$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd368…1889backed Under | 45c | 330$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 56c | 230$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.25 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134f…cdb6backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…9aa6backed Under | 51c | 110$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…5209backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Over | 62c | 97$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.57 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 50c | 72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Under | 51c | 64.45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.87 | 268 | 46.3%124 W · 144 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9513…a6a2backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Under | 46c | 24.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…ec82backed Over | 54c | 24.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe129…f8e4backed Under | 51c | 22.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 51cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Over | 51c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 110 | 70%77 W · 33 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O/U 42.5this page
- Northern Illinois vs. UMassNorthern Illinois won
- Northern Illinois vs. UMass: O/U 43.5Over won
- Spread: Northern Illinois (-10.5)Northern Illinois won
- Spread: Northern Illinois (-11.5)Northern Illinois won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.