Premier League · resolved market
Will Fulham FC win on 2025-10-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2170d7bdb33ff734b5c918a49da6c51446e930f96663e51490c47798d686bea0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,810
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,667
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,810 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa4f…8921backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b7…e9babacked Yes | 34c | 4,049$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.07 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 3,399$2,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.23 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 65c | 3,349$2,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.07 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 40c | 2,132$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.19 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x947a…a823backed Yes | 10c | 1,810$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes | 62c | 1,421$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.51 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 66c | 1,415$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.48 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b9…c68cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,240$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 52c | 951.91$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.92 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0521…cc4abacked Yes | 63c | 634.92$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed No | 34c | 436.29$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.28 | 239 | 20.9%50 W · 189 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…d4d8backed Yes | 35c | 423.54$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…dc1bbacked Yes | 34c | 411.76$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 54c | 400.11$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.32 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 36c | 377.48$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.41 | 262 | 29.8%78 W · 184 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a69…a466backed Yes | 53c | 372.23$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.55 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 41c | 285.58$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.74 | 135 | 43.7%59 W · 76 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed No | 40c | 245.8$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.52 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…b978backed No | 34c | 225.61$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.67 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 22cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 52c | 220.89$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…55b5backed Yes | 74c | 202.61$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 37c | 200$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 322 | 22.4%72 W · 250 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x321a…4203backed Yes | 63c | 199.02$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Yes | 62c | 198.9$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.32 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed No | 39c | 180.33$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0b…e2a3backed Yes | 35c | 177.14$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70f5…aceebacked Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed Yes | 31c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 35c | 149.31$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.38 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…9897backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…4323backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 139 | 44.6%62 W · 77 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…4abbbacked Yes | 70c | 146$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.73 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a2…d5e9backed Yes | 74c | 135.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4607…7811backed Yes | 58c | 134.92$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.77 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +81%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes | 51c | 127.22$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 10c | 125$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…710fbacked Yes | 37c | 120$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6587…0b3fbacked Yes | 68c | 102.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…ff53backed Yes | 69c | 99.96$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…f90dbacked Yes | 61c | 99.46$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.67 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 26c | 98.25$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.62 | 154 | 61%94 W · 60 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdd…3a5bbacked Yes | 60c | 94.67$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9987…79dfbacked Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…0b92backed Yes | 62c | 79.21$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c5…8c8abacked Yes | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 129 | 35.7%46 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbabd…f4d2backed Yes | 67c | 74.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x932e…6f5abacked Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…a925backed Yes | 48c | 74.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa520…e1a2backed Yes | 55c | 73.95$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.67 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes | 69c | 58.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd44…b2e2backed Yes | 37c | 55.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x189d…147cbacked Yes | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffce…c93cbacked Yes | 62c | 43.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 30c | 41.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 203 | 7.4%15 W · 188 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35a1…2390backed Yes | 36c | 41.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 58c | 37.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 180 | 52.2%94 W · 86 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…4d25backed Yes | 53c | 34.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb03…2276backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Yes | 59c | 33.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…d512backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6817…b853backed Yes | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad9…65d7backed Yes | 69c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02b0…9a3cbacked Yes | 50c | 22.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -15.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 63c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x624a…287cbacked Yes | 61c | 21.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6f…7723backed Yes | 67c | 20.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 74cpaid | -55%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9796…0013backed Yes | 58c | 18.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a26…39e5backed No | 80c | 18.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fulham FC win on 2025-10-28?this page
- Will Fulham FC vs. Wycombe Wanderers FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Wycombe Wanderers FC win on 2025-10-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.