TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Temple vs. Army

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Armyof Temple, Army
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$337,744
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$342,843

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $337,744 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xed88…f3c4backed Temple31c266,504$82,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82,616.3712549.6%62 W · 63 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3657…6b14backed Army69c196,663$135,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,965.542958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Army69c35,866$24,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,118.4681847.9%392 W · 426 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdeaf…dbaabacked Temple20c10,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000156.7%1 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick19cpaid-66.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2746…f918backed Army69c8,000$5,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,480450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b86…0669backed Army57c7,679$4,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,302.362748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Army69c7,213$4,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,236.0334250.3%172 W · 170 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Army69c5,752$3,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,782.972,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Army69c4,930$3,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,528.1511851.7%61 W · 57 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9146…5f30backed Army69c2,579$1,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.492653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Temple43c2,326$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.1817443.7%76 W · 98 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Temple43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86048546.8%227 W · 258 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa727…8289backed Army71c1,975$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.544746.8%22 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Temple27c1,819$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.7162843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Temple31c1,755$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.3634529.9%103 W · 242 L-21.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Temple30c1,700$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51011540%46 W · 69 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Temple28c1,700$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48325629.3%75 W · 181 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3db0…ece3backed Army70c1,613$1,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.9540%2 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick72cpaid-41.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbca8…52c1backed Temple31c1,613$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4e8…6300backed Army64c1,560$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.49977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+28.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Army70c1,507$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.2685947.7%410 W · 449 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Army75c1,500$1,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.873762.2%23 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f7f…105bbacked Army70c1,473$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf27…2ec3backed Temple30c1,471$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+29.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4335…fc2fbacked Army70c1,454$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.0912055%66 W · 54 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Temple25c1,453$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.1327648.9%135 W · 141 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Army69c1,422$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.9214752.4%77 W · 70 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Army72c1,389$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.897146.5%33 W · 38 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf327…34dbbacked Army72c1,389$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.892951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Army69c1,352$932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.2250358.1%292 W · 211 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Army68c1,168$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.8949443.7%216 W · 278 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Temple26c1,034$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.286243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Temple27c1,006$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.3621538.6%83 W · 132 L-0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5b2…80d5backed Temple30c899.97$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Army69c785$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.619842.9%85 W · 113 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Temple30c719.36$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.351,09041.7%455 W · 635 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb1…276cbacked Army74c701$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.442100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Army69c677$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.8729249%143 W · 149 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6b7…0964backed Temple46c551.9$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c0…69d0backed Army71c545.07$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.075742.1%24 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1edb…7e13backed Army70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cea…2d58backed Army72c483.31$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.311968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Temple16c441.48$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.5255350.3%278 W · 275 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Army71c422.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.54560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfcf…a59cbacked Army70c400$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fce…ae92backed Temple27c264.08$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722025%5 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Temple6c263.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.571360%0 W · 136 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9005…d988backed Temple32c237.47$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.11837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick24cpaid+70.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Army75c234.12$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.1326939.8%107 W · 162 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Temple31c200.99$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.721629.2%63 W · 153 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb36…9545backed Temple29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5816945.6%77 W · 92 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9977…ad57backed Army68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643941%16 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dd5…1306backed Temple29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584531.1%14 W · 31 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+30.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Temple29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5828032.9%92 W · 188 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xde0b…b4a7backed Temple25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505639.3%22 W · 34 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+0.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Temple31c193.55$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6016044.4%71 W · 89 L-15.7wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-22.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Temple31c165$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1556844.5%253 W · 315 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec8…eaefbacked Army69c153$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.431643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0915…d08abacked Army70c150$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454055%22 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Temple32c150$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked Temple29c150$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.54531.1%14 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x125a…969cbacked Army70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.861770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9494…308abacked Army56c124.88$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.94475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Temple29c119.97$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7917634.7%61 W · 115 L+11.6wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeddb…fa4fbacked Army71c119.72$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa41c…8761backed Army72c115.1$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.61353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b6…b02ebacked Temple31c112.9$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356232.3%20 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80dd…d677backed Temple31c112.9$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Army70c106.95$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.216959.4%41 W · 28 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a39…9e71backed Army70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3333…ed90backed Army70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8de…8c52backed Army71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Army72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287553.3%40 W · 35 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x66fe…e123backed Army69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3112755.9%71 W · 56 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff7c…3e9fbacked Temple32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327628.9%22 W · 54 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Temple29c69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0124436.9%90 W · 154 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-3.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x23e5…d41fbacked Temple28c68$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.043119.4%6 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick19cpaid+11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Army57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.63158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+21.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Temple30c58$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5420553.7%110 W · 95 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x604a…8379backed Army70c57.14$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.142576%19 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d31…beb0backed Temple31c55.03$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.06250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Army69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.55858.6%34 W · 24 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Army68c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1624157.3%138 W · 103 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5e1…9897backed Army71c42.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.251485.7%12 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick74cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe525…a3febacked Army70c41.29$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd47b…c715backed Temple30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126549.2%32 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8639…fb86backed Temple36c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.47441.9%31 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05be…ad9abacked Army70c39.41$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ba4…70c0backed Army69c38.03$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.792100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+50.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c99…b083backed Army70c37.74$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfca…68fcbacked Temple30c37.29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1947131.4%148 W · 323 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3303…03afbacked Temple31c36.06$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.18250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb496…2657backed Temple31c35.45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4496…2baebacked Army70c35.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb80d…4ba6backed Temple31c33.87$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Temple33c32.35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.742142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4c0…ea7fbacked Army65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd349…5901backed Army70c30.7$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2b4…1757backed Army70c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1a65…25c1backed Army70c29.83$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.