College Football · resolved market
Spread: Army (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ba38091ec04aa3c76d2c12b85f208128af155604743292e85fdf53ff2f660c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Templeof Army, Temple
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,332
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,571
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,332 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Army | 53c | 43,277$23,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,019.01 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7189…b454backed Temple | 48c | 17,500$8,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,025 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Temple | 46c | 11,000$5,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,940 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Temple | 45c | 9,500$4,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,225 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Temple | 44c | 5,708$2,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,198.67 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Army | 55c | 3,500$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Army | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.95 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Temple | 47c | 2,100$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Temple | 46c | 1,070$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.78 | 213 | 48.8%104 W · 109 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Temple | 45c | 546.85$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.77 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Temple | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Temple | 45c | 311.6$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.1 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Temple | 45c | 311.11$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.11 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Temple | 48c | 210$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…ad57backed Temple | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Temple | 45c | 199.48$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.72 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Temple | 45c | 180$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef0…b040backed Temple | 46c | 165$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd017…a1e7backed Army | 54c | 160$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked Temple | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed Temple | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Temple | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…c0edbacked Temple | 46c | 55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe172…274ebacked Temple | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Temple | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 268 | 46.3%124 W · 144 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Temple | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…5286backed Temple | 48c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9d…b033backed Army | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dff…bc36backed Temple | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Army (-6.5)this page
- Spread: Army (-7.5)Temple won
- Temple vs. ArmyArmy won
- Temple vs. Army: O/U 45.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.