Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0eb0d3c30973d7aefbbcc646ae090b7c03afd2989bf16645e4cf7e26ebec7427
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,348,925
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,660,287
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,348,925 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 379 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x78c6…4710backed Yes | 41c | 319,198$129,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189,704.01 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked No | 79c | 251,070$199,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199,232.68 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Yes | 21c | 142,954$30,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112,938.68 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 61c | 96,358$58,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,348.38 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 19c | 72,327$14,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,298.54 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…0136backed No | 42c | 33,287$14,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,039.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 57c | 32,840$18,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,835.47 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 55c | 25,613$14,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,095.31 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 61c | 25,585$15,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,481.92 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 32c | 19,433$6,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,201.93 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked No | 73c | 18,654$13,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,541.97 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Yes | 24c | 16,765$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,765.12 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf0…153ebacked No | 55c | 15,000$8,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,250 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9be0…f674backed Yes | 21c | 12,875$2,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,171.32 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed Yes | 74c | 11,491$8,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940.56 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 59c | 9,226$5,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,404.36 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 76c | 9,000$6,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,840 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 61c | 8,726$5,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,435.71 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed No | 60c | 8,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Yes | 21c | 7,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,530 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 19c | 6,842$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,542.11 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 53c | 6,767$3,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,575.72 | 182 | 59.3%108 W · 74 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Yes | 19c | 6,244$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,052.59 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…0faabacked Yes | 19c | 6,100$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,941 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…d32abacked Yes | 38c | 5,205$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,204.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9481…4931backed Yes | 19c | 5,100$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,131 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 80c | 4,223$3,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,369.9 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 78c | 4,197$3,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.97 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 18c | 3,050$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,501 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Yes | 21c | 2,708$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,139.59 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 65c | 2,419$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.3 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfc…4194backed Yes | 21c | 2,381$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880.95 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28c9…5769backed Yes | 44c | 2,341$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.99 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Yes | 21c | 2,300$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,817 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb4…acb6backed No | 80c | 2,249$1,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.32 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 21c | 2,196$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,734.99 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ca…7229backed No | 46c | 2,190$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.79 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 22c | 2,182$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.24 | 465 | 51.8%241 W · 224 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 33c | 2,158$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.79 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes | 47c | 2,149$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.87 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd708…b9d2backed Yes | 19c | 2,105$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,705.26 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 55c | 2,039$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.27 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed No | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5e…7ab3backed No | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…0176backed No | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…f6e1backed Yes | 20c | 1,946$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +214.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed No | 53c | 1,888$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.62 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7355…9443backed Yes | 41c | 1,798$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked No | 62c | 1,777$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.7 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked No | 57c | 1,739$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.23 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +8.2wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 58c | 1,555$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.38 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a00…6e75backed Yes | 18c | 1,517$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…6c31backed Yes | 18c | 1,517$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed No | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 137 | 27%37 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 71c | 1,500$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 200 | 40.5%81 W · 119 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bb…e40fbacked Yes | 19c | 1,428$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.3 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed No | 56c | 1,400$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b67…c178backed Yes | 18c | 1,378$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +85%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.35 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 18c | 1,289$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.88 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed No | 56c | 1,269$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.51 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…dd68backed Yes | 21c | 1,192$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.82 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 78c | 1,186$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.03 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.47 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bf…dfb9backed Yes | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.11 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed No | 64c | 1,100$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…0aaebacked Yes | 68c | 1,096$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.98 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked No | 63c | 1,087$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed No | 46c | 1,085$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked No | 65c | 1,060$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05bb…8ef9backed Yes | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.63 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25ad…46fcbacked Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed No | 28c | 1,000$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed No | 26c | 933$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.58 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 17c | 800$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…d6aebacked No | 80c | 755.53$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.42 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 17c | 692.36$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.66 | 178 | 33.7%60 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes | 78c | 687.12$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.86 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93d1…9daebacked Yes | 18c | 664.92$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.92 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed No | 66c | 645.45$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5242…5a2cbacked Yes | 68c | 626.77$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.83 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb263…6275backed No | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f91…9388backed Yes | 15c | 600.85$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.85 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e957backed Yes | 22c | 600$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 80c | 600$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 185 | 62.2%115 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c9…8beabacked Yes | 36c | 600$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ec…68a8backed No | 76c | 577.31$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb41…1fffbacked Yes | 19c | 550.59$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.28 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x561e…3e87backed Yes | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.54 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d4…9266backed Yes | 38c | 533.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +166.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1b…bc0cbacked Yes | 19c | 532.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.77 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe931…138bbacked Yes | 58c | 527.24$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.84 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41c5…7d0ebacked Yes | 19c | 526.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.35 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477d…e691backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.32 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…2687backed Yes | 19c | 524.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.99 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 55c | 514.83$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.39 | 255 | 45.5%116 W · 139 L | -18.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…b0d2backed No | 53c | 507.55$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.98 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed No | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed No | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdf…ec4bbacked Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-19?this page
- Will Liverpool vs. Manchester United end in a draw?No won
- Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.