TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5242…5a2c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
95
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Serie A, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 57 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT3023.3%7 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20I Series Zimbabwe vs Bangladesh: Zimbabwe vs Bangladeshbacked Zimbabwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.05
ODI Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
T20I Series Zimbabwe vs Bangladesh: Zimbabwe vs Bangladeshbacked Zimbabwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$36.77
India ODI Series: India vs South Africa (Game 1)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$80.45
Bangladesh T20 Series: Bangladesh vs Ireland (Game 2)backed Ireland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$37.17
Pakistan Tri-Series: Pakistan vs Zimbabwe (Game 4)backed Zimbabwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$33.86
Pakistan Tri-Series: Pakistan vs Zimbabwe (Game 1)backed Zimbabwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$44.27
Pakistan ODI Series: Pakistan vs South Africa (Game 3)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$79
Australia T20 Series: Australia vs India (Game 4)backed Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$88
New Zealand T20 Series: New Zealand vs West Indies (Game 1)backed West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+319.6%+$44.75
Pakistan ODI Series: Pakistan vs South Africa (Nov 4)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$81
Zimbabwe T20 Series: Zimbabwe vs Afghanistan (Nov 2)backed Zimbabwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$38
Women's Cricket World Cup Final Stage: India vs South Africa (Game Final)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$168
Australia T20 Series: Australia vs India (Nov 2)backed Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$116
Pakistan T20 Series: Pakistan vs South Africa (Nov 1)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$46
Pakistan T20 Series: Pakistan vs South Africa (Oct 31)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Bangladesh T20 Series: Bangladesh vs West Indies (Oct 31)backed West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+65.4%+$34.68
Women's Cricket World Cup Final Stage: India vs Australia (Game Semi Finals)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+615.1%+$356.75
Women's Cricket World Cup Final Stage: England vs South Africa (Game Semi Finals)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.3
Bangladesh T20 Series: Bangladesh vs West Indies (Oct 29)backed West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+148.8%+$126.13
Zimbabwe T20 Series: Zimbabwe vs Afghanistan (Oct 29)backed Zimbabwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
ICC WWC: Australia vs. South Africa (Oct 25)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Australia ODI Series: Australia vs India (Oct 24)backed Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$63
ICC WWC: India vs. New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
ICC WWC: Australia vs. Englandbacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+83.7%+$58.52
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick26cpaid+88.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$72.24
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.53
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+220%+$209
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$65.75
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.11
Will Romania vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Bulgaria win on 2025-10-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Will Bulgaria vs. Türkiye end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
Will United States win on 2025-10-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Will North Macedonia win on 2025-10-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Belgium vs. North Macedonia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+809.1%+$129.45
Will New Caledonia win on 2025-10-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+614.3%+$79.86
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Oct 10, 2025, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-30%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick24cpaid+53%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+106.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-59.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+36.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+82.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+53.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shamrock Rovers FC win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will AEK vs. Shamrock Rovers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+222.6%+$33.39
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 12, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BYU vs. Arizonabacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$53
Louisiana vs. James Madisonbacked Louisiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.