Australian A League · resolved market
Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2025-11-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73c4a2061ba60ead5d8dc70743ecef2cdf219feab1384daa6415997a8f2d2a75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,959
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,369
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,959 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 39c | 25,000$9,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,749.99 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 61c | 24,566$14,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,580.72 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 52c | 5,984$3,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,094.85 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 71c | 4,011$2,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,847.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2839…0efebacked Yes | 29c | 3,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,448.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +186.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74b3…490ebacked Yes | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,130.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73ad…eae6backed No | 71c | 3,000$2,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,129.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb714…eb1bbacked No | 71c | 3,000$2,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,129.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 49c | 1,587$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.8 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 1,190$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.52 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x952f…182bbacked Yes | 61c | 1,181$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed No | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked No | 42c | 952.38$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6f…f078backed Yes | 61c | 814.72$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce29…b71bbacked Yes | 77c | 741.08$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef6f…084bbacked Yes | 32c | 576.36$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +135.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 29c | 553.1$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.2 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5329…cd54backed Yes | 26c | 535.65$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +208.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 69c | 489.65$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.43 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b11…a0f9backed Yes | 73c | 455.95$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 43c | 453.99$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.58 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Yes | 24c | 413.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +313.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…15cdbacked No | 46c | 400$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce51…198cbacked Yes | 64c | 371.06$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed No | 30c | 359.98$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…57b6backed Yes | 31c | 324.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b0…eb65backed Yes | 70c | 301.94$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 9c | 251.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee13…0ff0backed Yes | 66c | 242.82$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Yes | 23c | 220.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.17 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…491dbacked Yes | 28c | 217.87$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +81%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3764…e02abacked Yes | 26c | 213.58$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +98.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba8…a241backed No | 78c | 205.68$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5536…ab71backed Yes | 73c | 192.19$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7de…ea41backed Yes | 59c | 169.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa1…f2a0backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 7c | 159.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x646c…3210backed Yes | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 30c | 153.61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.24 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5242…5a2cbacked Yes | 49c | 119.91$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…5b17backed Yes | 29c | 102.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +189.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1822…0e6abacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 22cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf19…3f61backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe478…610ebacked Yes | 22c | 99.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6def…0b75backed No | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2677…533cbacked Yes | 74c | 89$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.21 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f96…bfdabacked Yes | 29c | 86.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +98.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcec0…82ddbacked Yes | 29c | 74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +155.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 30c | 67.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.23 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Yes | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…62c7backed No | 42c | 58.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17d5…6438backed Yes | 26c | 58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cb…9c55backed Yes | 29c | 55.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +191.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2457…54acbacked No | 35c | 47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…4350backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…2b0abacked Yes | 78c | 30.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 41c | 30.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…4195backed Yes | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe221…234dbacked Yes | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…d930backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d3…350bbacked Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05fa…7880backed Yes | 77c | 27.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…f36fbacked Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fd…a1e8backed Yes | 73c | 24.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x876f…b694backed Yes | 77c | 24.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes | 61c | 23.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Yes | 68c | 20.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…3b71backed Yes | 66c | 20.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7db…d69cbacked No | 79c | 16.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacb…c754backed No | 75c | 14.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2025-11-07?this page
- Will Perth Glory FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Perth Glory FC win on 2025-11-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.