Australian A League · resolved market
Will Perth Glory FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8621c8949aa5ee329b63d27b64da5b0e50e5b73ce45d7f93382be54862047333
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,391
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,981
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,391 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 66c | 3,181$2,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.66 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd735…968ebacked Yes | 40c | 1,899$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 72c | 1,882$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.48 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Yes | 28c | 1,799$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 27c | 759.39$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 614.21$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.14 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd40b…429abacked Yes | 28c | 479$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Yes | 27c | 459.65$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…615cbacked Yes | 28c | 306.77$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 36c | 279.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 72c | 267.12$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 27c | 235.01$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.61 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4635…9f6fbacked No | 75c | 222$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 24c | 221.61$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.19 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 76c | 220.29$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.87 | 90 | 65.6%59 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 27c | 188.79$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 24c | 169.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450c…e161backed Yes | 25c | 141.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 70c | 139.98$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…41c1backed No | 75c | 132.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a2…a471backed Yes | 42c | 106.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 58c | 101.5$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 110 | 63.6%70 W · 40 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 66c | 97.29$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…57b6backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5242…5a2cbacked Yes | 30c | 75.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf96…7d12backed Yes | 31c | 58.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…4350backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…019dbacked Yes | 24c | 54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 28c | 42.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…eea2backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 74c | 38.74$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 74c | 17.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Perth Glory FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2025-11-07?Yes won
- Will Perth Glory FC win on 2025-11-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.