Australian A League · resolved market
Will Perth Glory FC win on 2025-11-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ca9d3ecc6bb27cac0c4bbec28be6ec12151730c2e029b013fa0eb133b44ed73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,352
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,994
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,352 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 38c | 50,000$18,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,899.74 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 74c | 24,845$18,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,459.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 50c | 15,625$7,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,812.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe581…c1a4backed No | 52c | 6,555$3,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,146.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe04c…83b0backed Yes | 48c | 6,549$3,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,143.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 36c | 4,981$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780.09 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 52c | 4,875$2,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340.03 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 3,686$1,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,804.82 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed No | 59c | 3,042$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ab…b633backed No | 55c | 1,878$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 55c | 1,827$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.88 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 58c | 1,270$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.42 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 17c | 1,250$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.02 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Yes | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 52c | 653.03$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.48 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a0…b4eabacked Yes | 49c | 565.81$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f27…8ec7backed Yes | 48c | 519.42$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Yes | 46c | 435.13$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.16 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked No | 52c | 426.92$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1918…9568backed Yes | 44c | 329.99$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 47c | 325.85$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.77 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…15cdbacked Yes | 48c | 304.71$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked No | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe478…610ebacked Yes | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 12c | 232$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ae…f572backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Yes | 43c | 213.16$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.66 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 54c | 183.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.91 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Yes | 19c | 181.82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe08c…e03cbacked Yes | 31c | 179.94$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed No | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 44c | 129.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.79 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +74%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 54c | 110.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…62c7backed Yes | 49c | 88.66$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.76 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Yes | 48c | 72.07$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Yes | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Yes | 50c | 57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…367fbacked Yes | 47c | 52.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 50c | 52.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.16 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…eea2backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 54c | 45.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…019dbacked Yes | 46c | 43.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdd…f93ebacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb841…d81fbacked No | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfae…76adbacked No | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c5…2c50backed Yes | 47c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab02…3ed2backed Yes | 48c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d54…3405backed Yes | 48c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0db…0ca3backed No | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ea…10c5backed Yes | 46c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…d17bbacked Yes | 46c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2149…3a74backed No | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08ed…81b9backed Yes | 47c | 30.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed No | 55c | 29.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e5…c3d4backed Yes | 49c | 28.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 55c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3513…c19dbacked No | 53c | 20.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9f…d2b9backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a5…4540backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 110 | 63.6%70 W · 40 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Perth Glory FC win on 2025-11-07?this page
- Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2025-11-07?Yes won
- Will Perth Glory FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.