TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcec0…82dd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
122
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST2661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sharks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+35.1%+$6.5
Utah vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+88.7%+$11.75
Blue Jackets vs. Panthersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$12.3
Senators vs. Starsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$49.3
Ducks vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+108.3%+$20.8
Capitals vs. Islandersbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+78.6%+$8.8
Wild vs. Blackhawksbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+100%+$15
Stars vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$16.6
Jets vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+108.3%+$39
Senators vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+69.5%+$12.3
Golden Knights vs. Utah: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+78.6%+$13.2
Panthers vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$36.4
Hurricanes vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$40.7
Wild vs. Penguinsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+112.8%+$21.2
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$50.4
Devils vs. Panthersbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$51.6
Flames vs. Sabresbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+136.7%+$46.2
Oilers vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+85.2%+$29.9
Islanders vs. Starsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+163.2%+$23.56
Predators vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+85.2%+$13.8
Jets vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Sharks vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+75.4%+$10.75
Sabres vs. Utahbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
Oilers vs. Flyersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+81.8%+$20.25
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$11.6
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST2166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+26.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$31.5
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+233.3%+$81.9
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+233.3%+$35
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$19.98
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+72.4%+$21
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$26.5
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-11-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+143.9%+$20.65
Will Preston North End FC win on 2025-11-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+63.9%+$13.65
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+33.3%+$7.5
Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+61.3%+$9.5
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+42.9%+$9
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+72.4%+$10.5
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+86.9%+$16.28
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$13.42
Spread: Arsenal (-1.5)backed Sunderland AFC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+61.3%+$7.6
Sunderland AFC vs. Arsenal: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$16.8
Will Everton win on 2025-11-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$28.3
Will Norwich City FC win on 2025-11-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+44.9%+$6.2
Everton vs. Fulham: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$16.2
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+61.3%+$7.6
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+54.4%+$23.62
All 21 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST1369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+33.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Colombia win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+47.1%+$9.6
Will Scotland win on 2025-11-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$28.8
Will Scotland vs. Denmark end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+37%+$4.05
Will Kosovo win on 2025-11-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+28.2%+$4.4
Will Brazil win on 2025-11-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+150%+$21
Will Korea Republic vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$11.4
Will Ghana win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$14.4
Will Slovenia win on 2025-11-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+63.9%+$7.8
Will Georgia win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Austria win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+29.9%+$4.6
Will Brazil win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+42.9%+$9
Will Belgium win on 2025-11-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+213.9%+$47.7
Will Kazakhstan vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+222.6%+$34.5
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$58.8
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+300%+$87.75
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+101.6%+$50.71
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+44.9%+$6.2
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$16.2
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+114.3%+$16
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$12.6
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20.1
Grizzlies vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+40.8%+$5.8
Raptors vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+56.3%+$10.8
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+62.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Broncos vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$13.56
Texans vs. Coltsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+66.7%+$12
Bills vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+233.3%+$32.9
Ravens vs. Vikingsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+51.5%+$5.67
All 4 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+155.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+65.8%+$23.02
Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2025-11-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+244.8%+$52.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nothing Ever Happens: Russia Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-33.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$38.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$70.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Maryland Terrapinsbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$19.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Saski Baskonia vs. FC Bayern Munchenbacked FC Bayern Munchen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
PAOK vs. SK Brann: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$16.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2025-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$22
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$10.05
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.