College Football · resolved market
Houston vs. UCF
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0e3bf1060861398acff99adcbfac97773a6afa505099b36b186ddf41f2079f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houstonof Houston, UCF
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,591,881
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,607,520
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,591,881 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 636 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3657…6b14backed Houston | 52c | 1,432,208$744,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687,239.8 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed UCF | 48c | 947,914$455,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455,174.55 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed UCF | 49c | 505,895$248,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248,804.04 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed UCF | 48c | 450,000$216,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216,000 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -72%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Houston | 49c | 350,000$173,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177,000 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked UCF | 50c | 315,485$157,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157,085.35 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Houston | 51c | 312,081$159,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152,228.63 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Houston | 52c | 201,173$104,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96,663.44 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Houston | 50c | 150,000$75,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,000 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d9…5ee1backed UCF | 52c | 143,971$74,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,864.69 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +44%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked UCF | 47c | 104,255$49,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,999.81 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…4cd0backed Houston | 53c | 101,100$53,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,516.98 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Houston | 52c | 89,849$46,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,274 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked UCF | 48c | 85,000$40,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,800 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Houston | 51c | 70,000$35,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,449.83 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Houston | 52c | 48,530$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,530.19 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked UCF | 48c | 48,290$23,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,118.64 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Houston | 50c | 39,071$19,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,341.87 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed UCF | 50c | 34,615$17,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,219.31 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed UCF | 52c | 31,220$16,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,290.58 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Houston | 48c | 30,000$14,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,600 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Houston | 43c | 30,000$12,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,250 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed UCF | 50c | 25,761$12,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,827.04 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa576…89a4backed UCF | 72c | 23,362$16,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,753.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +117.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed UCF | 48c | 21,246$10,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,197.98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed UCF | 49c | 20,717$10,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,151.28 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed UCF | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,200 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked UCF | 47c | 14,655$6,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,887.75 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Houston | 48c | 12,523$6,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,519.58 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed UCF | 48c | 12,430$5,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,922.06 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked UCF | 60c | 12,330$7,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,351.73 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Houston | 52c | 12,000$6,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,760 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Houston | 30c | 11,575$3,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,087.46 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Houston | 50c | 11,438$5,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,749.64 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Houston | 50c | 10,451$5,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,222.01 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed UCF | 48c | 10,350$4,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,968 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2092…b6d8backed UCF | 48c | 10,313$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,950 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed UCF | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Houston | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed UCF | 2c | 10,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 86 | 29.1%25 W · 61 L | +15.2wins | +0.18per pick | 11cpaid | +361.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Houston | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.98 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Houston | 52c | 9,173$4,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,403.08 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked UCF | 49c | 9,143$4,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,480 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…bdbabacked UCF | 37c | 8,978$3,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,324.03 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked UCF | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,840 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked UCF | 48c | 7,362$3,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,533.71 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed UCF | 48c | 7,237$3,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,494.45 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd76e…225bbacked UCF | 49c | 6,969$3,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,414.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Houston | 52c | 6,731$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,230.77 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked UCF | 52c | 6,658$3,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,468.67 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd59c…5774backed Houston | 52c | 5,821$3,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,794.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95e7…5816backed UCF | 48c | 5,815$2,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,791.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked UCF | 52c | 5,725$2,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950.62 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Houston | 50c | 5,551$2,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,796.53 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed UCF | 34c | 5,499$1,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,855.55 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed UCF | 49c | 5,469$2,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,680 | 213 | 48.8%104 W · 109 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed UCF | 48c | 5,418$2,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600.64 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed UCF | 60c | 5,389$3,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,209.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe966…0228backed Houston | 49c | 5,283$2,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,694.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Houston | 50c | 4,710$2,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,374.41 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed UCF | 48c | 4,500$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed UCF | 50c | 4,276$2,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,134.31 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Houston | 50c | 4,185$2,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,092.48 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb99…b717backed Houston | 53c | 4,100$2,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,927 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b49…69a5backed UCF | 48c | 4,100$1,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,968 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked UCF | 34c | 4,049$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.64 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Houston | 73c | 4,025$2,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.28 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…ea40backed Houston | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95dd…914bbacked UCF | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74b3…490ebacked Houston | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e9…dee1backed UCF | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked UCF | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 19cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…4503backed UCF | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…7650backed Houston | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x232c…bd19backed UCF | 48c | 3,800$1,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,824 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596e…986bbacked Houston | 53c | 3,800$2,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,786 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x405f…45cebacked UCF | 62c | 3,536$2,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,177.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…44e5backed Houston | 52c | 3,533$1,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,708.16 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed UCF | 35c | 3,426$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.1 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked UCF | 48c | 3,108$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491.84 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3445…7488backed Houston | 52c | 3,077$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed UCF | 49c | 3,070$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.67 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe81…5fe9backed Houston | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -43%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Houston | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Houston | 52c | 2,692$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.31 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…380dbacked UCF | 47c | 2,681$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecd3…4285backed UCF | 71c | 2,666$1,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,892.86 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed UCF | 47c | 2,530$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.91 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Houston | 53c | 2,521$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.19 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Houston | 51c | 2,478$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.85 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed UCF | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked UCF | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…1ab2backed Houston | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3909…335fbacked UCF | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…2c46backed Houston | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed UCF | 49c | 2,000$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.02 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…4964backed UCF | 48c | 1,952$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.77 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf73c…3b19backed UCF | 54c | 1,933$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed UCF | 48c | 1,891$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.8 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…34dbbacked Houston | 53c | 1,860$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.29 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston vs. UCFthis page
- O/U 47.5Over won
- Spread: Houston (-0.5)Houston won
- Spread: Houston (-1.5)Houston won
- Spread: UCF (-1.5)Houston won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.