NHL · resolved market
Oilers vs. Flyers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93a87e075da83df1409e9962d31574777e2e662e52b766b3f68d60200c913609
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oilersof Oilers, Flyers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $409,257
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $410,935
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $409,257 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 479 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Flyers | 46c | 36,567$16,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,647.12 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf90e…0b56backed Oilers | 52c | 29,052$15,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,858.69 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Flyers | 47c | 28,564$13,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,550.07 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Oilers | 53c | 26,093$13,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,263.69 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Flyers | 45c | 25,245$11,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,297.56 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Flyers | 45c | 24,872$11,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,157.96 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Oilers | 71c | 20,476$14,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,950.12 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Oilers | 52c | 20,190$10,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,763.57 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…c582backed Oilers | 53c | 18,888$10,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,877.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cf…afddbacked Flyers | 47c | 18,888$8,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,877.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Flyers | 29c | 14,443$4,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,188.54 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Oilers | 54c | 12,376$6,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,684.68 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…2baabacked Oilers | 56c | 11,000$6,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,840 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Flyers | 1c | 10,573$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.73 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Oilers | 55c | 9,888$5,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,449.66 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Oilers | 55c | 9,407$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,206.43 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Oilers | 55c | 9,000$4,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,050 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Oilers | 56c | 8,995$5,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,957.78 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…99a7backed Flyers | 47c | 8,510$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.7 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Flyers | 44c | 8,165$3,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,592.46 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb84…e913backed Flyers | 46c | 7,510$3,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,454.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7d…6b73backed Oilers | 54c | 7,350$3,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,379.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Oilers | 47c | 6,759$3,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,580.61 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…12bdbacked Flyers | 45c | 6,500$2,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,925 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Oilers | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Flyers | 39c | 5,263$2,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,028.75 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Oilers | 63c | 4,846$3,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,794.65 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b5…86a0backed Flyers | 45c | 4,500$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Flyers | 45c | 4,298$1,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,934.3 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24b1…5163backed Oilers | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Flyers | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flyers | 57c | 3,953$2,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,235.96 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Oilers | 55c | 3,870$2,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,736.5 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Flyers | 29c | 3,602$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.6 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Oilers | 57c | 3,509$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.77 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Flyers | 46c | 3,478$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Oilers | 52c | 3,415$1,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626.5 | 338 | 48.8%165 W · 173 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Flyers | 45c | 3,333$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.82 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Oilers | 54c | 3,313$1,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.88 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Oilers | 53c | 3,250$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.98 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Flyers | 44c | 3,200$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392.17 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x618d…aadcbacked Oilers | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.99 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3909…335fbacked Flyers | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.99 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1822…804cbacked Oilers | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…4503backed Flyers | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Flyers | 47c | 2,298$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.06 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Flyers | 45c | 2,206$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1a…83eabacked Flyers | 45c | 2,200$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03e0…1f91backed Oilers | 55c | 2,200$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Oilers | 54c | 2,200$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.99 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Flyers | 46c | 2,024$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.96 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Oilers | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Oilers | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.11 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c3…cd79backed Oilers | 60c | 1,888$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b04…bc0dbacked Oilers | 56c | 1,888$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8897…c58dbacked Oilers | 57c | 1,879$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…6f1abacked Oilers | 55c | 1,879$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66b…4882backed Oilers | 56c | 1,879$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Flyers | 60c | 1,870$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Flyers | 47c | 1,831$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.72 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Flyers | 44c | 1,755$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.05 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc30b…1b6dbacked Flyers | 44c | 1,617$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.53 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Oilers | 55c | 1,611$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.95 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Flyers | 45c | 1,600$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ca…5838backed Oilers | 54c | 1,563$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 30cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…a204backed Oilers | 50c | 1,563$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0355…051fbacked Oilers | 52c | 1,563$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Oilers | 55c | 1,500$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Flyers | 47c | 1,402$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.94 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Flyers | 45c | 1,400$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.99 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Oilers | 53c | 1,343$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.21 | 484 | 52.3%253 W · 231 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Oilers | 54c | 1,338$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.46 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Flyers | 47c | 1,277$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Oilers | 53c | 1,276$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.96 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…aa34backed Oilers | 57c | 1,228$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5740…05a7backed Flyers | 44c | 1,201$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Oilers | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Oilers | 53c | 1,189$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.78 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc318…447abacked Oilers | 56c | 1,162$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Flyers | 45c | 1,158$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.46 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…15cdbacked Oilers | 55c | 1,100$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Oilers | 58c | 1,052$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.82 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06fd…c0bebacked Oilers | 56c | 1,000$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.68 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dad…805abacked Oilers | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Oilers | 56c | 999.98$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.99 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb52d…95ffbacked Oilers | 55c | 918.7$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.7 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -7.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x00e2…72a3backed Flyers | 46c | 913.04$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a90…7743backed Flyers | 46c | 912.5$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.75 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd2…19ffbacked Oilers | 55c | 912.5$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.62 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3445…7488backed Oilers | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Flyers | 45c | 900$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Oilers | 54c | 899.69$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.71 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Oilers | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Flyers | 46c | 883.47$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.4 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Oilers | 38c | 825.42$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Oilers | 55c | 801.93$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.87 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaef8…c6b7backed Flyers | 3c | 779$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x669c…6c54backed Flyers | 45c | 777.78$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +7.2wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x12f6…6e69backed Oilers | 56c | 776.79$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.79 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Oilers | 62c | 745$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.25 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oilers vs. Flyersthis page
- Oilers vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Oilers vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Flyers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.